February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wednesday.

needle threading ftw ?

.. spent some time early describing how the surrounding circulation construct is narrowing probabilities for cold enthusiasts ... how ironic then if so -

[CoastalWx]

Almost looks like the nrn stream trough presses south a bit, but the srn stream maybe is a bit sharper and keeps the low a little more south.

[MJO812]

Gfs is also colder for mid week

Nice event for the interior

[512high]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

needle threading ftw ?

.. spent some time early describing how the surrounding circulation construct is narrowing probabilities for cold enthusiasts ... how ironic then if so -

SCOTT/TIP make it happen! My wife can sew that in the needle!

[powderfreak]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian is an all out snow storm.

There it is.  As I suspected early this morning we'll see some runs that get the larger populous here all jazzed again.

Just need MPM to say winter's over and meh a couple more times and SNE is locked and loaded with that one.

[Ginx snewx]

MPM at 1500 ft calling for an end to winter Feb 2nd. Thought I was in the Georgia subforum.  Nice trends overnight for Wed. Better again at 12Z. 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian is an all out snow storm.

Not ALL out.

[MJO812]

I think next week's storm trends colder. EPO is going negative and the pna is also rising .https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html

[Blizz]

\\

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not ALL out.

 Some are going all in.   I would take a CMC and GFS compromise.

[weathafella]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

5”. Was paste but turned into powder 

I didn’t realize that.  I was coming back from Denver yesterday so I have not ideas of the intricacies of the Thursday night/Friday morning system.   You’ll probably keep some at least.

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not ALL out.

Pretty close. Anyways hope the trends continue. 

[CoastalWx]

Ukie looks like a shift east as well.

[weathafella]

16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

MPM at 1500 ft calling for an end to winter Feb 2nd. Thought I was in the Georgia subforum.  Nice trends overnight for Wed. Better again at 12Z. 

 

1500 feet in the deep interior.  Go figure....

[weathafella]

CMC give me a foot.  For now I’m selling.

[tunafish]

LOL @  anyone calling winter over on 2/3.  No need to be so dramatic

[Baroclinic Zone]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty close. Anyways hope the trends continue. 

Indeed.  Love how MPM said winter is over there and the CMC comes out with like 18-24" for him by midweek. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

1500 feet in the deep interior.  Go figure....

The guy has had snow OTG since early December.

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The guy has had snow OTG since early December.

He’s become eeyore with an edge.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The guy has had snow OTG since early December.

I know @dendrite can we get a stfu MPM emoticon?

[snowgeek]

Definitely colder Wednesday. Even starts here as a little snow. Tomorrow has trended to a period of heavier rain so would be nice to have a taste of winter Wednesday. Certainly interior has a better shot. 

 

“Certainly interior has a better shot. “

We’ve heard that before and then we watch SNE get buried while we brown ground it. The old southern shuffle still a possibility for the Wed event.

 

 

.

[scoob40]

35 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

MPM at 1500 ft calling for an end to winter Feb 2nd. Thought I was in the Georgia subforum.  Nice trends overnight for Wed. Better again at 12Z. 

 

His elevation is 1066. I believe MRG is close to 1500 ft.

[WinterWolf]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The guy has had snow OTG since early December.

Ya MPM has been very edgy lately...love the winter over posts...Classic big time Eyore.

[WinterWolf]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty close. Anyways hope the trends continue. 

C’mon this can’t happen...winter is over didn’t you here from quite a few on here...we’re at the end...Spring is on the doorstep. 

[ORH_wxman]

Good to see all the globals at 12z so far shifting for Wednesday. Almost the whole forum would do pretty well on those solutions maybe save the south coast. 

 

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Good to see all the globals at 12z so far shifting for Wednesday. Almost the whole forum would do pretty well on those solutions maybe save the south coast. 

 

I at least wanted to get SNE involved so we could get better analysis and discussion .  

Case in point already more posts in the past hour about this event than the past 2 days. 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Good to see all the globals at 12z so far shifting for Wednesday. Almost the whole forum would do pretty well on those solutions maybe save the south coast. 

 

Mmm ... Not to be Debbie buuuut...  we should keep in mind that these needle thread deals can shift on a dime by small lat/lon variances and the gradients being pretty tight it can mean a huge sensible difference in terms of impact. 

[powderfreak]

Interesting to see the GEFS looks like it would be north of the OP for Wednesday in the mean.  

But looks like there is one really jacked member over like ROC that may be skewing it.

[weathafella]

It’s a SWFE actually as depicted.  

[MJO812]

Ed Valle thinks we should watch next weeks storm even near the coast because of the sneaky nao dip towards negative