mattskiva Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 78/69 at KIAD, 80/70 at KHEF. I am showing 82/72 about 10mi to the SW of IAD. Much warmer than I expected. Full sun since noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Yeah...I'd love to see some more easterly component to the entire complex. i feel like dc is in a prime spot for this based off of where the 500 low is heading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 8 minutes ago, 87storms said: i feel like dc is in a prime spot for this based off of where the 500 low is heading. Per HRRR Northern Neck to Eastern MD is going to get pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 LOL the latest HRRR has a tiny spec of 85kts on the wind gust product. Doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 I got 81/71 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: LOL the latest HRRR has a tiny spec of 85kts on the wind gust product. Doubtful. hrrrx is running too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0259 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018 Valid 142000Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... A line of severe thunderstorms, accompanied by a swath of damaging winds, will continue southeast across parts of the Appalachians and lower Mid-Atlantic through this evening. Scattered severe storms producing large hail and damaging wind will also develop/persist from the southern Great Plains to the Lower Missouri Valley and Midwest late this afternoon and evening. ...Midwest to Mid-Atlantic... A convective complex is making steady progress through the central Appalachians as of 1930Z, with occasional strong wind gusts. Additionally, a few pulse/multicell storms, capable of marginally severe hail and downburst winds, have evolved across the higher terrain of western Virginia -- generally within an uncapped and weakly sheared environment. As the main complex continues its approach towards the Mid-Atlantic, it will encounter more favorable surface-based buoyancy, as well as relatively improved storm-relative inflow, given a more easterly component of flow in northern Virginia. In turn, the line should solidify/intensify some as it reaches the WV/VA border, with an attendant increase in the wind threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, Z-Cast said: Per HRRR Northern Neck to Eastern MD is going to get pummeled. satellite imagery looks really impressive. gonna be interested in seeing the reports out of shenandoah when that line moves through. just hope we don't skipped over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 healthy... http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 85/73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 First warnings along Allegheny Front. Mineral, Grant, Allegany, Hampshire, and a sliver of Hardy warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Chase said: First warnings along Allegheny Front. Mineral, Grant, Allegany, Hampshire, and a sliver of Hardy warned. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 412 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northwestern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Northwestern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 412 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Ridgeley to near Bayard, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, Keyser, Westernport, Romney, Bel Air, Bayard, Fort Ashby, Piedmont, Elk Garden, Kitzmiller, Ridgeley, Cresaptown, Potomac Park, Wiley Ford, Rawlings, Springfield, Green Spring, Burlington, Oldtown and Luke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC001-043-WVC003-065-142100- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0045.180514T2019Z-180514T2100Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 419 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Allegany County in western Maryland... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 418 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of Berkeley Springs, or 7 miles northeast of Paw Paw, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Martinsburg, Greenwood, Inwood, Berkeley Springs, Berkeley, Falling Waters, Great Cacapon, Hedgesville, Pecktonville, Big Spring, Big Pool, Little Orleans, Johnsons Mill, Tomahawk, Johnsontown, Valley View, Fishers Bridge, Spohrs Crossroads, Bunker Hill and Oakland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 I wonder if the activity over central Virginia becomes the source for the metro action? There hasn't been much forward movement from the complex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Over here in Frederick starting to see the clouds from the line to my West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Severe storm near Berkeley Springs WV warned for golf ball sized hail per updated SWS... looks like its headed SE toward or near MRB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 The line is definitely growing stronger and bigger! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 CWG needs to stop hyping events. This isn't similar to the 2012 event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Per CWG's 4 pm update: " It is very unlikely, however, this event will be as intense as the destructive June 2012 derecho that swept through the region. : 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 439 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Western Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 439 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Bayard to 15 miles east of Dailey, moving southeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Moorefield, Petersburg, Franklin, Rough Run, Brandywine, Upper Tract, Bean Settlement, Landes, Arthur, Brushy Run, Riverton, Deer Run, Seymourville, Lahmansville, Circleville, Ruddle, Masonville, Cabins, Hopeville and Oak Flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 The Martinsburg activity is the best chance for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Unless the line grows on it’s northeast side, I won’t see much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 451 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... North central Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Central Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northeastern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southern Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Southeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 451 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Martinsburg to near Wardensville, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Martinsburg, Strasburg, Millwood Pike, Ranson, Inwood, Stephens City, Wardensville, Kearneysville, Star Tannery, Shenandoah Junction, Middleway, Winebrenners Cross, Yellow Spring, High View, Cedar Grove, Clear Brook, Ridgeway, Bunker Hill and Stephenson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 June 2012 Derecho part 2? A man can dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Possible rotation near Martinsburg...a TOR wouldn't shock me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Unless it builds more to the East the tip of the line will just brush my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I think we still see garden variety stuff up here regardless . The derecho really didn't effect my yard back in 2012 . It was well south ...this feels and looks to hit those same areas . Fine by me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Based on radar, I think the initial enhanced zone from 13z outlook should have stayed. But who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 The martinsburg cell looks solid on satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now