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January 4-6 Coastal Bomb Observations/Nowcast


Baroclinic Zone

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Currently in Petersburg, Va. struggling with a choice between continuing up the coast to the S or N shore of Massachusetts or driving back ESE to the Va coastline.  This anomalous system is creating much indecision for me.  

30 SN- here (started 30 minutes ago)

EDIT: Indecision directly correlated to concern of missing greatest impact, proportionate to each region.  By that metric, will it overperform moreso in the Tidewater or SNE?  Still hard to determine, even now, and I can't afford to wait any longer if I hope to get to the S/N shore.   

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49 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Dual centers modelled but thought to be errors by peeps. It happens in real time

Careful, that's actually a model forecast (GFS in fact).

If we see any dual structure it will be because of occlusion and there may be a small swirl at the triple point. But the low is the low at this point I think. I posted in the other thread that it should be just north of buoy 41002. 

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