Itstrainingtime Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, anotherman said: Winter weather advisory posted for all of the LSV. Yes sir, and it won't take much precip to makes things a mess tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 I’m surprised by the WWA. Precip looks incredibly light, less than .1” and there is enough salt on every road here to resuplly all the oceans in this galaxy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Aren't they required to issue an advisory if freezing rain is a possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 2 hours ago, canderson said: I’m surprised by the WWA. Precip looks incredibly light, less than .1” and there is enough salt on every road here to resuplly all the oceans in this galaxy. If I were the nws I’d not assume as such when considering whether or not to Issue an advisory. .1 is plenty enough to cause trouble especially coming out of the cold we’ve just had. Makes sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowPlowGuy88 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: If I were the nws I’d not assume as such when considering whether or not to Issue an advisory. .1 is plenty enough to cause trouble especially coming out of the cold we’ve just had. Makes sense to me. Yea, any precip that falls will freeze on contact. Going to be using a metric F ton of salt tomorrow. Round one begins in about 7 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 since the pattern is relaxing and all the warmies are a flutter..... I could get used to relaxing as well. posted just for fun, but point to be made, relaxed pattern invites moisture and while there is also warm/rain associated, I'll take my chances during "warmup 0001 2018". Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 KMDT had the coldest first week of January in history. The mean average temp was 12 degrees. Second-coldest is 1968 and 1904, both at 14.9 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Schools are beginning to announce early dismissals to try and beat the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: since the pattern is relaxing and all the warmies are a flutter..... I could get used to relaxing as well. posted just for fun, but point to be made, relaxed pattern invites moisture and while there is also warm/rain associated, I'll take my chances during "warmup 0001 2018". Nut I like this. Yeah why have brutal cold if no snow. Just needs to be cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 That snow map above looks a little more climo-accurate than what the past decade or so has shown. Interior wins, coast loses. This is what many mets were hinting at when they made their winter forecasts back in the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Had to run some tools over to Pottsville for my son in law, and the onset of precip is freezing rain. Not good as the temp is only 19. I was hoping this would have started as snow, or at least sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Flurries have become steady light snow here in Carlisle shortly after 11:00am. No mix, all snow. Have a dusting with a temp of 22. Got down to 11.5 degrees last night which I think was lower than had been projected. Edit>>Just checked again and there appear to be a few ice pellets mixed in with the snow...maybe a 95:5 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 23 minutes ago, Voyager said: Had to run some tools over to Pottsville for my son in law, and the onset of precip is freezing rain. Not good as the temp is only 19. I was hoping this would have started as snow, or at least sleet... Wow, that's really surprising for you up there. Wonder what's up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 steady sleet/zr here in Etown. and yes, map above does look like the favored interior locations. 12z op stepped slightly back, but its an op run5+ days out. Ensembles will be telling. for the record, as much as i want to, I dont pick the model w/ the most snow/nicest pics. I just have fun, but know better than to trust them. ensembles looked decent overnight, hopin the trends hold/better. Likely not but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 All snow and dumping here at 21f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Just now, canderson said: Wow, that's really surprising for you up there. Wonder what's up with that? Warm layer is likely a little thicker to the east around Pottsville compared to CarlislePaWx's location based on what SPC's mesoscale analysis is showing for 850mb and 925mb . This could very well start for some as freezing rain before heavier precip changes it back to a little snow as the dry air to start helps with some cooling through the column. The heavier band currently on radar from Carlisle to Hagerstown, MD and further south and west has several snow reports popping up on mPING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 13 minutes ago, canderson said: Wow, that's really surprising for you up there. Wonder what's up with that? Like djr said, might be a bit warmer aloft over here. Being closer due to higher elevation, it may not have had time to freeze into pellets. Hopefully, heavier precip does turn it back to frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 After a period of heavy snow with huge flakes, it has settled back to moderate snow, all snow now with no sleet. Accumulation 0.3" of new snow. Everything turning white again. Temp down to 21. Looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Nice light-to-moderate all snow here in downtown HBG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Light rain here at work. I can only assume it's freezing on contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Back in Tamaqua and it's a sleet/freezing rain mix. No snow at all. Temp is 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 That snow map above looks a little more climo-accurate than what the past decade or so has shown. Interior wins, coast loses. This is what many mets were hinting at when they made their winter forecasts back in the fall. Except for the coastal bomb last week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Nothing but flurries here all morning.... another disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Same up here, really uneventful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Same up here, really uneventful. Late week storm kind of looks interesting on some models, but 12z GFS is probably right with the low tracking right over us so we get nothing but the 40 degrees and showers....getting pretty depressing seeing such an active pattern waste away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Lol, it is depressing to waste awful, brutal cold on no snow, but honestly I will take rain over 5 degrees and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 No sleet or snow here at all, but man are the walks and driveways iced over. Worst possible situation, was hoping for some sleet and/or snow to cut down on the glaze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Once the heavier stuff got here, we flipped to all snow. Nice coating on everything now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 and fwiw, the Euro moves towards the GFS for weekend event. Cold closer....oh the drama. Down here I'm likely toast to leftovers, but I'll be at the cabin, and think that the northern/western bretheren would like to keep an eye on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Measured 0.7” snow around 1:30. Another band pushing in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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