Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

December 9th 2017 Crusha or brusha?


WeatherFeen2000

Recommended Posts

Models have been trending towards a low forming on the arctic boundary and riding it up the coast. The cmc is the most robust and now the ukmet and navgem have been decently robust. These models are showing warning snows even into NYC area. Nam is decent with at least advisory snows but GFS has been a whiff and so has been the euro. Let’s discuss the future models here

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 708
  • Created
  • Last Reply

NYC will get 6.5" UK west, Euro to follow as per tradition. Somehow this will deliver despite a rather ugly trough. If the GGEM verifies it would be an interesting storm on the NESIS  scale, snow from New Orleans to Maine, Atlanta buried by their standards.

 

Obviously the 6.5" figure Is purely speculative and has no reasoning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

UKIE btw

2BA6F100-511E-4DD2-B5DB-ACA32F8DC38D.jpeg

Verbatim that's becoming a little close for comfort in eastern areas. But at this point hopefully we're getting the idea that the second piece of energy late this weekend is what we need to keep an eye on. The amplified idea is hopefully gaining steam, and the GFS as always will be last to catch onto southern stream evolution. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

There's not a lot of time left for big adjustments, if nothing changes by tomorrow then gfs/Euro will be the way to go.

Small evolutions aloft at 500mb will make for significant changes at the surface. More interaction 50 miles either way aloft means a storm developing in time and curling north, or a boot east and flatter system. There's still time for the much more amped outcome like the UKMET to happen. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We should stop with the west and east talk... nam and ggem although different outcomes.. our LP is generally located in similar position. intensity, trof orientation and stream interaction are the main differences, not east and West LP placement... our northern stream and southern stream energy interact on the ggem, a wider precip shield produces, however our Northern stream is a kicker on the nam and other models, and act to suppress our southern stream energy so despite similar LP placement we get a weaker, less expansive precip shield

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A lot of us like the 13th 18th and even something around the 23rd.

This weekends system has small upside east of I95.

.2 to .3 is seen on the EPS and that has been the idea.

No one is humping the UK or CMC they are high skilled scored models that may be over doing it in the deep south..

This 3 week cold pattern has been talked about from late November.

There's a chance it's active 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Rjay pinned this topic
  • BxEngine unpinned this topic

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...