February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Too early for anything IMHO. Slow the roll

Whos rolling hard already?

[Damage In Tolland]

Beware the shunt . Danger ahead 

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Whos rolling hard already?

Both ends of the spectrum 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Beware the shunt . Danger ahead 

You should switch to edibles, Double IPAs cloud your judgememt.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You should switch to edibles, Double IPAs cloud your judgememt.

Chances in your eyes that SNE sees no snow from storm 1?

I m not saying it’s likely.. I don’t like the southern spread though .

[Hoth]

18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Too early for anything IMHO. Slow the roll

Ginx, have you looked at the u-wind anomalies yet? Im embarrassed to say that, for the Nth time, I have forgotten where to find them on the e-wall page.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Chances in your eyes that SNE sees no snow from storm 1?

I m not saying it’s likely.. I don’t like the southern spread though .

0

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Ginx, have you looked at the u-wind anomalies yet? Im embarrassed to say that, for the Nth time, I have forgotten where to find them on the e-wall page.

http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/NAM/

More anomalous every run 

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/NAM/

More anomalous every run 

Wow, super impressive. Thanks! -3 deviations at 250hpa as well, implies a slow mover.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Wow, super impressive. Thanks.

Would like to see the 250 slow a little more but that too has improved every one. Tandy Andy approved

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

0

Slow ya roll.

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Wow, super impressive. Thanks.

It's not often you see a 20 percent chance of 3 inches of QPF at this lead with a 50 of 2

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's not often you see a 20 percent chance of 3 inches of QPF at this lead with a 50 of 2

Yeah, that's an eye opener too. And I like that there seems to be less volatility in the model solutions. I suppose you would expect that at some level, but still pretty tight agreement at day six. That big stable block really seems to help knock down the spread.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Slow ya roll.

Just hope a gone wild tape isn’t on

[CT Valley Snowman]

Not jumping ship here in the valley but definitely keeping expectations tempered.  I'm a bit closer to the river than codfish and Ineedsnow at only 140 feet ASL FTL.  Even with the shadowing on the models there is still a healthy amount of qpf being printed out around here and it's way too early to try and nail down any kind of specifics.  

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just hope a gone wild tape isn’t on

Just keep building the bases in Morch. How's the snow to NYC Sunday to Monday look? Lol you waffle more than IHOP

[HIPPYVALLEY]

54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea, we’re looking at it for sheer amusement but not factoring it in our forecast. We here at SWC are weighing eps very very heavily with euro op as possible ‘goalpost’ outcomes.

I'll renew my SWC subscription if we crush W of the River.

[Sugarloaf1989]

I'm 119' in elevation and further away from the Connecticut River.

[Henry's Weather]

Should I be worries about ptypes 10 miles NW of Boston?

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Should I be worries about ptypes 10 miles NW of Boston?

Its Sunday might want to wait until Tuesday for Ptype questions

[ScituateWX]

At the very least the next few weeks should be fun to track!  If this one does not workout for some appears the the first half of March could provide a few chances we will see!  

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'll renew my SWC subscription if we crush W of the River.

If I could pick a place to be it would be Pete's, or Hunchies.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If I could pick a place to be it would be Pete's, or Hunchies.

Why not Moosup Hill?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'll renew my SWC subscription if we crush W of the River.

A Free lifetime subscription if we both get > 18”.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why not Moosup Hill?

Have another

[HIPPYVALLEY]

44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I m not saying it’s likely.. I don’t like the southern spread though .

Hopefully we see those S members tighten up in the next two days but it certainly is on the table for a S solution still  so it's a valid caution flag.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Have another

Don’t like snow chances there?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If I could pick a place to be it would be Pete's, or Hunchies.

If Pete is raging I can usually do OK, the same cannot be said when referencing Dave's location.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Don’t like snow chances there?

I like theirs much much better as of this minute.  Lots of time we are talking 5 days out. 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

If Pete is raging I can usually do OK, the same cannot be said when referencing Dave's location.

5 days plus, Nobody should be raging, Jack now, Is usually not a jack later.