UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, mike1984 said: What is the significance of being in that? Heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike1984 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Heavy snow Ok. Thanks. Never heard that term before. Just trying to learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 SREF have around 5.5 inches of snow for LGA , 6.6 inches for JFK and more to the east with a sharp cutoff to the west of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: SREF have around 5.5 inches of snow for LGA , 6.6 inches for JFK and more to the east with a sharp cutoff to the west of NYC. SREF mean last i checked as far NW as Newburgh was .5” LE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 SREF has been trending slightly east today. It normally follows the trend of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Anyone see burgs adjusted nam.. if it were to come 3 degrees SW LOL Id kill for that to be reality, unfortunately I’ll be sucking cirrus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: SREF have around 5.5 inches of snow for LGA , 6.6 inches for JFK and more to the east with a sharp cutoff to the west of NYC. How were they in relation to 15Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: How were they in relation to 15Z? trending drier and drier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: trending drier and drier... Not that they are worth much but this should be a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: trending drier and drier... Ok, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 To show what a miss this is, check the wave heights at the LI Buoy>>> 9' Georges Bank>>> 32'. And Georges Bank is already nearly 200 miles east of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, CIK62 said: To show what a miss this is, check the wave heights at the LI Buoy>>> 9' Georges Bank>>> 32'. And Georges Bank is already nearly 200 miles east of the BM. What lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 10 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: How were they in relation to 15Z? As had been the case from 9z to 15z, the decrease is largely due to the ARW members coming down from the stratosphere. The more realistic NMB members changed little. From 15z to 21z, the ARW mean fell from 8.8" to 6.6". The NMB rose slightly to 4.6" from 4.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 0Z NAM rolling yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Not that they are worth much but this should be a red flag. Old data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathermedic said: 0Z NAM rolling yet? It just started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathermedic said: 0Z NAM rolling yet? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Does nam have recons data or have they not flown yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Our LP forms right off Miami Beach at hr 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Here are the changes to the two ensemble clusters that comprise the SREFS: ARW: 3z: 16.5"; 9z: 11.3"; 15z: 8.8"; 21z: 6.6" NMB: 3z: 2.7"; 9z: 5.0"; 15z: 4.4"; 21z: 4.6" Notice that the NMB has been quite stable from 9z through 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: What lol I meant a miss from being a MECS, HECS. The expected amt. of 4" barely would make this a SEC, which I think should start at 6", unless there is something already on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Continuing the recent trend, that's essentially a somewhat smoothed version of the 12z GEFS that treats the 0.01"-0.05" field as 0.00". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 As per Steve D on Twitter just now about the 0Z NAM: So far the short waves are going negative faster than in previous NAM guidance. If this continues, the surface low-pressure system will be closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I’m liking this Nam so far, looks to wanna go neg already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Low appears further nw so far but precip shield not as large compared to 18z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathermedic said: As per Steve D on Twitter just now about the 0Z NAM: So far the short waves are going negative faster than in previous NAM guidance. If this continues, the surface low-pressure system will be closer to the coast. I’m honestly not seeing any major changes so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 It’ll b 1 minute ago, JetsPens87 said: I’m honestly not seeing any major changes so far... Streams look stronger and Trof looks sharper to me for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looks to be much better wave interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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