ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 42 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Side note, but since when did I-91 curve torwards the Tolland line south of Springfield? Thats where it veers east and crosses the CT River in Suffield.....its always done that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: RPM? Tyia 18Z Run. Its been pretty consistent today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, bkviking said: I’m on north shore of LI and there’s quite a jump in blizzard warnings in current decade (*not saying each one verified). We share quite similar climate to SNE so I believe most of these also occurred in SNE. From memory: Feb 2010 Dec 2010 perhaps Jan 2011 Feb 2013. Jan 2014. Jan 2015. Jan 2016. Feb 2017 Jan 2018. My mom lives in Rocky Point. They've gotten a ton of snow the past few years. The inland and latitude advantage that we should have up here has not been a factor in most of the storms. I think you'll clean up for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Thats where it veers east and crosses the CT River in Suffield.....its always done that Yeah, but the map has I-91 curving to the Tolland line, which it does not do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Not in yet Does it always take this long to run? Is it playing chess with Deep Blue first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, millpondwx said: 18Z Run. Its been pretty consistent today. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Yeah, but the map has I-91 curving to the Tolland line, which it does not do. Its tolland,MA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Awesome BOX AFD 428pm... great detail of mechanics... and some forecasting excerpts: Still some uncertainty re: snowfall amounts: "Mass fiends and coincident dynamics slightly juxtaposed among the guidance, but there is consensus on how unprecedented this system is, its dynamics, associated lift / omega / banding signatures while subtly off from one another roughly W to E. Incredibly difficult to forecast, quite the headache. Any tiny shift on the order of 10 miles can make all the difference in snow amounts, main threats, impacts." "Guidance continuing to wobble, perhaps due to latent heat / convective feedback issues." "Final note, feel snow amounts are overshadowing the bigger impacts to this system. Incredible to say the least, when is the last time we saw such a bombing storm, the likes of which CIPS Analogs poorly score. Strong to damaging winds along with coastal flood impacts are more than likely to be the bigger players, yielding damage to infrastructure along with scattered to widespread power outages as colder air surges in from the W as we go into the late week period." The AFDs have been consistently great reads lately. Of course, for a novice like myself it is like reading some of Tips posts but in both cases, really helps the learning curve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Yeah, but the map has I-91 curving to the Tolland line, which it does not do. Well thats true.....the map is a bit schematic in nature.......the red line is Tolland/Hartford County boundary.....and I meant Windsor Locks I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Well thats true.....the map is a bit schematic in nature.......the red line is Tolland/Hartford County boundary.....and I meant Windsor Locks I guess Rand Mc Nally the NWS ain't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, millpondwx said: 18Z Run. Its been pretty consistent today. That’s a big bump west. At least in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, millpondwx said: 18Z Run. Its been pretty consistent today. I'm not sure consistent is the word. It's had me get between 5 and 20 inches today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Man I'd lock that 18z GFS run in a heartbeat. Funky evolution which is going to be fascinating to watch but ends up pretty good for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Ryan laying everything out beautifully in the forecast tonight for CT, lets get the death band out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Rand Mc Nally the NWS ain't. It’s not like we made it up. Somewhere out there is a GIS file with 91 looking like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Johnno said: Ryan laying everything out beautifully in the forecast tonight for CT, lets get the death band out here Details please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Details please. Mentioned possibility of heavier band setting up in CT, possibly in a Hartford to New Haven axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 My sister lives in Burrilville, RI (NW corner). She is going to get a big hit which sucks for her (nurse. Has to work) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Interesting upstream obs...6" reported in Charleston SC per other forums... only NAM showed 6+ there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 WMUR Manchester going with 4-8” pretty much statewide in NH. Seems low to this weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Details please. He just was saying it’s gonna snow heavy...but he doesn’t know where the heaviest bands set up...and that could give some peeps 12+ easily. Thinks Hartford and New Haven are pretty easily gonna get 8 inches...and may have to up the amounts a lil more. But says if it was a LIL closer...we’d be really in trouble. So not a direct hit for CT. He does a very nice job explaining and informing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Details please. 91 is the demarcation between 4-8 West to NY and 8-12 to RI but he hinted everything may have to shift west again and possibly a central/eastern CT band with 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Johnno said: 91 is the demarcation between 4-8 West to NY and 8-12 to RI but he hinted everything may have to shift west again and possibly a central/eastern CT band with 12+ Tough call... a lot of what I see makes me want to go higher but the fast motion and the Euro still be a smidge east has me gun shy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Details please. https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/?zipCode=06096 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: WMUR Manchester going with 4-8” pretty much statewide in NH. Seems low to this weenie agreed, wcvb harvey had ASH 8-12", i think he is pretty good most of the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 21z RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM Seems like it's keying in on mid-level magic and some of the lowe level forcing over E MAss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Now that actually seems like a reasonable outcome for CT, earlier runs way too high, then it was practically a whiff, now its down to earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 hours ago, DomNH said: Yeah it has that post-occlusion look to the precip distribution to me on the hourly panels. Not sure that's right but wouldn't be totally surprised if it is more of a "shredded radar" vs. uniform precip shield kind of storm. You Mentioned This a few Times What time is this suppose to occlude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM PLEASE WHERE DO I SIGN!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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