TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Hvward said: Thanks a lot man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Euro should be better for you guys. Energy phasing a little earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Wish we could get that surface low to form near JAX! EURO has 1011 near Miami at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Eastern NC hit hard on the Euro. 3-6" across eastern NC (east of 95). Looks like 2" gets back to 95 and flizzard over ColdRain's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: These are the storms I like when I live in SE Wake almost to the JoCo line. It is usually my friends up in NW Wake who get all the snow. Let’s be honest, this entire County is cursed, but you’re entirely right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Euro still cursed by the dual low...one is right off HAT and the other is tugging it east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Eastern NC hit hard on the Euro. 3-6" across eastern NC (east of 95). Looks like 2" gets back to 95 and flizzard over ColdRain's house. Definite improvement over 00z, then. Another shift like that from yesterday's 12z and RDU is in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: Eastern NC hit hard on the Euro. 3-6" across eastern NC (east of 95). Looks like 2" gets back to 95 and flizzard over ColdRain's house. Pack, hows it looking for coastal SC? Like CHS area? Trying to keep my dad in the loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Pack, hows it looking for coastal SC? Like CHS area? Trying to keep my dad in the loop. Robbed this...this is getting painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: Robbed this...this is getting painful. Hang in there man. Got a feeling you still cash in somehow. Trends are just too good for you today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Need the atlantic to keep trending like this...pacific changes helping too. Hard to see this getting much further west but we get to stay of execution for another day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Good to know that NW trend still exists. Now watch this turn into a coastal hugger and dump 3" of nice cold rain on MBY lol In all seriousness, I like where I stand as of 12z runs...a miss for Tidewater (and east of I-95 in general) is becoming less and less likely. Would be nice to get climo (5-6") before the end of first week of Jan. Just saw Pack's Euro snowfall map...I'm in the bullseye 5 days away. Damn it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 15 minutes ago, packbacker said: Eastern NC hit hard on the Euro. 3-6" across eastern NC (east of 95). Looks like 2" gets back to 95 and flizzard over ColdRain's house. Hey Pack...are those numbers based on 10:1 or something higher based on the cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 GEPS QPF output not much different then the Op Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, SouthWake33 said: Hey Pack...are those numbers based on 10:1 or something higher based on the cold? Just based on 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, SteveVa said: Good to know that NW trend still exists. Now watch this turn into a coastal hugger and dump 3" of nice cold rain on MBY lol In all seriousness, I like where I stand as of 12z runs...a miss for Tidewater (and east of I-95 in general) is becoming less and less likely. Would be nice to get climo (5-6") before the end of first week of Jan. Just saw Pack's Euro snowfall map...I'm in the bullseye 5 days away. Damn it! 4 days out...you should be in a good spot. Might be chasing to Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Here's Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Looking like yet another rdu near miss. Still some time, but man, just can’t seem to buy a storm. Good luck for everyone else. I-95 and E storms don’t come around too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Here's Kuchera What is that junk in N GA? It bombs so hard, it's wraparound!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Here's Kuchera This is like Dec 2000 snow map. I think I am 30 miles from 3"...ColdRain is probably 15 miles. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: What is that junk in N GA? It bombs so hard, it's wraparound!? Clipper next Friday...didn't realize I had posted the map that went out that far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 15 minutes ago, griteater said: Here's Kuchera Awesome. Euro shows about an inch of snow for Waycross. Really rooting for this one back home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 21 minutes ago, SteveVa said: Good to know that NW trend still exists. Now watch this turn into a coastal hugger and dump 3" of nice cold rain on MBY lol In all seriousness, I like where I stand as of 12z runs...a miss for Tidewater (and east of I-95 in general) is becoming less and less likely. Would be nice to get climo (5-6") before the end of first week of Jan. Just saw Pack's Euro snowfall map...I'm in the bullseye 5 days away. Damn it! You're in bulls-eye <4 days out but its still not a good place to be, even on the Euro with the vorts in question not yet onshore and RAOB sampled. There are still going to be some shifts before things start to settle down tomorrow at 12z. We are not that far (3-6hrs in timing) from taking a moderate band of snow down the Coastal Plain in to SC with a heavy snowfall in NE NC and SE VA. I was able to dig up some 2010 vort maps, one would argue this is going to be east of that event but not my much when taking in to account the ridge axis out west. The backside vort in 2010 was however in a much more favorable position to phase with the leading shortwave, plus there was not energy trailing out which is the reason for a current double barreled look. Some of said the leading energy is feedback, it very well could be, but is looks like enhancement of a coastal frontal boundary along the Gulf, with the leading shortwave not catching a weak surface reflection off the EC of FL in time. One would want to see this feature weaken over the next 24-48hrs, along with a turn to a slight neg tilt of the primary shortwave west of the FL Panhandle. The NW trend is real, we are seeing some significant jumps for a 96hr lead but lets not forget the minor NW adjustments we usually see inside 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WakeCountyWX Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 30 minutes ago, packbacker said: Robbed this...this is getting painful. What do you know...Wake County getting snubbed again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 We always said we needed a low in the Bahamas 3-5 days out if we wanted snow in Wake Co. Come to papa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Here's the NAVGEM precip rate map at hour 90: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 30 minutes ago, SteveVa said: Good to know that NW trend still exists. Now watch this turn into a coastal hugger and dump 3" of nice cold rain on MBY lol In all seriousness, I like where I stand as of 12z runs...a miss for Tidewater (and east of I-95 in general) is becoming less and less likely. Would be nice to get climo (5-6") before the end of first week of Jan. Just saw Pack's Euro snowfall map...I'm in the bullseye 5 days away. Damn it! VAB climo is 5-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, metalicwx366 said: Awesome. Euro shows about an inch of snow for Waycross. Really rooting for this one back home. Same here...although in my case My nephew moved to savannah recently to take a job and because he hates cold and snow...so I'm seriously hoping he is doing to be blasted lol In all seriousness though, i hope south ga and the coast cashes in. Given the trends it seems like there is a pretty good chance...at least right now...that accumulating snow will fall in southeast Ga at least. Depending on timing and how exactly it plays out, there is a decent shot of something frozen or freezing falling in north/northeast florida too. Temps are cold and dewpoints are low just inland and it seems likely that if there is something falling wednesday morning it could be wintery there. At the bare minimum it's going to be a very cold day around those parts where it's probably not going to get out of the 30s for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Jonathan said: VAB climo is 5-6"? I couldn't find NTU's average, but ORF averages 5.8" annually. It can be found at the last page of this file http://www.weather.gov/media/akq/climateRECORDS/ORF_Climate_Records.pdf ORF is usually more representative of my location because it's about 2 miles away from MBY. I believe the average goes down to about 3" as you get to Sandbridge/Back Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 JMA NW this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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