TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I napped nearly all evening until now. One of the few times I've ever actually timed that up right. To me.. From reading past 12 pages it sounds like it's clearly become a region wide event and mid level max will be in central MA to CT. A secondary max along Cf... But where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Euro adds another model predict a foot plus here list. GFS leanest HRRR beefiest and all at 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro adds another model predict a foot plus here list. GFS leanest HRRR beefiest and all at 10-1 I think it we'll take the over on this storm. Not gonna dissapoint hardly anyone in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Already snowing in Southern CT, here we go. Think that’s hitting the ground? Some low dew points out there?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Already snowing in Southern CT, here we go. Is that hitting the ground thought? Is this gonna be a wall? Or do we have to wait for the surface to saturate? Boxing Day was like that and then when it finally started snowing the slut showed up.......dry slut I meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Think that’s hitting the ground? Some low dew points out there?? I'm going off Obs, Chester reporting -SN. BID and WST as well. Probably just barely starting there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Think that’s hitting the ground? Some low dew points out there?? WST reporting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 dry air has not been a problem so far. in fact, light snow has been occurring at JFK before radar returns even hinted at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Is that hitting the ground thought? Is this gonna be a wall? Or do we have to wait for the surface to saturate? Boxing Day was like that and then when it finally started snowing the slut showed up.......dry slut I meant Graupel showed up. That was an unusual storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I think it we'll take the over on this storm. Not gonna dissapoint hardly anyone in CT. I said yesterday that the sporadic nature of the precipitation on the modeling didn’t look correct to my untrained eye for a storm of this supposed magnitude ...thought it would be much more uniform across SNE as a whole...perhaps that’s indeed gonna happen now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Loving reports that air is saturated......lets get this baby going......we snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I said yesterday that the sporadic nature of the precipitation on the modeling didn’t look correct to my untrained eye for a storm of this supposed magnitude ...thought it would be much more uniform across SNE as a whole...perhaps that’s indeed gonna happen now? Just might......I have Feb 2013 front and center.....that was so epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Alrighty then...saturation is a wonderful thing...commence the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathergeekMD Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Hitting the ground in Madison Ct. Second round of flurries in the last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I said yesterday that the sporadic nature of the precipitation on the modeling didn’t look correct to my untrained eye for a storm of this supposed magnitude ...thought it would be much more uniform across SNE as a whole...perhaps that’s indeed gonna happen now? Looks that way, if you recall many pages back that Will said the QPF maps will fill in, in later runs, and they did. Based on the upper level look and track/intensity of the storm the QPF maps weren't matching up. I had 6-12 when, like youre saying, it didn't look right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 thanks for posting the satellite and radar images.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Dew points in the low 20s, Newport and New Bedford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Looks that way, if you recall many pages back that Will said the QPF maps will fill in, in later runs, and they did. Based on the upper level look and track/intensity of the storm the QPF maps weren't matching up. I had 6-12 when, like youre saying, it didn't look right. Ya we were thinking the same thing/way..nice call Seasons. Nice Meteorology not modelology on your part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Doesn't always work out, but I've been pretty good/lucky the past few seasons, ill take it. 6-12 might be low now, but will see how it plays out, not making any changes yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Yup! Already a couple observations of snow reaching the surface (eastern LI and eastern CT). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Unreal bombogenesis going on right now... close to 12mb in 2 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 For CT peeps: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, MegaMike said: Yup! Already a couple observations of snow reaching the surface (eastern LI and eastern CT). Snowing where I am on the south shore of Long Island. Ground is dusted-light snow. Amazing trends with this thing over the last 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, H2Otown_WX said: For CT peeps: Thanks Matt, you're the best! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, MegaMike said: Yup! Already a couple observations of snow reaching the surface (eastern LI and eastern CT). We have flakes in Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wow just checked radar on phone and theres a band pushing in from the east already.......under 20 miles away.....lets do this!!!1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm going off Obs, Chester reporting -SN. BID and WST as well. Probably just barely starting there.. Just turned on the back light. Yes, it's snowing in SE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, InstantWeatherMaps said: Unreal bombogenesis going on right now... close to 12mb in 2 hours! You mean Bomb Cyclone.....god that sounds so dumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Can't see anywhere W or NW of Kev to ORH to ASH doing very well. It's in and out so fast. Seems to be a pretty consistent 1.0-1.4" inside 495. Across modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 We have flakes in Middletown NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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