CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Not that far off from 12z but its tightening the qpf field to its NW Yeah much tighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 947mb................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Moves west at hr 27.....very strange track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: If GFS is correct, maybe GON wont be a snow hole for once. No surprise, NAM has best FGEN occuring in central CT and MA with good omega in central areas as well. I was thinking any model that GON getting the JP should immediately be tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Closes off H5 just NE of CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Weird run... does a lot of zig zagging... SLP actually closer to BM, ie. more northwest than 12z NAM I'd think this track should have bigger impacts, but hard to put too much stake in details, NAM seems too sensitive to convection for its own good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: NAm lost the absurd warm thicknesses. Yeah, it's more in line with the Euro/GFS/RGEM now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 12k looks to be a smidge inside the BM. 3k not out far enough, but looks tasty in the early going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Not sure if this was mentioned... BOX really upped their amounts in the PnC for my area... 10-14" for home, 10-16" for work Long weekend incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Glad they’re killing it-really annoying model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Those euro maps posted by bob imply we waste some qpf as rain? Could it rain here? Most guidance I’ve seen keeps that mix line down by the canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Queens and clowns are looking more realistic this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Stonger and closer but less snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 BOX added the western hinterlands to the warning for 4-8". I think the progged -2 high on Saturday will be more impressive winter-wise out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 NAM QPF looking.......kind of realistic....this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Nam back to the hurricane look, in most respects...SE MA gets raked with 50 kt winds for a 6 hr period... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, klw said: Stonger and closer but less snow Loving this for me!! If we get 16” it will make Thursday insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 A jog NW and close to BM track... but much tighter QPF field --> sharper gradients and significantly higher qpf and snow amounts in southeast MA into Cape This 18z NAM run looks pretty close to 12z Euro. Goal posts reinforced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, klw said: Stonger and closer but less snow What? Where did all the qpf go?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Runnaway gonna like the Kuchera 3K NAM output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, WxBlue said: GYX boosted numbers for eastern areas. Do you mean western areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Glad they’re killing it-really annoying model. when though? i have heard this rumor for ages lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Not sure if this was mentioned... BOX really upped their amounts in the PnC for my area... 10-14" for home, 10-16" for work Long weekend incoming Yeah, looks like they basically blanketed everyone in eastern MA that stays all snow in the 12-18" range. That's pretty impressive/big jump.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, WeatherNurse said: Loving this for me!! If we get 16” it will make Thursday insane! That was the 12z with the big totals.. 18z cuts them by 1/2 pretty much statewide. Big uncertainty with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Not buying it, looks too tropical (again). Whole run is tossed imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobbydoppler Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 How do you guys think the water content of the snow looks geographically for eastern MA? Thinking about where power loss is most likely. I'm sure it's going to be pasty from the cape up past the canal, but how does it progress northwestward? Can one go by just surface temp in determining ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3K NAM showing 946 right around the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I would freeze my weenie off if the 3k verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: Not buying it, looks too tropical (again). Yeah it has that post-occlusion look to the precip distribution to me on the hourly panels. Not sure that's right but wouldn't be totally surprised if it is more of a "shredded radar" vs. uniform precip shield kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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