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December 8/9 wave


psuhoffman

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1 minute ago, Cobalt said:

That was before my time, but it seems like surprises like these were outweighed by other disappointments

The set up at that time was sweet. A good meteorologist friend said to not be surprised if we got a snowstorm that was unpredicted because the pattern was so good. When I got to work he said he thought that may be the one. Started warning people and it came true. Was an awesome event 

That is so different than what we have going on the next few days it should not even be mentioned! 

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Gotta love the nam. Top link is for progged radar tonight at 9pm. Bottom link is reality, but at 8:38pm. Believe me, very little has changed.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2017120700&fh=2&xpos=0&ypos=189

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast.php

EDIT: need to go up 1 hour on tgat Nam link

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Just now, midatlanticweather said:

The set up at that time was sweet. A good meteorologist friend said to not be surprised if we got a snowstorm that was unpredicted because the pattern was so good. When I got to work he said he thought that may be the one. Started warning people and it came true. Was an awesome event 

That is so different than what we have going on the next few days it should not even be mentioned! 

Yeah, I was kinda being sarcastic when I referred to it. A change of that magnitude within 6 hours is unheard of, but us getting what from what looks like nothing to 4-6" (best case scenario for this event, maybe 2% chance imo) of happening isn't impossible

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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Gotta love the nam. Top link is for progged radar tonight at 9pm. Bottom link is reality, but at 8:38pm. Believe me, very little has changed.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2017120700&fh=1&xpos=0&ypos=189

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast.php

Initial precip looks slightly NW

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14 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gotta love the nam. Top link is for progged radar tonight at 9pm. Bottom link is reality, but at 8:38pm. Believe me, very little has changed.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2017120700&fh=2&xpos=0&ypos=189

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast.php

EDIT: need to go up 1 hour on tgat Nam link

I guess the NAM doesn't use composite radar.. not much of what you see in Georgia or Alabama is reaching the ground.

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since were analyzing the NAM, at 500 i guess it does appear to be holding back into the gulf, and is not out in front of the vort over the Great Lakes (18z).  Not sure if it is a continuation of slowing the second piece of energy in the Gulf, and how that might look by tomorrow??

Nut

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2 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

since were analyzing the NAM, at 500 i guess it does appear to be holding back into the gulf, and is not out in front of the vort over the Great Lakes (18z).  Not sure if it is a continuation of slowing the second piece of energy in the Gulf, and how that might look by tomorrow??

Nut

Like this

 

download.jpeg

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