ineedsnow Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Some really big hits on the 6z gefs... 12z will be interesting for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Some really big hits on the 6z gefs... 12z will be interesting for sure "Really big" may be a bit strong. As it stands, it's too late a developer and progressive to amount to anything of significance (advisory or better) outside of coastal and eastern areas. Hopefully it can wind up sooner for those who live in the important places. We'll watch 12z runs. -3.8* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 43 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Enjoy your inch. I'll enjoy my cirrus. -3.1* It's a 1-3 or 2-4 inch event pike south. Always looked that way. Maybe you get a bit too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It's a 1-3 or 2-4 inch event pike south. Always looked that way. Maybe you get a bit too So, we both have you covered for an inch. We'll see if it plays for more. 12z will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 The EPS was not as bullish as the GEFS, but the 00z EPS was better than 12z. Lets hope it continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: The EPS was not as bullish as the GEFS, but the 00z EPS was better than 12z. Lets hope it continues. would be good for the south of the pikers and particularly ESNE get something. A natural progression south with snow cover before a region wide storm next week. I think you guys down there, including James get a few fluffy inches...at least that is where it seems to be heading. I have noticed that even when the models backed off, WPC didn't, and neither did the mets on here. That's usually a sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, mahk_webstah said: would be good for the south of the pikers and particularly ESNE get something. A natural progression south with snow cover before a region wide storm next week. I think you guys down there, including James get a few fluffy inches...at least that is where it seems to be heading. I have noticed that even when the models backed off, WPC didn't, and neither did the mets on here. That's usually a sign. The GFS setup is pretty sweet for the south shore. Super cold air over those waters in the low to mid 40s. But there is a WAA regime that should offer widespread light snows. Anyways, just would like to see a little more snow OTG for the next cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The GFS setup is pretty sweet for the south shore. Super cold air over those waters in the low to mid 40s. But there is a WAA regime that should offer widespread light snows. Anyways, just would like to see a little more snow OTG for the next cold shot. I expect to see a lot of "WOW! this is amazing, fluff, great snow growth, sticking everywhere" etc. posts that end in 2-4 with lollies higher in 20-30:1 type snows. I'm rooting for it. We might even get some flakes in NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: would be good for the south of the pikers and particularly ESNE get something. A natural progression south with snow cover before a region wide storm next week. I think you guys down there, including James get a few fluffy inches...at least that is where it seems to be heading. I have noticed that even when the models backed off, WPC didn't, and neither did the mets on here. That's usually a sign. It's been pretty clear that James is in the best spot to score on this. Probably Plymouth County as a whole will do okay. Pretty meh north and west of there--progressively more meh the further you go. -4.3* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Our main shortwave is trending stronger to help offset some of the negative trends from yesterday in other regions. So it's trying to give a 1-3" type event. If it sharpens even a little more then there's a chance we could talk about widespread advisory snowfall, but we don't want to get ahead of ourselves yet. It's still fighting that flatter looking flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 I could see 3" from this on hill at 755' near Ginxy.... but that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 How was the Euro? Didn’t see it mentioned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: How was the Euro? Didn’t see it mentioned? S coast scraper. Maybe D-1" for you, but better than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I could see 3" from this on hill at 755' near Ginxy.... but that's it. Elevation is irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Elevation is irrelevant. It's a joke bro, but yes you are correct...all about latitude on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 BOX map looks good. 1-2” in southern areas of SNE Flurries and cirrus here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, Whineminster said: It's a joke bro, but yes you are correct...all about latitude on this one. And longitude. Warming up. -2.7* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 11 hours ago, dendrite said: Should get a nice jump in the normals in a few years when we toss the 80s and add the 10s. 11 hours ago, CoastalWx said: The normals are gonna be nuts. Well folks should be happy they can complain about being below normal snowfall then without being corrected by anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Some really big hits on the 6z gefs... 12z will be interesting for sure Warning type big hits? Seems like the trend this year has been to strengthen the S/W as we get closer.we need that to continue here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 The 09Z SREFs just went crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Warning type big hits? Seems like the trend this year has been to strengthen the S/W as we get closer.we need that to continue here Yeah a couple of them were... Some with an inch, a couple others around 10 to 12... Mean was about 4 or 5 inches for my area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Warning type big hits? Seems like the trend this year has been to strengthen the S/W as we get closer.we need that to continue here Yeah, there are some hits in there that would produce 4-8" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The 09Z SREFs just went crazy Ya that's a big bump from 3z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, there are some hits in there that would produce 4-8" for us. Not bad... hopefully it’s real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, there are some hits in there that would produce 4-8" for us. At 20:1 ratios and taken verbatim this map offers me maybe 6" of fluff. But I'd have to have that much fluff in my head to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 00z runs should be fun tonight, I think a major storm 6"+ is possible for more of a widespread region. GFS produces .9" of QPF as all snow, that shortwave Will mentioned is getting better and better and is digging further and further south with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Not bad... hopefully it’s real. GFS went from nada to basically the snowiest in less than 24hrs. #mosttrustedmodel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: At 20:1 ratios and taken verbatim this map offers me maybe 6" of fluff. But I'd have to have that much fluff in my head to believe it. No guarantee on ratios. All about getting the best lift into the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No guarantee on ratios. All about getting the best lift into the DGZ. This. Cold alone does not make for great ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No guarantee on ratios. All about getting the best lift into the DGZ. Yeah, for now the GFS does show pretty strong low level lift, but you'll need to hang onto that if you want any hope of sniffing 20:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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