weathafella Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 February and March at least through 3/15 look damned good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: February and March at least through 3/15 look damned good! Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 If this verifies I'll give Ray a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 11 minutes ago, JC-CT said: If this verifies I'll give Ray a Oh not another phantom -NAO. I'll believe that when.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 19 minutes ago, JC-CT said: If this verifies I'll give Ray a I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 maybe this thread is better when there are no snow threats..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2018 Author Share Posted January 22, 2018 yet again ... miss-allocation of the NAO and not getting it. that's a horrible, horrible pattern there... East-based -NAO with a -3 SD geopotential coupled minimum parked due N of Maine is a suppression hell - people - you don't understand the NAO and should just stop. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2018 Share Posted January 22, 2018 42 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/955564307491762177d All I can say is ask Scooter to expound .. should he choose to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 inch of snow and now 28F and FRZRA+ significant icing on the windshiled and car just coming up the hill 1 mile, wipers could not keep up, crazy! roads are a mess, winter rolls on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 2 hours ago, WeathermanB said: I'll take it In Atlanta...sure. That has no room but to slide/shred any wave se into bermuda. Pointless to discuss really but I much prefer the negative height anomolies closer to the coast with positive heights above further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: All I can say is ask Scooter to expound .. should he choose to Don't need Scooter I can read wx models, interpret MJO progression and understand hemispheric rebound. That being said, here's your EPS Wk 3 neg EPO neg AO Pos PNA Pos NAO -2 with huge departures starting mid week STJ influence WK 4 neg EPO neg AO Pos PNA Pos NAO -4+ if not colder coastal stormy WK 5 neg EPO neg AO Pos PNA Pos NAO -3 + cold stormy clipper Miller b WK 6 neg EPO neutral AO Pos PNA / Pos NAO -2. + stormy all over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: yet again ... miss-allocation of the NAO and not getting it. that's a horrible, horrible pattern there... East-based -NAO with a -3 SD geopotential coupled minimum parked due N of Maine is a suppression hell - people - you don't understand the NAO and should just stop. haha A -NAO, at least a central or west based one of decent magnitude in a strongly -EPO pattern is really not possible. DT had a great video back in 14-15 explaining why that is and showed the comparisons to 93-94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 7 hours ago, OceanStWx said: I don't know about MOS specifically, but there may have been some truth to that. Nobody came in over the weekend to specifically start shutting down government services, and today we have 4 hours in the morning to officially take care of those processes. But as Steve said, it's over now so everything should be returning to normal. Bastardi opening fire right now on Twitter over the sites still being down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: yet again ... miss-allocation of the NAO and not getting it. that's a horrible, horrible pattern there... East-based -NAO with a -3 SD geopotential coupled minimum parked due N of Maine is a suppression hell - people - you don't understand the NAO and should just stop. haha Yes I was thinking that too! very suppressive, but perhaps just a snapshot in time, not the overriding pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 19 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Yes I was thinking that too! very suppressive, but perhaps just a snapshot in time, not the overriding pattern? Lol it was preceeded by a snowstorm, that was after the U'LL passed through. Nobody understands transient blocking? It's what made the 2011 2013 2015 KU s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 25 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Yes I was thinking that too! very suppressive, but perhaps just a snapshot in time, not the overriding pattern? It’s the fukking GFS operational d16 prog. Not the ensembles-the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s the fukking GFS operational d16 prog. Not the ensembles-the op. ooops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 I see zero reason to stray from anything. Timing could prove a bit slow, but we'll see. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/mid-winter-relaxation-offers-little.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Anybody thinking we can get a surprise threat sometime between the hour 48 and 96. the models swing through a trough that is trying to go negative right on the coast or right before exiting the coastline. Maybe too far south for anything significant. Something to watch for the next 36 hours as the Tuesday storm swings through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: yet again ... miss-allocation of the NAO and not getting it. that's a horrible, horrible pattern there... East-based -NAO with a -3 SD geopotential coupled minimum parked due N of Maine is a suppression hell - people - you don't understand the NAO and should just stop. haha I said that because I don't believe a - nao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Kodiak alaska police department reporting on facebook that the harbor is reciding... Thats not good all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Kodiak alaska police department reporting on facebook that the harbor is reciding... Thats not good all tsunami warning up........................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Man--what an ice rink it is out there this morning. I almost fell on my ass getting firewood last night. We're still at 30* so there's at least a little while before any melting begins. Treacherous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 The train is re-boarding, departs in 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Kodiak alaska police department reporting on facebook that the harbor is reciding... Thats not good all Buoy near the epicenter recorded a 32 ft water displacement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Buoy near the epicenter recorded a 32 ft water displacement. cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 11 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: Bastardi opening fire right now on Twitter over the sites still being down. Shocking. This is just a guess (because this is all happening way above my pay grade), but the government didn't officially open until after close of business yesterday. So those websites are probably not getting turned back on until people come back to work today. That seems like the simplest explanation to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Heavy rain incoming per radar. Uhg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Heavy rain incoming per radar. Uhg. Great. I hope it under performs like the last couple of forecasted snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Heavy rain incoming per radar. Uhg. Can't drill temps down far enough. A few models have the right idea, but are too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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