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weathafella

Bonafide SWFE 2/7-8

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2 hours ago, Whineminster said:

Wowwww 6"....cool.....I just got that in this last little pooper.  Wake me up when we get 12 to 18 

You were just in the right spot last event, this should be a great pack builder for you. Took a hike over in the Holden hills today and it was basically bare ground. 

This event looking pretty solid around here to get back on track.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You can pretty much lock this forecast in SNE .. barring some massive colder trend.

1-3 to ice to rain S CT

3-5” N CT to ice ending as 33 dz

6” + Pike north .. sleet washing out juuuuuust shy of ORH and Will posting radar images and commenting on it .

MPM N and W 8-10”

LOL!

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55 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It looked basically the same in the midlevels. Maybe even the slightest tick warmer though that might be also due to it being a little faster than 12z. Pretty close to as "no change" as you can get though at 3 days out. 

Looks a hair colder to me, but just noise I guess.

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Big cave to GGEM

We need it to get just a bit colder and this would be an easy 4-8 from DC to Boston. Literally 50 miles southeast and were good! That high pressure has been hanging on longer each run. I think the trend is there...

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These are some cold model runs tonight. Starting to feel this one for a classic SWFE high end advisory/low end warning event for a big area...and prob someone in the sweet spot in CNE or NNE gets 10-12. 

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7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Gotta worry about the next set of models trending warmer once the Philly fires get initialized.

Nah. I figure the grid going down there will outweigh the outdoor fires started. So we trend colder...

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Gotta worry about the next set of models trending warmer once the Philly fires get initialized.

Oh yes we are absolutely altering the atmosphere down here tonight. #flyeaglesfly!!!

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Yeah the euro dropped a couple turds in the punchbowl. Wouldn't be 2017-2018 winter without the euro taking a dump on a snow chance (whether right or wrong). Still a pretty good SWFE overall but against the other globals at 00z. 

I should remind everyone though that it won't be uncommon to see wiggles in this pattern. Larger ones than usual. No blocking whatsoever. 

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Hopefully in SWFE fashion the precip will come in sooner than expected.  I have a 2:30 flight out of BDL, I'd like to see a couple inches before I leave the Pit.

Patiently waiting for the temp to drop and make for a treacherous deck, drive, lawn, roads, etc.....

34.8, up a few ticks in the past hour.  NW winds cranking so the drop should start shortly.

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