Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 minute ago, mappy said: Based on radar, I think the initial enhanced zone from 13z outlook should have stayed. But who knows... The expanded area was due to the concern that propogation of the line would spark storms deeper into MD, similar to June 2012 / 2013. I agree with you though that if they left it the same as the morning SWODY1 that it would've been okay. NOVA and WV look like they're gonna get smacked pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 I am LOVIN this frontal boundary, I have received nice rains with it. I wish the boundary could stay for a month. There's nothin, like a good flood. What I don't like, is high winds. I just got finished cleaning up after March 1-2. I don't need more 70 mph gusts lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Tops pushing 60,000 feet just west of Martinsburg....pseudo warm front was analyzed on the WPC precip disco in that vicinity so it's possible it could start spinning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Any rotation showing up? Anyone have GRL 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC021-043-VAC043-069-139-171-187-840-WVC003-037-142200- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0050.180514T2113Z-180514T2200Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 513 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Western Frederick County in north central Maryland... Central Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northern Page County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Southeastern Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 513 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Shepherdstown to near Mount Jackson, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Front Royal, Strasburg, Charles Town, Woodstock, Shepherdstown, Millwood Pike, Luray, Ranson, Berryville, Mount Jackson, Stephens City, Stanley, Harpers Ferry, Corporation Of Ranson, Kearneysville, New Market, Middletown, Keedysville and Bolivar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 hour ago, Kmlwx said: LOL the latest HRRR has a tiny spec of 85kts on the wind gust product. Doubtful. Is it showing tennis ball-sized hail, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Just now, mattie g said: Is it showing tennis ball-sized hail, too? lol Softball sized hail has happened before in the LWX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Wow 3" hail marker on the MBR storm...hail core suspended at 40,000 feet! Heads up Charles Town! Lots of lightning out ahead of it so the line is probably going to scream into Loudoun and Fairfax Counties shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 I thought about chasing that "cell"... but if its coming to me than I don't need to go anywhere lol And wow... what an image @Eskimo Joe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Please NO hail in Dale City. My poor car windshield would get smashed and I'd have holes in my roof. Three inch hailstones will do a variety of horrific damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Updated warning has 2" hail and 70 mph winds for Charles Town...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Um.... uh oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Updated warning has 2" hail and 70 mph winds for Charles Town...wow. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 522 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 MDC021-043-VAC043-069-139-171-187-840-WVC003-037-142200- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-180514T2200Z/ Washington MD-Frederick MD-Shenandoah VA-Frederick VA-Warren VA- Clarke VA-Page VA-City of Winchester VA-Jefferson WV-Berkeley WV- 522 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AND WESTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...CENTRAL SHENANDOAH...SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK... WARREN...CLARKE AND NORTHERN PAGE COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...JEFFERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN BERKELEY COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND THE CITY OF WINCHESTER... At 521 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Shepherdstown to near Mount Jackson, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. at 521 pm, Golfball sized hail was reported in kearneysville. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Winchester, Front Royal, Strasburg, Charles Town, Woodstock, Shepherdstown, Millwood Pike, Luray, Ranson, Berryville, Mount Jackson, Stephens City, Stanley, Harpers Ferry, Corporation Of Ranson, Kearneysville, New Market, Middletown, Keedysville and Bolivar. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... These are dangerous storms. Prepare immediately for large destructive hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Next frame even better. Wow. Just wow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Golf ball sized hail in Jefferson County, WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Um @mattie g? BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 529 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Montgomery County in central Maryland... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... East central Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 630 PM EDT. * At 528 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Charles Town, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 521 pm, golf ball sized hail was reported in eastern West Virginia and the storm continues to strengthen. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. * Locations impacted include... Leesburg, South Riding, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Ashburn, Sterling, Countryside, Purcellville, Round Hill, Arcola, Oatlands, Bluemont, Darnestown, Belmont, Lovettsville, Bolivar and Hamilton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3914 7794 3933 7777 3911 7731 3889 7753 TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 307DEG 20KT 3928 7788 HAIL...2.50IN WIND...70MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 64 kts at ~1,600 ft AGL between Rippon and Charles Town. There's you winner per the HRRR. Heads up Loudoun County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Severe Thunderstorm Warning VAC003-079-113-139-165-171-660-142230- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0052.180514T2133Z-180514T2230Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 533 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Western Madison County in northwestern Virginia... South central Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Southern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Southwestern Page County in northwestern Virginia... North central Albemarle County in central Virginia... Greene County in central Virginia... The City of Harrisonburg in western Virginia... * Until 630 PM EDT. * At 533 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Timberville to near Bridgewater, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Harrisonburg, Bridgewater, Broadway, Grottoes, Timberville, Shenandoah, Massanutten, Stanley, Stanardsville, Free Union, Dale Enterprise, Big Meadows, Elkton, New Market, Dayton, Mount Crawford, Alma, Rocky Bar, Honeyville and Haywood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 The VIL on that Charles Town cell is off the charts!Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Tops on the WV cell just dropped ~15,000 feet...maybe a core collapse or re-cycling? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, alexderiemer said: The VIL on that Charles Town cell is off the charts! Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk TVS in that area per radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 TVS in that area per radarscopeSeeing same but the velocity scan doesbt easily reflect that Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Tops on the WV cell just dropped ~15,000 feet...maybe a core collapse or re-cycling? That happened to a severe thunderstorm near Orlando in 1992, and it dropped much of its hail in one place. One area had like six inches of hail on the ground. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Omg severe weather statement for the Loudoun County cell from LWX at 540pm says hail the size of baseballs!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, alexderiemer said: Seeing same but the velocity scan doesbt easily reflect that Sent from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk Could it be a microburst? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 DC is going to get slapped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Looks like I’ll be fringe city, but I’ll take the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 31 minutes ago, yoda said: lol Softball sized hail has happened before in the LWX CWA 20 minutes ago, yoda said: Um @mattie g? BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 529 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Montgomery County in central Maryland... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... East central Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 630 PM EDT. * At 528 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Charles Town, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 521 pm, golf ball sized hail was reported in eastern West Virginia and the storm continues to strengthen. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. * Locations impacted include... Leesburg, South Riding, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Ashburn, Sterling, Countryside, Purcellville, Round Hill, Arcola, Oatlands, Bluemont, Darnestown, Belmont, Lovettsville, Bolivar and Hamilton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3914 7794 3933 7777 3911 7731 3889 7753 TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 307DEG 20KT 3928 7788 HAIL...2.50IN WIND...70MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 That line is solidifying quite nicely, but perhaps not as much discreet potential than straight-line winds as the live rushes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Tornado warning in ashburn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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