RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 I did not think any true weenie watches nor believes any TWC forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: Wow. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: How does the snow map look on the EURO 9-10” for you, haz fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I did not think any true weenie watches nor believes any TWC forecast. Didn't say I believed it. Just telling you what they said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 9-10” for you, haz fun. Thanks. Only need 7.5 to reach seasonal average. Its a stats thing for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Didn't say I believed it. Just telling you what they said. They rip n read gfs, waste of your valuable time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. Only need 7.5 to reach seasonal average. Its a stats thing for me Deff. I need 20, maybe this gets me halfway there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What 700 parameter are you looking for? I posted vorticity, what else? omega or vert velocities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 This system is scooting right along so the precip rates better be there. Otherwise you can kiss that Euro QPF goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: omega or vert velocities Ah. I can’t help him then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: This system is scooting right along so the precip rates better be there. Otherwise you can kiss that Euro QPF goodbye. It’s definitrly bullish well north. Maybe take that QPF and instead of that so widespread, it’s focused in a more narrow band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 I’d beef up to a general 4-7” across most off SNE maybe a spot 8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Snow growth does look good well north though: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Also the hrrr keeps Diane in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Snow growth does look good well north though: This seems like the kind of system where the qpf max may be right... but I doubt it’s widespread. I wouldn’t forecast 8-10” across a large area... but it’s possible someone in a narrow band somewhere scores that. this system is hauling... it’s hard to forecast anyone scoring double digits... maybe it happens in an isolated area like Foxboro or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also the hrrr keeps Diane in business. I've been quiet on this one. Hopefully it keeps us on the colder side of the line. Don't need to jack but would love 4-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, rnaude241 said: I've been quiet on this one. Hopefully it keeps us on the colder side of the line. Don't need to jack but would love 4-6. Someone near the rain snow line may have quite the paste job. I hear ya, 6” of mash potatoes is like 10” of fluff to me. Love wet snow. Meanwhile where I am up here in Ogunquit ME all of the sudden looks to get some good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Despite unexciting QPF, Snow growth soundings are not bad here. Maybe we can pull 4" out of .3" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This seems like the kind of system where the qpf max may be right... but I doubt it’s widespread. I wouldn’t forecast 8-10” across a large area... but it’s possible someone in a narrow band somewhere scores that. this system is hauling... it’s hard to forecast anyone scoring double digits... maybe it happens in an isolated area like Foxboro or something Yeah. I’ve liked a swath from near Ginxy, across N RI over to TAN and Foxboro and by Blue Hill. 6-9” seems likely for there. Maybe 10” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 All these guys on vacation spending inordinate time in the bathroom ostensibly with biological needs but really to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 27 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is not a surface temp storm. mid levels are cold, wet bulb and it pounds even down to the coast, more wet there at 32F. Easton is worrying over nada. yup. maybe a few miles(5mi) inland along the south coast than the cape/islands are about where I'd peg the ra/sn line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah. I’ve liked a swath from near Ginxy, across N RI over to TAN and Foxboro and by Blue Hill. 6-9” seems likely for there. Maybe 10” I think you may be a 4-6" zone, a little bit less back here but snow growth looks decent. We are riding a precarious line though, 20 or 30 miles south on the track makes a big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Despite unexciting QPF, Snow growth soundings are not bad here. Maybe we can pull 4" out of .3" QPF. 0.3" may yield upwards of 5-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Thanks for the help with the data, guys. Pope, my apologies to you and Will, as I spoke prematurely and hadn't had a chance to digest the euro....the system does look modestly more potent, and I have amended my Final Call slightly. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.ug/2018/02/217-218-final-call.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Deff. I need 20, maybe this gets me halfway there. I understand that the blocking looks great on the guidance, but hate to rely on it. Lets score here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 My first obs, cirrus clouds and a milky sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also the hrrr keeps Diane in business. Wow, HRRR looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wow, HRRR looks great. Cut back a bit on precip, but trade off is its colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks for the help with the data, guys. Pope, my apologies to you and Will, as I spoke prematurely and hadn't had a chance to digest the euro....the system does look modestly more potent, and I have amended my Final Call slightly. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.ug/2018/02/217-218-final-call.html Conservative but can’t argue with it. High bust potential on south coast; difficult forecast. I’m def thinking colder but I can see why you’re forecasting those numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17, 2018 Author Share Posted February 17, 2018 Tomorrow's melt back rate might be almost as impressive.. This has that classic spring look of the sun coming out and the temp exploding in quiet wind field. Cobalt blue skies erupting by noon ...but, typically it's a late March thing. This is early for that sort of thing, but it is what it is... Gutters running hard in the afternoon... maybe - certainly on Monday. I just think it's a fascinating week on whole. Snow storm to early summer... then, quite possibly back ...although, I'm starting to wonder on how quick that return will really be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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