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January Discobs Thread


George BM

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23 minutes ago, das said:

I'm bummin' that the warm makes a comeback before next weekend.  40F is too warm as the nice, new surface will be too soft.

If the next 2 nights get cold enough and we get light snow on top then thurs could be a good day. My local illegal pond was a wreck last weekend. Yea  ice was 10" thick but those damn whipper snappers played hockey 24/7 for days before I got there. Normally they haul buckets of water from the creek and spread I with a broom but the dang creek was frozen solid too. 

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3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Radar returns popping up in central and southern DE and moving NW. Seems to be related to that inverted trough. Some returns over my yard but nothing reaching the ground as of now.

high res NAM had some stuff over central MD today. 

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6 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Radar returns popping up in central and southern DE and moving NW. Seems to be related to that inverted trough. Some returns over my yard but nothing reaching the ground as of now.

Judging by CC, looks like false returns. Just peeked it at work. Nothing but blue on CC. Will be interesting if 3k is correct for today

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It's been a strange winter.

November and December were both below normal.  January is a virtual lock to do the same.

Precip since Nov 1 in this area is right at 3" total.  That's the real problem.

As I have said before, give me the precip first.  I'll worry about the type later.

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Chance of a severe storm or two late Monday into Monday night?  From updated morning AFD from LWX:

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At the start of the long term, a warm front will be lifting
north across the region as low pressure strengthens to our west
across the Corn Belt. Southerly flow will be enhanced south of
the front, and temperatures stand a shot at reaching the 60s
across a decent portion of the area on Monday. A little rain is
possible as the front lifts north, most likely near the PA
border and most likely earlier in the day.

EC and to a lesser extent the GFS is now hinting that a triple
point low may try to develop along the approaching cold front as
it crosses our region later Monday night. This would enhance
the rainfall and increase the risk of potential convection. Will
need to monitor this in case it looks like a low-end squall
line with heavy rain and gusty winds could develop as the system
passes. Monday night will remain mild, at least through the
time of cold frontal passage, with temps staying in the 50s,
perhaps even low 60s, much of the night.

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