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rduwx

January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

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3 minutes ago, JoshM said:

Getting closer to CLT, inch by inch, run by run.

hrrr_ref_frzn_seus_17.png

my worry if any precip makes it this way, is that it will be too dry for it to even reach the ground

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Looking at the radar, I see a LOT of convection firing up around Texas/Gulf Coast. Precip is BLOSSOMING north, east and NE of there. Just throwing that out there. Implications? Could that slow down the wave and in turn slow down the monster low, that is about to break the chains in the Gulf Stream? 

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32 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said:

Looking at the radar, I see a LOT of convection firing up around Texas/Gulf Coast. Precip is BLOSSOMING north, east and NE of there. Just throwing that out there. Implications? Could that slow down the wave and in turn slow down the monster low, that is about to break the chains in the Gulf Stream? 

Models may be underdoing the precip because short term drought. 

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1 hour ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

Just got to Waycross Ga.  Hunkered down here for the duration.  This looks to be a primo spot for Southeast Georgia.  Hearing anywhere from 4-7 inches of snow. Don’t think mixing will be a big issue.  Expect to stay mainly snow throughout.  

Awesome that’s my hometown! Give us lots of reports! And it’s looks like freezing rain might be an issue. Didn’t think Waycross would stay snow the entire time. Looks like that will be further NW near Douglas and Alma.

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11 minutes ago, JoshM said:

In other model news, HRRR is slower and west, again

hrrr_ref_frzn_seus_10.png

This map makes more since ATTM, when comparing to the radar trends. J/S...

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On the radar, there's a batch of precip in central MS moving NE, which doesn't seem modeled. Maybe I'm seeing things that aren't there, but anyone with more sense than me know if that could factor into the system.

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There is a lot of moisture blooming on the radar. I think this storm will over perform like the one in early December. 

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Does it look like the wave is digging further south and trying to draw up moisture from the Gulf? Looks like some nice convection in MS.

goes satellite picture.PNG

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Correct me if I am wrong, but I SERIOUSLY DOUBT this is ALL VIRGA? Really? This thing is looking more and more robust. Even GSP is starting to throw in some wording in their FD! I know that this is the Intellicast Radar and will get flamed for it, but i guess what i am trying to say is how is this translating to obs. Anyone reporting anything in those areas. If anything, this would help soften up the atmosphere for the big dawg?
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true



There are a few mPing snow reports in Louisiana, so it is making it to the ground in some spots!

dec81d954c5198ed8731eb51ed0ad1f1.jpg
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I’m happy for Florida and SE Georgia. They never get to see snow. A lot of kids are gonna be happy this morning. I mean, this has to be a record for that far south in Florida. 

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2 hours ago, JoshWeather said:

i can see my house in the green! lol  30 degree rain for about 10 minutes

That is EXACTLY how I feel (and the story of my life when living in the Burger NO SNOW Triangle)! LMAO! 

@burgertime

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21 minutes ago, Touchet said:

I’m happy for Florida and SE Georgia. They never get to see snow. A lot of kids are gonna be happy this morning. I mean, this has to be a record for that far south in Florida. 

Yes, I am too! The radar is looking good for them. I am wondering if anyone has any data to show where the main low is setting up/tracking?

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3 hours ago, snowlover91 said:

Well for the RDU folks the Euro threw you a bone :) 

 

F9DF8FC6-2CEB-4C9A-98BB-A8830591F7C2.jpeg

This might explain why RAH added another tier of counties on the western edge for WSWs/WSAs. Wake is now under a WSA while all counties east are warnings.

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4 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said:

Yes, I am too! The radar is looking good for them. I am wondering if anyone has any data to show where the main low is setting up/tracking?

Arctic air is coming through the great lakes low is just off the coast of Florida the other two players you can see crossing Idaho, and coming through Texas/Louisiana. 

Screen Shot 2018-01-03 at 4.40.57 AM.png

Screen Shot 2018-01-03 at 4.44.29 AM.png

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