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Upstate/Eastern New York


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The changeover was very quick here in Toronto... almost no freezing rain.. maybe 20 minutes of ice pellets and then just a blast of snow. It's been awesome up here... wasn't expecting any snow really. So jealous you guys get to enjoy this type of snow for hours! Big dendrites, very gusty, high ratio snow. Visibility easily down to 1/2 SM

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10 minutes ago, snowcaine said:

The changeover was very quick here in Toronto... almost no freezing rain.. maybe 20 minutes of ice pellets and then just a blast of snow. It's been awesome up here... wasn't expecting any snow really. So jealous you guys get to enjoy this type of snow for hours! Big dendrites, very gusty, high ratio snow. Visibility easily down to 1/2 SM

What a great observation but I'm thinking here along the SE shore there may be some moderation of the immediate air mass as it heads over Lake Ontario but I hope it does the same over here.

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Here you go boys out in WNY, hot off the presses, lol!

 
Mesoscale Discussion 0023
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

   Areas affected...Swrn through nern Ohio...nwrn Pennsylvania...wrn
   New York

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 121958Z - 130000Z

   SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow at up to 1 inch per hour rates may
   develop across areas near and southeast of Lake Erie through the 4-8
   PM EST time frame.

   DISCUSSION...As large-scale upper troughing continues to dig into
   portions of the upper Great Lakes/Midwest region, and another trough
   pivots across and northeast of the Tennessee Valley, models indicate
   an area of strengthening lower/mid tropospheric frontogenetic
   forcing across parts of the lower Ohio Valley/Great Lakes region by
   early evening.  Associated lift, including through the favorable
   dendritic growth zone, appears likely to be accompanied by a band of
   increasing precipitation rates across roughly the Interstate-71
   corridor of Ohio, into the Cleveland metro area, and east
   northeastward through Buffalo and surrounding areas of western New
   York state.  Coinciding with further low/mid-level cooling to
   sub-freezing temperatures, as a sharp cold front steadily advances
   southeastward, this is expected to become mostly moderate to heavy
   snow.  This may include at least a couple hour period at rates near
   or in excess of 1 inch per hour, before heavier snow begins to
   develop/shift off to the east northeast of the lower Great Lakes
   region this evening.
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18 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said:

Changeover line is about 50 miles to your West KBUF. Should be FZ/RN now with a temp of 31F at least that's what I'm seeing.

Thanks Freak for staying on top of this with all the real-time updates - good stuff...I'm a little more optimistic than earlier based on how things are progressing, especially from FL's east.  

No snow here yet, looks like a tiny glaze starting to form on branches as we go further below freezing.  

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