Roger Smith Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Recent SLP 960 mb at buoy 44011 with center estimated 50 nw of them. Also 31' waves. This one does not record winds. To the north Mount Desert Rock has 51 knots north gusting to 55 knots. From recent satellite obs, northeast trend with slight NNE jog and probable track now into Bay of Fundy with landfall near St John NB tonight. https://weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_ecan_1070_100.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Gfs was last place as usual Euro 2nd to last. Big struggle GGEM decent Ukie about like Euro Reggie was horrendous Nam great Deep Thunder model was very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 This is the coolest storm I've ever lurked in NE. What was the max storm surge? This ocean water looks partially frozen. Just crazy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Great job by Ray on this I had briefly written it off. I was still surprised by the positive bust 4 day weekend for my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gfs was last place as usual Euro 2nd to last. Big struggle GGEM decent Ukie about like Euro Reggie was horrendous Nam great Deep Thunder model was very good RPM was decent and as mentioned, of the global NAVGEM did well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Road hasn’t been touched... 19”+... If we can get in on this last band swinging through we should push 20” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Great job by Ray on this I had briefly written it off. I was still surprised by the positive bust 4 day weekend for my house Agree! The effort Ray have put in have borne fruit. He really had the bands west of ORH nailed down and also to Kevin and west. And Kevin said warnings west of the river to NY State-warranted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Are you blocked by anything that would lower your total? I don't think so, this happened last March too with amounts so much higher so close by I only observed one hour of really heavy snow in the late morning and another twenty minutes or so of it about 2 hours ago when that last area pivoted through in between it was really showery, I expected central/western ct to be a few to several inches higher as well as nyc/li/ ema etc there are lots of trees and the houses are fairly close together and the wind was insane so measuring very challenging but my friend was able to drive his saab right into the unshoveled driveway and the car is low and if there was a foot plus that never would have happened when i was measuring i was coming up with 7-8 new and then we did get a good burst after so i could see up to 9 legit ...if you are right over the ct/ma border you are 2.5 mi from me as the crow flies it did snow a long time today (5am-5pm) and i do not believe in 6 hour measurements etc unless a really long duration event so if there was an inch or so lost to compaction and wind fracturing maybe it was as much as 10?? i will tentatively keep it at 9 for now and from all the last minute computer forecast i saw it seems very meh to me, should have been a foot easy(hrrr,gfs,nam,etc etc plus all the expert analysis)......first thing this morning i would not have expected more than 6-10 but then everything just looked so incredible right into the first few hours of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Calling it at 14" unless we get more, with possible range between 13.5-15" due to drifting issues. January 2016 storm also had drifting issues and range of 13.5-15" so it's a tie between these two storms as my greatest single-storm snow total. However, today's the deepest snow I ever seen at 18-20" range in level areas with drifts as high as 3 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Power is flickering....fahk 6hr core was 9.8"/0.66" Grand total so far is 13.3"/1.03" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: 26/24 14.5" 28.75"/973mb I just measured 14". Makes sense that you have a bit more inside of 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I agree, NAM led the way with this getting big snow back west of far Eastern CT. Euro was lagging for sure with this one. The NAM trended pretty far east last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Dunno my front/back yard sucks for measuring due to trees..but no more than 6" in any spot. Could be slightly more. One thing is for sure though, its MAN snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I'd say 14" or something. Who knows. Probably higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Great job by Ray on this I had briefly written it off. I was still surprised by the positive bust 4 day weekend for my house Thanks, buddy. I'll analyze what went right and what went wrong in the a post the next day of two...gonna rest tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 19 minutes ago, BuildingScienceWx said: 11.5" final in Hamden, CT. @The 4 Seasons Seems reasonable. I came up with 12.5 after doing a bunch of measurements. Who know with all the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks, buddy. I'll analysis what went right and what went wrong in the a post the next day of two...gonna rest tonight. Seriously you nailed this area. I was skeptical of the 12''+ forecasts but they were dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The NAM trended pretty far east last night. Ya it waivered that one time...But then back west this morning; and had been west For many runs prior...and seemed to be the first one to show the West idea. So I give it a lot of credit in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks, buddy. I'll analysis what went right and what went wrong in the a post the next day of two...gonna rest tonight. Yeah great job...one of the best forecasts out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 21 minutes ago, wx2fish said: I'm going with 14.3" so far. My new depth has already compacted a little. Still some -SN It's somewhere between 14'' and 15'' in reality because it did pick up again a little bit after I thought it was done but there's no way I'm going to be able to accurately measure another couple tenths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Finished with 14.5 inches here in Southington, CT. Very good storm for sure...enjoyed this one. I liked that it lingered longer than originally thought...gave it a nicer feel for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Last thoughts signing off... (storm's not over... we probably continue 1/2-1" / hr until 8pm at least inside 495 with these dissipating bands) Wow what an amazing storm! Sunday there was talk of maybe a few inches... and this ramped up into a 12-18" widespread blizzard. Awesome. So much I don't understand about the mechanics. Since when do we get a miller A originating in the Bahamas that stacks and occludes off NC/VA and yet continues to deepen to 950s and jackpots SNE? Anomalous warm core dynamics that I still don't understand completely and file away as astonishing rare feats like Sandy. Kudos to NWS with the forecast (and awesome AFDs)... I was nervous about their widespread 12-18 but that was spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thanks, buddy. I'll analysis what went right and what went wrong in the a post the next day of two...gonna rest tonight. My mounting commute was right in line with your expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: WTF? http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS even i thought i met the criteria, the wind was insane.....that seems off to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coriolis Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Took about 40 measurements while snow-blowing and I'm going with 13" for a total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 What did KBOS get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, amarshall said: What a porking. 5 miles on every side 12 inches. 2.5" here did it rain there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, dmillz25 said: What did KBOS get? Won’t know till between 7-8pm. Still some adding on but doubt more than a few tenths after the 7pm measurement. There was a prelim around 3 of 10.2 with a lot more snow thereafter so my guess is it will be 13-14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Great job by Ray on this I had briefly written it off. I was still surprised by the positive bust 4 day weekend for my house Yeah Ray you did really well with this. Aside from calling this a while ago, you were bullish and correct when usually reliable models (RGEM!) were out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Jerry, the navgem literally had whiffs from about 72 hours and in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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