Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Potential 1/17-1/18 threat


BullCityWx

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, Red1976Red said:

WPC looks interesting and close to my thoughts so far, I do expect more changes closer to the event:

40-50% chance 1" snow or greater from Wilkesboro to Asheboro and points north-east. mountains included. (Winter Weather Advisory)

Cut off lines near Greenville, SC, Charlotte,NC and Raleigh,NC as usual with every storm. (Edge of advisory/special weather statement)

Less moisture central/southern foothills into south-west NC including Asheville. (special weather statement, advisory bordering northern foothills and in the higher elevations)

4" or more warning criteria reserved for the mountains, western Wilkes and just north of Surry into Virginia. (Winter Storm Warning Chances, Slim albeit possible)

 

 

Here’s the photo

AA0E52FD-2870-400C-816E-3258710704B4.jpeg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 2.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

 

1 minute ago, griteater said:

21z SREF Mean hanging in there with QPF, no reductions this run

As far as precip type, these maps give the general idea of rain/snow mix quickly changing to snow in central and eastern NC. SREF not one to spit out snow precip type unless it's convinced

1a0ed8e7c4a356af990b075c3519a68f.jpg

43ecf93ecfb9f26db9db3d486250e1dd.jpg

.15 here, close to the German and Euro

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, griteater said:

21z SREF Mean hanging in there with QPF, no reductions this run

As far as precip type, these maps give the general idea of rain/snow mix quickly changing to snow in central and eastern NC. SREF not one to spit out snow precip type unless it's convinced

1a0ed8e7c4a356af990b075c3519a68f.jpg

43ecf93ecfb9f26db9db3d486250e1dd.jpg

During last storm, didn't we say to not use SREF, because it was horrible ? Or was that HRRR 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

During last storm, didn't we say to not use SREF, because it was horrible ? Or was that HRRR 

I'm not a fan of how the SREF is constructed, at all (normally it has widely varying results from its members)...but I'm looking at the SREF mean for general QPF trends. It held fine this run...and my comment about the precip type stands

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...