Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 It should just be a matter of time before CTP puts up an Advisory or Warning for the LSV. Most models today continue to put us in the 3 to 6 inch range. I think this storm has the chance to become MDT’s top event of the season if they can score more than 4 inches of snow tomorrow night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 55 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It should just be a matter of time before CTP puts up an Advisory or Warning for the LSV. Most models today continue to put us in the 3 to 6 inch range. I think this storm has the chance to become MDT’s top event of the season if they can score more than 4 inches of snow tomorrow night! Such a high bar to clear... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Advisories up for 3"-4" in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Looking forward to tomorrow night. My prediction: MDT hits 2.5”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 44 minutes ago, canderson said: Looking forward to tomorrow night. My prediction: MDT hits 2.5”. I think you could be 3-4" without alot of trouble. 0z NAM's agree with me as well. Its been looking like Adams county NE to Allentown get the best qpf with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 41 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I think you could be 3-4" without alot of trouble. 0z NAM's agree with me as well. Its been looking like Adams county NE to Allentown get the best qpf with this. MDT has measured 5” less than I have this season to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, canderson said: MDT has measured 5” less than I have this season to date. Yes, I agree. The current seasonal total should be closer to 20 inches instead of near 15 where MDT is sitting now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, I agree. The current seasonal total should be closer to 20 inches instead of near 15 where MDT is sitting now. I'm a bit under 15" here. Their total sounds legit. You have done better than us almost every event this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 I think this storm has the chance to reach the higher end of the forecast snow totals. The dew point at MDT is down to 21, so the cold air is really funneling into the area. The radar is really enhancing down in north TX & OK, all heading our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 The Euro shows 4 to 5 inches of snow for the LSV. The Euro has been very consistent with these amounts the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Overnight NAMs & the latest HRRR deliver 4 to 5 inches of snow to the LSV. The radar looks impressive in the Midwest & it is rolling right toward us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Overnight NAMs & the latest HRRR deliver 4 to 5 inches of snow to the LSV. The radar looks impressive in the Midwest & it is rolling right toward us! HRRR has been looking good the last few hours and with the NAM wants to bring at least a dusting to most of the state. Now just need to get some cloud cover to move in and help keep these temps down!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, djr5001 said: HRRR has been looking good the last few hours and with the NAM wants to bring at least a dusting to most of the state. Now just need to get some cloud cover to move in and help keep these temps down!! clouds are coming.... column has cooled. looking forward to whatever we get, as it looks to be notably better than last few down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Sunny and already 35 after a low of 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Just now, maytownpawx said: Sunny and already 35 after a low of 28. Temps today will be no problem. CTP said things will cool off very quickly when the precip begins. The dew point at MDT is 18 currently & all the LSV stations have dew points in the high teens to low 20’s now. The radar looks really good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Temps today will be no problem. CTP said things will cool off very quickly when the precip begins. The dew point at MDT is 18 currently & all the LSV stations have dew points in the high teens to low 20’s now. The radar looks really good as well.Agreed. Sitting at 33F with a dewpoint 18F. Temp has risen with sunshine but dewpoints have been staying in the teens. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 45 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Temps today will be no problem. CTP said things will cool off very quickly when the precip begins. The dew point at MDT is 18 currently & all the LSV stations have dew points in the high teens to low 20’s now. The radar looks really good as well. I agree too, but was pointing out that my forecast high of 36 might be a bit low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Kinda need this one to bust. Have to drive up to Altoona. Blanket party me later lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 18 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Kinda need this one to bust. Have to drive up to Altoona. Blanket party me later lol. STAY HOME did I do that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 The radar back toward Kentucky & its surrounding states looks really impressive. The precip is gaining latitude in the perfect trajectory to hit the LSV nicely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 CTP has upped Harrisburg to 4-6” per my zone forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 38/23 Here with a little high level cloud cover moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP has upped Harrisburg to 4-6” per my zone forecast. Yes. All the short range models support those amounts this morning. The radar to our west supports it as well ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 It went from bright and sunny to quite dark fast - like within 45 mins. Temp currently 38, a few degrees above forecast high. That should begin dropping soon I’d think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, canderson said: It went from bright and sunny to quite dark fast - like within 45 mins. Temp currently 38, a few degrees above forecast high. That should begin dropping soon I’d think. Yes, same here. The dew point is still in the low 20’s, so temps will drop off fast when the precip begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 NWS point-n-click now has me 3 to 6 inches for the event. Sweet, even though half or more will melt tomorrow afternoon. Temp peaked at 38, now down to 36 with overcast rapidly thickening. DT's forecast looks reasonable. Radar shows snow rapidly approaching from the south and west. Should start for sure by 3:00 it would seem now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 I’ve seen the HREF model posted in the Mid Atlantic forum over the last few weeks. Can anyone provide any details about this model & its reliability? P.S. It is currently showing a nice zone of near 6 inches of snow today for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Allweather, I see that you are here! What are your thoughts on today’s storm for the LSV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Or in general as this subforum is more than the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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