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January 4-6 Coastal Bomb Observations/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Take them up


.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
10 AM Update...
Strong bombogenesis occurring currently with the low already at
957 mb. Thundersnow currently occurring over CT and NY. This
morning`s guidance and the character of the system on satellite
as well as wind profiles have supported upgrading the entire
coast to blizzard as well as as far west as the Nashua/
Manchester corridor and adjacent inland areas such as York
County. Visibilities will be at times a quarter mile with winds
AOA 35 mph over much of the two states...but it will be much
harder to satisfy the 3 hr requirement for a blizzard farther
inland. Storm force warnings over the waters were also upgraded
to hurricane force for all but the bays.

Snowfall totals were upped quite a bit and added more detail to
QPF with mountain effects...yielding snowfall totals could be
in the double digits for most of the area. This still may be
underdone for the western Maine mountains...but am not confident
on going higher with neighbors currently in good agreement.
Strong downsloping will cut off snow for western NH rather
quickly in some areas and this will limit snowfall totals there.
However very strong dynamics and kinematic profiles will
support 2 to maybe even 4" an hour snowfall totals for a few
hours. Blowing snow will be a hazard all the way to the Canadian
border.

 

Sweet.

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10 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Getting destroyed under this band.  Does seem to be pivoting west and not stationary but impressive nevertheless.  

Its going to pivot......and orient itself NW to SE eventually as the low center passes to our south...we're gonna be fine......it may slide west but only for a little bit......this is great.....

We pound

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I was thinking of adding a 12-18'' strip but think I will hold off on that...you can see this is starting to become more band like with zones of subsidence in between the bands. I suppose if the main band in central CT just sits there and pivots for hours it could happen...but if it pushes to the NW and the subsidence zone moves in for an hour or two before the next band moves in that won't happen

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