December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[Typhoon Tip]

i don't think there is a such thing as a bust from 3 or 4 days out ?   jesus...what the hell kinda standards are we runnin' 'round deez parts...

so, hey, what is a "currier" and "ive" 

 

[CT Rain]

GEFS are juicy. Big jump west. 

[weathafella]

He’s on now-a spring in his step...

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

i don't think there is a such thing as a bust from 3 or 4 days out ?   jesus...what the hell kinda standards are we runnin' 'round deez parts...

so, hey, what is a "currier" and "ive" 

 

Can you quickly exchange an email ?

[weathafella]

He’s saying 3-6 widespread PYM and north and west.   

[Typhoon Tip]

Maybe we can put this in the 13th thread (pending...) but dimes to donuts we have to go through this same schit re that one, too -

this fast flow ain't goin' no where.. and truth be told, we are probably needle-thread lucky this is happening at all in this no-wiggle room pattern.  

caveat ...tho, is if that thing does come on board as an intermediate stream that pulls the n-stream in that both get involved, that might enhanced the predictive skill a bit despite the high velocity look.

[weathafella]

Harv pimping the next threat as well.  He’s happy tonight...lol.

[LoveSN+]

Not sure how this ranks on the scales of west trends for cyclones up in these parts, but this trend west has been quite substantial from my eyes. Albany now on the fringes and will hopefully see our first accumulating event of the season, much like others in traditional New England.

[dryslot]

The 18z GEFS is a few tics NW of the OP.

[Damage In Tolland]

Take em up up up folks 

 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Can you quickly exchange an email ?

what... no.

dude, you email him... go on the their channel's web site and drop one in his on-line mail box.   i wouldn't bug him with that kind of bullschit uselessness if i were you  - but i'm not  so... one thing i'm not going to do is bother him about that

[weathafella]

Just now, LoveSN+ said:

Not sure how this ranks on the scales of west trends for cyclones up in these parts, but this trend west has been quite substantial from my eyes.

It’s happened on this level regularly the past few years it seems.

[weathafella]

Kevin go to Harvey’s Twitter page and you’ll see forecasts back to last night.  The latest isnt there yet but maybe now that he’s in dead zone and about to sign off on his last cast before 11.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

what... no.

dude, you email him... go on the their channel's web site and drop one in his on-line mail box.   i wouldn't bug him with that kind of bullschit uselessness if i were you  - but i'm not  so... one thing i'm not going to do is bother him about that

Oh I thought you guys were friends. You’ve mentioned countless email exchanges over the years 

[Typhoon Tip]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh I thought you guys were friends. You’ve mentioned countless email exchanges over the years 

whateva - you were series -

[WinterWolf]

RYAN already warning viewers that the numbers may be going up tonight if the later guidance comes in more West/amped.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

RYAN already warning viewers that the numbers may be going up tonight if the later guidance comes in more West/amped.  

By this time tomorrow we should have our snowblowers tuned up, on standby for warning snows.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

whateva - you were series -

He fooled you pretty good, you got angry ey.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

By this time tomorrow we should have our snowblowers tuned up, on standby for warning snows.

Very possible my “More Eastern Friend.”  Lol.

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's like -3C at 950mb...gonna be hard to taint with that. It tries to tickle above -2C for a brief time....but again, 950 is pretty low...gonna need at least 0C there to taint IMHO. I think this system is moving too fast to really bring a lot of taint away from the Cape...maybe for a couple hours on extreme south shore...we'll see. I suppose this could go apesh**....but I'd want to see more evidence for that.

Will I was going to ask about the thermal profiles on the GFS.  Dees it still run warm in the BL?

[forkyfork]

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

By this time tomorrow we should have our snowblowers tuned up, on standby for warning snows.

Glad you friends patched things up

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Very possible my “More Eastern Friend.”  Lol.

hehe, 20 miles matter. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Glad you friends patched things up

Snow is like bread at the dinner table.

[Weather Wookiee]

Will be interesting since the ground has not been cold, long enough. Might get the totals but it might also be sloppy initially with an overnight freeze to the underlayer.

[Hoth]

This is a great way to get first flakes. Get solidly on the board right out of the gate.

[Damage In Tolland]

That clown on Twitter Crankywxguy busted hard on this. Love it. Such a chest beater 

[Boston Bulldog]

4 minutes ago, Weather Wookiee said:

Will be interesting since the ground has not been cold, long enough. Might get the totals but it might also be sloppy initially with an overnight freeze to the underlayer.

Ahhh, wouldn't be an early season storm without the warm ground coalition.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Damn, that is a juicy 18z GEFS.  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

31 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The 18z GEFS is a few tics NW of the OP.

 The consistency of the trend almost floats the possibility of this thing really winding up and hugging .