Bango Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: You are correct..she's drying up boys I could be wrong, but i think it looks quite better then modeled, as a lot of the models showed a complete drying up over south mississippi, followed by a retap over eastern miss, southern bama shortly thereafter...plus i dont think models had the width of the precip field correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 16 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: I'm just across the lake from Spring City waiting on flakes still. I still feel good about this. Starting to pick up here, still not seeing anything Shawn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I finally have the first returns over me but appear to be virga, but what it interesting is the wind just picked up and gusty out of the north. Temp has dropped 2 degrees in the last 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 This winter storm is getting interesting. Love these wild card events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Dang sun is still out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Bango said: I could be wrong, but i think it looks quite better then modeled, as a lot of the models showed a complete drying up over south mississippi, followed by a retap over southern bama Maybe so but I'm just looking at northern Alabama.. getting ragged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Kasper said: Starting to pick up here, still not seeing anything Shawn? Not yet but those clouds are heavy and temp is dropping like right with the radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Mrwolf1972 said: Dang sun is still out here Pull out the sunscreen!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raiders05 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: You are correct..she's drying up boys This type of system will have moments where it may seem to be drying up in areas. It’s just part of it. I suggest reading what others are saying and trust it. Otherwise you’ll drive yourself crazy watching the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Geez this place is worse than Volquest when we lose a 3* recruit. Pack it up boys let’s go to the house. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Maybe so but I'm just looking at northern Alabama.. getting ragged There were models showing Central AL getting blanked almost. Though have to be careful a lot of areas that saw much larger snow amounts had no radar returns showing while still pouring snow. Snow can be very deceptive with radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: Not yet but those clouds are heavy and temp is dropping like right with the radar returns. I see what you mean with the wind, I’m about to cross over watts bar and it’s really picked up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Raiders05 said: This type of system will have moments where it may seem to be drying up in areas. It’s just part of it. I suggest reading what others are saying and trust it. Otherwise you’ll drive yourself crazy watching the radar. I just don't see the drying on radar scope in Alabama. What Raiders05 says is true you will drive yourself crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Geez this place is worse than Volquest when we lose a 3* recruit. Pack it up boys let’s go to the house. . We lost a recruit???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2018 Author Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, bearman said: I just don't see the drying on radar scope in Alabama. What Raiders05 says is true you will drive yourself crazy. Like taking a lollipop from a 2 year old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Drying up is pretty evident via national radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 4 minutes ago, Kasper said: I see what you mean with the wind, I’m about to cross over watts bar and it’s really picked up Yeah in the winter I get wind right off the lake when it is NW. First Flurries now flying here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 We will see if it fully comes to pass, but virtually every model showed the precip breaking up in Alabama and Mississippi/Louisiana then regenerating in short order. It's happening later than forecast by them but it appears to finally be happening. I expect the regeneration will occur too. So far the models biggest struggle is timing, snow intensity, and level of cold. They've been too fast to show the initial breakup of the precip, too slow advancing it eastward, too light with snow amounts and too cold on the front side of the front and not cold enough in the snow on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Geez this place is worse than Volquest when we lose a 3* recruit. Pack it up boys let’s go to the house. . Good ole Powell!! Every board needs the eternal optimist. Just like UT football, I’m kinda of jaded when it comes to these types of systems for the Valley. Witnessed for over 30 years systems drying up as they come across the plateau. Hoping for the best this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Not so much losing its moisture, but the best lift is pulling north. Models show the jet enhancing again as it crosses East TN down into Central GA leading to another line forming...it's a waiting game now to see if that happens or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Places where radar looked like crap all night, are reporting 3 inches of snow. It is patchy but those patches are 30-dbz. Could be my last post of the event though. Will report obs. Even the ARW choke-fest model shows increasing trends late afternoon East Tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Not so much losing its moisture, but the best lift is pulling north. Models show the jet enhancing again as it crosses East TN down into Central GA leading to another line forming...it's a waiting game now to see if that happens or not. That is also where the best accumulating snows occurred in the east, you could see the models enhance the precip rates during that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The ratios are awesome since the core of the snow is taking place in low 20s and teens. Temp is in free fall in my area. Down 7 degrees in the last hour and 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 We will see if it fully comes to pass, but virtually every model showed the precip breaking up in Alabama and Mississippi/Louisiana then regenerating in short order. It's happening later than forecast by them but it appears to finally be happening. I expect the regeneration will occur too. So far the models biggest struggle is timing, snow intensity, and level of cold. They've been too fast to show the initial breakup of the precip, too slow advancing it eastward, too light with snow amounts and too cold on the front side of the front and not cold enough in the snow on the backside.In other words....just another typical day in winter weather modelingSent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattywarmnose Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Officially snowing in downtown Chattanooga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastKnox Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 A nice band is developing just northeast of Dayton - looks like that one will get west Knox county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 As john mentioned, its been alot slower...heck, it was supposed to enter western swva about six hours ago ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Like Jeff said, even the areas with light returns are producing. Just could be a situation where East and West of Chattanooga get higher amounts, but right now I don't see anyone getting totally blanked. Chattanooga SnowDome FTW...lol jk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Snowing in Clinton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Flurries really starting to pick up here and temp is dropping quickly now. Was up to 36, just 30 minutes ago back down to freezing. Flurries are now getting close to being able to call it light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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