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Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb


Baroclinic Zone

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8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I am by no means educated in any of this so if my posts don't make meteorological sense, call me out.  I'm learning as I go. :beer:

You know your stuff and your level headed about it...That’s a big plus. I don’t know the complexity of met terms, it just makes sense in my head but I also can get too emotional....it’s a serious time consuming hobby where many hours are spent dodging ghosts while looking to mount the white unicorn. Stressful.

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In many ways, synoptic wise inclusive, combing a+b should result in =c.
Think again.
IMO we be in uncharted territory in ways one has to think of the results unfathomable, what curve in this event that can't be forecast.
Uncharted Dark Territory! Models get one into the ballpark...5-6"/hr rates, gusts as high akin to a CAT3 hurricane. Possibly over-performing in what is forecasted.  

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Just now, wxsniss said:

NAM west thru 12hrs compared to 18z run

Did some wobbling (looked east at 6hrs), convection playing havoc but this seems to want to consolidate west

At 11Z Thursday it's west and 8 mb deeper. 

namconus_ref_frzn_neus_fh11_trend.gif

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