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Winter model mehhem or mayhem nature will decide


weathafella

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3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Kind of funny because N Adams is one of the great New England snow holes.  It also give Fitchburg 8+8 and since I am half way in between those two locations I will take.

My thing with the MOS... is say for North Adams, how does it print out back-to-back 8's while at the same time the highest 12-hour POP it has is 56%. 

Like there's a 50% chance of snow but if it snows it'll be a blizzard is what I read from that thing, haha.

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14 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said:

How does one interpret that little low that pops up south of LI and what effect does it have?

The northern and southern shortwaves basically. The southern shortwave gets slingshot into ME when the upper low captures it. The northern stream forcing pops the low south of LI.

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Just now, JBinStoughton said:

Thanks.  Still not sure what that does synoptically but it’s good to know lol. 

It's unlikely this is how it would truly play out. More often than not the southern stream shortwave will dominate low development and the northern stream will direct it (like with a stall and capture) rather than forming a new low.

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