8611Blizz Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 53 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Dang it If we go from a week of 10s to rain on the coast, I’ll lose it. lol was thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 BTV has my initial reaction too about the Arctic air and storm tracks but they may be like me and hung over from 2013-2016 with the if it's cold it's congrats East mentality . Gonna be deep Winter up here this week with probably around 18" on the ground after tomorrow (12" concrete now, plus hopefully 6" tomorrow) so no complaints to spread the wealth. "As the flow becomes slightly more meridional towards the weekend, a better chance exists for the development of coastal surface lows that will track near the East Coast. However, with such cold air remaining over the north country through the end of the week, it looks like the better baroclinic zone and general storm track could remain to our south and our east. This pattern would keep any coastal storms that do develop well to our south before tracking east/northeast into the Atlantic Ocean, without any major impacts to our forecast area. However, if the Arctic High Breaks down earlier than expected, the potential for any developing coastal storms to track closer to the northeast US next weekend would increase. &&" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 I like the extended look. I think we’ll have our chances even right to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: What day...next Sunday? Weekend, exact timing still uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS made a step in positive direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 18z GFS possibly shows two bomb scenarios unfolding, two separate southern stream disturbance phasing in with the northern stream trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 why can't we just get a monster storm that puts down 10-20 on the coast before changing to ip/zr and dryslot with just a crushing 20-40 inland across all of ne and eastern pa/nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 The upper air pattern looked better for coastals. If we can get through tomorrow with some snow, work tuesday will be much more manageable tracking for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: BTV has my initial reaction too about the Arctic air and storm tracks but they may be like me and hung over from 2013-2016 with the if it's cold it's congrats East mentality . Gonna be deep Winter up here this week with probably around 18" on the ground after tomorrow (12" concrete now, plus hopefully 6" tomorrow) so no complaints to spread the wealth. "As the flow becomes slightly more meridional towards the weekend, a better chance exists for the development of coastal surface lows that will track near the East Coast. However, with such cold air remaining over the north country through the end of the week, it looks like the better baroclinic zone and general storm track could remain to our south and our east. This pattern would keep any coastal storms that do develop well to our south before tracking east/northeast into the Atlantic Ocean, without any major impacts to our forecast area. However, if the Arctic High Breaks down earlier than expected, the potential for any developing coastal storms to track closer to the northeast US next weekend would increase. &&" That thinking is a good first assumption--it's where I am at this point. Let's see if it's the right second and third. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2017 Author Share Posted December 24, 2017 We need Tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: We need Tip. I think something has happened to him unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Hopefully he is healthy and this is just a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think something has happened to him unfortunately Why do you think that? The holidays are a busy time for normal people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Why do you think that? The holidays are a busy time for normal people. He never would go a day without logging on and posting. Like you. Hasnt been on since December 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: He never would go a day without logging on and posting. Like you. Hasnt been on since December 15 Maybe his laptop broke. We know he doesnt post on mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Maybe his laptop broke. We know he doesnt post on mobile. Now you got me thinking. Your right I haven't seen him and its been a busy time weatherwise. I hope he is okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Fri looking better on gfs then we have the grand finale...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 GFS looking better for both Friday and New Year's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 CMC is a whiff on both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 wave 2 amazes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Like we said. We’ll have our potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Like we said. We’ll have our potential. Weenie Santa, you have a long week ahead, get some rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 12 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: wave 2 amazes! Can you elaborate? When would wave two be...NYE?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Boy would that make up for missing a white Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Can you elaborate? When would wave two be...NYE?? Fri is 1 then overnight NYE into NYD is the finale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, BRSno said: Boy would that make up for missing a white Xmas. Too bad it’s 200+ hours out and it’ll change next run. CMC offers very little if any snow through the entire run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Too bad it’s 200+ hours out and it’ll change next run. CMC offers very little if any snow through the entire run You speak of that model as if it has skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You speak of that model as if it has skill. Eh... they could all whiff, who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Eh... they could all whiff, who knows I doubt it. Feel pretty good we'll get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 The CMC and GFS are legit neck and neck when it comes to skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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