Eskimo Joe Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 Just now, George BM said: Mmmm... sounds EF-1ish. Way to early to say that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 Another STW issued by LWX for CHO... and Rockingham and Nelson and Augusta and Albermarle County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 Might need a local watch extension down there. Don't think the TOR risk will get north of I-66, but down there it's justified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 Quote 000 NWUS51 KRNK 152353 LSRRNK PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 752 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2018 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0701 PM TORNADO 3 SE FOREST 37.33N 79.24W 04/15/2018 CAMPBELL VA TRAINED SPOTTER SPOTTERS AND VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPT VISUALLY CONFIRMED TORNADO ON TIMBERLAKE ROAD. CARS WERE FLIPPED OVER, SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWNED AND SEVERAL STRUCTURES DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED. && $$ LOCONTO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 These suckers are moving fast: Quote AT 728 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FORKS OF BUFFALO, MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 15, 2018 Share Posted April 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: So far a BK, a Starbucks and a living care facility have HEAVY damage, per news reports. Also power outages up to 18K oh, yeah, pics, showing a building missing 1/2 of roof and a wall blown out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 6 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: So far a BK, a Starbucks and a living care facility have HEAVY damage, per news reports. Also power outages up to 18K oh, yeah, pics, showing a building missing 1/2 of roof and a wall blown out. Sauce? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Sauce? Watching live news feed WSET 13 Lynchburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Another TOR Quote National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 805 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Augusta County in western Virginia... The City of Staunton in western Virginia... The City of Waynesboro in western Virginia... * Until 830 PM EDT * At 805 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Stuarts Draft, or near Waynesboro, moving north at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Crimora, Sherando, Fishersville, Verona, Weyers Cave, Lyndhurst, New Hope, Mount Sidney, Hermitage, Fort Defiance, Staunton Airport and Afton Mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Raining buckets in Charlottesville. Lightning is all C-to-C. Not particularly windy either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 833 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Orange County in central Virginia... East central Albemarle County in central Virginia... Southern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Western Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 915 PM EDT * At 831 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 8 miles southeast of Stanardsville to near Troy to Lakeside Village, moving north northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Culpeper, Orange, Gordonsville, Brightwood, Mine Run, Stevensburg, Oakpark, Barboursville, Verdiersville, Everona, Montpelier Station, Locust Grove, Flat Run, Thornhill, Nasons, Winston, Madison Mills, Montford, Mitchells and Glenora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 23z HRRR has us getting back into the mid 60s by 7z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Tornado damage in Lynchburg https://mobile.twitter.com/DonaldEatmon/status/985682664308072453 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Decent rotation approaching Kenbridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Luckily it's well west of the Richmond area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Those are some very intense circulations. Rotational velocities have exceeded 40-50kts at times with that northern cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Another tornado warning near Powhatan/Goochland/Amelia counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Damn, just bought a house in Midlothian. Would be some kind of luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Weird, they let the warning expire with both areas of rotation still very evident (albeit broader) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 I don't get it, these velocities don't even warrant at least a severe warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Well that was disappointing last night. Only some brief moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 16, 2018 Author Share Posted April 16, 2018 I woke up to one very nice clap of thunder and that was about it. The season is extremely young...I don't expect much this time of year. By May if we aren't tracking some shots of severe then we can start getting itchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 Lynchburg and Amherst tornado upgraded to an EF-3 000 NOUS41 KRNK 181539 CCA PNSRNK NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059- WVZ042>044-507-508-171500- Public Information Statement...Corrected for intensity rating National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1138 PM EDT Wed Apr 18 2018 ***UPDATED FOR EF-SCALE RATING CHANGE FROM EF-2 TO EF-3*** ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY SUMMARY FOR THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG AND INCLUDING PARTS OF CAMPBELL AND AMHERST COUNTIES FOR A TORNADO EVENT ON SUNDAY APRIL 15 2018... ***Based on additional analysis of damage photos and discussions with experts on tornado damage we have increased the maximum winds in the Elon community in Amherst County from 130 mph to 150 mph, which is in the EF-3 category*** The NWS has completed a survey of damage that impacted northwest Campbell County, the City of Lynchburg, and southern Amherst Co, and confirmed a tornado with 20.4 mile long path length, with maximum winds speeds of 150 mph. This puts at the mid range of the EF3 scale. Here are some specifics: Start Location...Near Timberlake in Campbell County VA End Location...5.5 miles west-northwest of Amherst in Amherst County VA Date...April 15 2018 Estimated Time...700 to 725 PM EDT Sunday April 15 2018 Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF3 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...150 mph Maximum Path Width...600 yards Path Length...20.4 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...37.3264 / -79.241 Ending Lat/Lon...37.606, -79.163 * Fatalities...None * Injuries...12 (estimated) ...Summary... The tornado first touched down in northwest Campbell County, just south of Waterlink Road and east of Timberlake Road (37.3264, -79.241), doing EF1 damage to trees as well as some roof damage, with an initial path width of about 100 yards. It then tracked NNW initially, then NNE and followed along the east side of Timberlake Road, damaging a number of businesses, flipping some cars and a truck trailer. Here it reached low-end EF2 wind speeds of 115 mph. It then crossed Timberlake Road as it moved into the western City limits of Lynchburg. In Lynchburg, the tornado damaged a mobile home park, with minor damage to roofs of homes and business and snapping dozens of trees as it crossed Boonesboro Road. Here it widened to about 600 yards wide doing EF1 damage. It then crossed the James River into Amherst County. In Amherst County the tornado crossed Highway 130 in the Elon area and strengthened to its maximum intensity with winds estimated at 150 mph. Here dozens of homes were badly damaged, some nearly completely, and many large pine trees were snapped off and left with no branches. A motor home was carried about 30 feet and tipped over. The hardest hit areas were along Nottaway Drive and Deerfield Drive. The damage path was about 400 yards wide in this area, but the strong EF3 damage was about 100 yards wide. The tornado then continued moving NNE doing mainly damage to trees and some minor roof damage to homes. Many hundreds of trees were snapped and uprooted as it tracked along parts of High Peak Road and appeared to be as wide as 400 yards at times, doing EF1 damage, before it eventually crossed Wares Gap Road and dissipated as it began to move up Shady Mountain Ridge (37.606, -79.163). The National Weather Service would like to express sincere gratitude to the emergency officials from Campbell and Amherst Counties, as well as the City of Lynchburg. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ Keighton 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 Most powerful storm of my lifetime happened last year and I actually got struck by lightning. 20-50 branches of real lightning was striking every 1-2 seconds. Multiple pulses, dark swirling clouds, all. Besides that, the climate for severe weather has really changed in this area since the early 2000s. For example, it's almost May and there hasn't been a storm and it really hasn't been close. It has been a cold pattern but where are the cumulus clouds? In the 1990s it was also much different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 16 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Most powerful storm of my lifetime happened last year and I actually got struck by lightning. 20-50 branches of real lightning was striking every 1-2 seconds. Multiple pulses, dark swirling clouds, all. Besides that, the climate for severe weather has really changed in this area since the early 2000s. For example, it's almost May and there hasn't been a storm and it really hasn't been close. It has been a cold pattern but where are the cumulus clouds? In the 1990s it was also much different. As I understand it, 50 strikes per second would be at the far upper end of what the human eye is able to perceive before the flickering appears to be uninterrupted illumination. Was that really the case? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 Not really close. For the eye to pick up 50-200 unique strands on a single bolt is pretty incredible imo. If you want to talk, these are just averages. The real story is the temporary balance (in high-low pressure?) the storm caused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Going to be a long while methinks before we see any real chance for a severe storm... or even a thunderstorm for that matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 2 hours ago, yoda said: Going to be a long while methinks before we see any real chance for a severe storm... or even a thunderstorm for that matter As long as we don't get destroyed while I'm in FL on vacation (May 15th-24th). I don't want to miss any action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 18 hours ago, Kmlwx said: As long as we don't get destroyed while I'm in FL on vacation (May 15th-24th). I don't want to miss any action. This is going to be a record low year for flooding and severe locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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