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Baroclinic Zone

February is upon us - pattern change is in order

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6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

The teleconnections look Beautiful.

Deeply negative AO AND NAO. Rising PNA. Falling EPO. MJO going through phases 1 and 2.

I want to see some results on the models! Also, hearing about the NAO linking up with the eastern ridge creating a disaster for snow. What does this mean and wouldn't the negative AO squash such an event?

 

I dont see a +pna until later in month when the nao vanishes. 

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For late next week

The slowed pattern allowing cyclones to mature and later
occlude in our neighborhood, forecast model consensus trending with
a deep, strong storm in our vicinity for the beginning of March. Way
out in time, can hardly touch on details and specifics, continued
ensemble member spread. However can`t ignore such robust signal when
tides are reaching their peak (Boston around 11.5 feet). Until then
will keep it dry and near-seasonable right on up through Thursday.
Then all eyes are upon a potential storm system.

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Just now, White Rain said:

What a weenie model that is. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some ice at my hood.

It went wild yesterday, but at least that was obvious. I feel like it's depiction of ice above 800-1K seems reasonable. I feel like this is elevated icing over nrn ORH and Monads.

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1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I dont see a +pna until later in month when the nao vanishes. 

Imagine we are this close to seasonal average and get shut down with a historic NAO/AO. I guess its possible. 

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7 hours ago, weathafella said:

Missed the point.  He said many coastals.   1888 is extremely anomalous-once a century.

No sh it but we were talking about 1888

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 I don’t about you guys but this time just feels different, my gut feeling is in the next 3-4 days models will show a major east coast snowstorm. They all seem to have a major storm early March but can’t seem to put all the pieces together, but run after run after run it is still there. 

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Just now, Powderboy413 said:

 I don’t about you guys but this time just feels different, my gut feeling is in the next 3-4 days models will show a major east coast snowstorm. They all seem to have a major storm early March but can’t seem to put all the pieces together, but run after run after run it is still there. 

Given your name and avatar, I am shocked you feel that way.

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