40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 EURO should be somewhat more progressive...not digging quite as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: EURO should be somewhat more progressive...not digging quite as much. I’m not so sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Hr 120 looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’m not so sure. Looks nothing like the GFS, of course, but shouldn't be as amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Definitely a bit more progressive vs 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Might be nice for E NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 The important thing is the reliable guidance have on the table. We’ll see but I think this is going to be very big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: The important thing is the reliable guidance have on the table. We’ll see but I think this is going to be very big. I want to see it was a bit, but fear later development, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I'm not sure how it still stinks for E NE with the more progressive evolution....odd. Cut totals in half out west, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I want to see it was a bit, but fear later development, too. Always the risk with these setups. The big problem potentially to me is the PNA loss potentially dampening the ability of the leftover trof to dig. We’re using old money in the bank but is it enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks nothing like the GFS, of course, but shouldn't be as amped. You were right, way weaker than 12z. Good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Always the risk with these setups. The big problem potentially to me is the PNA loss potentially dampening the ability of the leftover trof to dig. We’re using old money in the bank but is it enough? Looks like the loss of dynamics results in a slightly warmer solution for us. Not feeling this one....hope I'm wrong. Usually when a myriad of different runs of a model manufacture ways to not snow prolifically, the system is synoptically defective. Anecdotal, but it is what it is....should be some snow, anyways. Still plenty of time, and there will be a 1000 other solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 The whole system comes together later, as I had feared...maratimes get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I leave you with my new crush... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Jerry, the fact that the EURO digs this Miller B the most by far is disheartening for me....I've seen it 100 times....EURO has a bias of digging them too much, hence it develops them too quickly and far south. I feel like the trend towards later and more northerly development is real....not to say we won't see other monster solutions because its several days out, but I think it ends up not digging enough in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Navgem looks similar to the UK to me....tad better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jerry, the fact that the EURO digs this Miller B the most by far is disheartening for me....I've seen it 100 times....EURO has a bias of digging them too much, hence it develops them too quickly and far south. I feel like the trend towards later and more northerly development is real....not to say we won't see other monster solutions because its several days out, but I think it ends up not digging enough in the end. All 0z guidance is digging less. Not sure about ensembles because I didn’t compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 EPS is a bit more progressive, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 This may head to a pedestrian event if we compromise guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 3-6/4-8. Just seems the best idea with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 For those from about my hood down to the canal, might be a good setup for OES prior to any storm. Some of the meso models argue for a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For those from about my hood down to the canal, might be a good setup for OES prior to any storm. Some of the meso models argue for a decent event. How about the pre stuff Tuesday pm on farther west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How about the pre stuff Tuesday pm on farther west? The GFS is just that with a few inches. Euro a little more robust. I’m not sure what to go with, it either way some snow is possible with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I’m excited for a CJ. Riding the BTV WRF hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m excited for a CJ. Riding the BTV WRF hard. And then the coastal Wed into Th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: And then the coastal Wed into Th? Possibly. That’s not a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3-6/4-8. Just seems the best idea with this one All would be happy with that. I'm going to start looking for run to run consistentlcy the next 24-48 hrs maybe the Wed coastal becomes something bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I am near Albany and these forecasts have been atrocious,models are all terrible this year ,the Mets around here just can’t get a forecast right...always calling for 2-4;5-8 a blizzard an ice storm ,I swear nothing close to any call here! I think the models are F’d and I for one believe the nam of all is the only one with half a clue,,( And I mean half ) upstate ny not even close ytd ...MBY,,,6” since and including Xmas ....signed...cliff jumpers galore around here...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Plenty of time left on this one...100+ hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.