CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Thought it would be a bit better, but we'll take it I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Not 12"+ but I guess I take what the GFS just sold me. Tightened up the gradient on the western periphery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Days and weeks of flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Nice soundings on the GFS. Decent lift in the DGZ, with Good H7-H5 fronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Congrats NoPoles on the 12z GFS. Looks like about 6" there at the Canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Started a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 GEM looks good for a lot of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: GEM looks good for a lot of the area. Solid event on CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Cmc looks great friday nice bday present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 GFS with a fropa. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS with a fropa. LOL. It was showing a cutter through BGM like 30 hours ago. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It was showing a cutter through BGM like 30 hours ago. lol. Yeah good consistency....lol. Although I suppose no surprise. One thing that's becoming clear (and fingers crossed)...the cutters that have shown up in the 7 day window are just getting ripped apart in this flow. I mean yes yesterday and today are very mild, but not the shut 'em down solutions that the European guidance had a while back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 SB snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah good consistency....lol. Although I suppose no surprise. One thing that's becoming clear (and fingers crossed)...the cutters that have shown up in the 7 day window are just getting ripped apart in this flow. I mean yes yesterday and today are very mild, but not the shut 'em down solutions that the European guidance had a while back. Also a reminder not to really worry about any threats until at least day 5/6. But yeah, the cutters have been a total fail. Good for ski areas at least. We need a good high QPF snow event up there though to set the stage for February. Maybe a big SWFE or something we can muster up in the first week of February. The kind that gives like the entire region 9-12" with maybe some pelting mixing in down south with a frigid Scooter high sprawling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why are we using op runs 5 days out? I was responding to Scooter saying wish euro op verifies which I then said the trend is weaker and se. Nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: 1-2” for you 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty much nada from river on west. Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 ICON is a nice ripper on Friday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 These cutters get ripped apart and turned into fupas, the flow has minimal time to get going along the EC for anything big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Looks good for a few inches se, but I don't expect much...maybe steal an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Also a reminder not to really worry about any threats until at least day 5/6. But yeah, the cutters have been a total fail. Good for ski areas at least. We need a good high QPF snow event up there though to set the stage for February. Maybe a big SWFE or something we can muster up in the first week of February. The kind that gives like the entire region 9-12" with maybe some pelting mixing in down south with a frigid Scooter high sprawling. I've been disappointed at the lack of SWFE this Niña... was hoping for a few more of those widespread .5-1.0" QPF 6-8 hour thumps we often see. They aren't huge events but spread the wealth from Lake Ontario to Portland and put down some dense snow. Our "SWFE" this season have been more like triple point cutters that bring some sleet and ZR then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: I've been disappointed at the lack of SWFE this Niña... was hoping for a few more of those widespread .5-1.0" QPF 6-8 hour thumps we often see. They aren't huge events but spread the wealth and put down some dense snow. Better pattern for that perhaps coming up. I know what you mean. Even down here, they can be fun events since a good chunk of the event is usually frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Better pattern for that perhaps coming up. I know what you mean. Even down here, they can be fun events since a good chunk of the event is usually frozen. Yeah those systems where the 850mb cold is wedged down into PA and there's a wall of precip from BUF to ACK moving northeast...all frozen north of the Pike and maybe some in far SNE get ZR after 5-6" of snow. Those events where it's just Winter Storm Warning for 5-10" for literally all of NY and New England. Even if you mix you get 5" and if you don't mix you get 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah those systems where the 850mb cold is wedged down into PA and there's a wall of precip from BUF to ACK moving northeast...all frozen north of the Pike and maybe some in far SNE get ZR after 5-6" of snow. Those events where it's just Winter Storm Warning for 5-10" for literally all of NY and New England. Even if you mix you get 5" and if you don't mix you get 8-10". I was going to say I miss those ones where they seem to move on a ENE line from Binghamton up through and my neck of the woods would get whacked. In my back yard, I get it, but I still can sigh reminiscently can't I? There were the years where it was a veritable parade of them and of course that's what sticks in my memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Look not trying to toot my own horn but the modeling correction East is something we see with the massive negative EPO year after year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 I know that Ray and others disagree but I think the coldest temperature of the winter may still be ahead of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Euro looks nice for Friday morning. Nice midlevel stripe of moderate to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks nice for Friday morning. Nice midlevel stripe of moderate to heavy snow. Hope its all snow inland and not a mix....we await Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Does it still torch Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks nice for Friday morning. Nice midlevel stripe of moderate to heavy snow. Yes sir coded in my basement, lol on the weenie bullseye over me head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Does it still torch Thursday? 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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