February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, MaineJayhawk said:

Hubby will downplay

"Meh, it takes 48 hours...not impressed"

[dryslot]

13 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Finally something to track with a ceiling > 8"... 

Huge H5 differences 0z vs. 12z Euro...  energy in southwest races in much faster on this run, and streams phase much earlier compared to 0z... as a result we get a low ejecting off PA rather than NC/VA. More similar to GFS / CMC. Really far out still and this will no doubt fluctuate significantly, but wow is this great consensus among operational / ensembles for a big one. I like the March 2001 analogy.

That's what we want, We don't need it holding back  the s/w in the SW or this will never make it up here before hitting the brick wall.

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Another non QPF jack for MPM.

I'll take what it shows though. 

Too bad I'll be at Pit 2 (if I can get in).  

 

How are the winds looking with this?

[wxeyeNH]

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

[dendrite]

Just now, wxeyeNH said:

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

Tippecanoe already made one

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said:

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

Great. Inch for the coast. That had better move south 50 miles.

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

There will be quite the line though somewhere north...be it here to Dryslot or further north/south.  But it looks like it would have some impressive SW to NE gradient.  

Long way to go though.

The sooner this ejects, The better for our areas other wise it will remain to the south as the 50/50 backs WSW.

[SouthCoastMA]

Verbatim a toaster bath here..but would align with the general theme of the season down here

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Tippecanoe already made one

That would knock your cocks off.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Great. Inch for the coast. That had better move south 50 miles.

My kingdom to lop a degree or two off at 850-900!

[moneypitmike]

Nice 35" spot.

9 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

Nice 35" spot.  Looks like BGR might work for a "plan b" route.  Even BOS if the wind cooperates.

[Ginx snewx]

4 inches plus of QPF and Kevin you need not worry

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Here's the Euro clown map..

Time to make this it's own thread or still too far out?

Kevin would delete his account if that verified. 33 for ORH and 10 for him. Even Ray with 20"+. 

[CoastalWx]

Not good fir Kevin 

[#NoPoles]

Oh yeah, baby, cant wait to track the liquid in my rain gauge!

[Ginx snewx]

22 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I'll take what it shows though. 

Too bad I'll be at Pit 2 (if I can get in).  

 

How are the winds looking with this?

What a beast on the coast over 60 hrs of gusts from the east NE. Geez that's 5 to 6 tide cycles with a 1000 mile fetch

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, #NoPoles said:

Oh yeah, baby, cant wait to track the liquid in my rain gauge!

Sounds naughty

[EastonSN+]

Check out day 15 on the GEFS, may be a better set up for the coast.

The first storm is Aron Judge. Even if he strikes out for the coast we still have Gioncarlo Stanton. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Not good fir Kevin 

I know you know better but thumpity thump thump . If anyone would post a Dec 92 snow map that would be cool and relevant.

[mreaves]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

There's a northern limit to this. That is a very strong block and it's retrograding as the storm approaches. But it could still def get good snows up to powderfreak. The circulation is huge. 

Quoting this for posterity. When I see dim sun while it’s pounding down south and become even more fearful of overly strong blocking.  

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not good fir Kevin 

It can't have rain for Kevin because it has all snow for me.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

That would nail the coffin for me. I may never recover.

[CoastalWx]

For this storm and in honor of Steve, I bought some rising tide.

[40/70 Benchmark]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Crippleage for nrn ORH into SNH.

Interior ne MA, too.

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That would knock your cocks off.

COC  Collapser?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

That is the most likely solution imo. Mar 01 is clearly the top analog. 

[dryslot]

Somebody may get a 30 burger out of this one.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Interior ne MA, too.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That is the most likely solution imo. Mar 01 is clearly the top analog. 

I think something like this is likely.

Bank it.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Somebody may get a 30 burger out of this one.

Of April '97 style man-snow.