December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[Baroclinic Zone]

Yeah, looks like a nice i-95 jacker.

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

Thanks! Should be best snow since January 2016 storm in western NC for me personally. Been a long time coming!

These are a dime a dozen for the snowbound Northeast lately.

[dryslot]

He should be ok, He is inland from the coast.

[WintersComing]

Theres that nice band setup on sim radar

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WintersComing said:

Theres that nice band setup on sim radar

That's sim satellite.

[OceanStWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

That's sim satellite.

Pretty cool to see modeled transverse banding though. 

[CarverWX]

7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

 

925mb at it's warmest.

That looks we are still save here.

 

[WinterWolf]

39 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Slightly disturbing you knew I was up.  

 

For once, I can proudly say, we haven’t punted this season as previous. McCown to Robby and Jermaine ftw. 

Really?  We were both posting...that's how I remembered...Sorry.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That's sim satellite.

lol, strike two!

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

lol, strike two!

Need more coffee lol

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, CarverWX said:

That looks we are still save here.

 

Yeah, I think once you get W of the Canal the northerly flow will save us.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Really?  We were both posting...that's how I remembered...Sorry.

Dood, I joke. I always get up middle of the night before snows. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

TFlizzy punt ftw. 

This ain’t done coming nw though.

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Dood, I joke. I always get up middle of the night before snows. 

Works out great for me, I need to take a leak around 2:00 am so in the winter the euro has already run so i sneak a peek............

[HimoorWx]

What are we looking at for potential start time on Saturday?  Town leaf pickup this Saturday, and I've got 40+ bags to put out.  A few years back it snowed - didn't pick up leaves and then plowed them in.

[wxsniss]

21 minutes ago, weathafella said:

3-6?

Good confidence for that in our area with the best current guidance...

I'd be surprised if this trends back flat with those pieces of energy... if anything, I wouldn't be shocked to see this tick up more (and even introduce more BL issues for coast).

Wish RGEM was not on concussion protocol.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, HimoorWx said:

What are we looking at for potential start time on Saturday?  Town leaf pickup this Saturday, and I've got 40+ bags to put out.  A few years back it snowed - didn't pick up leaves and then plowed them in.

I'd plan on early sat morning for a start time. 

[WintersComing]

3 minutes ago, HimoorWx said:

What are we looking at for potential start time on Saturday?  Town leaf pickup this Saturday, and I've got 40+ bags to put out.  A few years back it snowed - didn't pick up leaves and then plowed them in.

I'd answer you but I'm on strike two for the day and don't need the  tag just yet lol

 

[HimoorWx]

Not what I wanted to hear, but thanks for the info!

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

That's ok, I will get my rain/snow mix and get the mid week storm to come more west on the GFS and then stay on the EURO

[WeatherFeen2000]

13 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Good confidence for that in our area with the best current guidance...

I'd be surprised if this trends back flat with those pieces of energy... if anything, I wouldn't be shocked to see this tick up more (and even introduce more BL issues for coast).

Wish RGEM was not on concussion protocol.

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[ORH_wxman]

Alright peeps, this is the storm thread....I know it's the first one of the year, but this isn't preseason anymore. The games count.

 

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Watching trends past 48hrs I'm thinking we may get a little tickle even further W.  There isn't really any dynamics, as currently modeled that indicates a kick E.

2-4" to the NY border.  Let the winter begin!  

[Bostonseminole]

Will be interesting to see if the NAM keeps the W trend going, getting closer to NAM usefulness, good to see that most will see a festive Saturday!

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

Will be interesting to see if the NAM keeps the W trend going, getting closer to NAM usefulness, good to see that most will see a festive Saturday!

I see no reason why the trend NW won't continue, sacrifice my snowfall for the interior, I get the heaviest snows from the miller B snowstorm next week, why do I say that, look at the water vapor imagery, that western ridge is not moving eastward it is either moving west, or stationary

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Watching trends past 48hrs I'm thinking we may get a little tickle even further W.  There isn't really any dynamics, as currently modeled that indicates a kick E.

2-4" to the NY border.  Let the winter begin!  

You have the WAR out to the east so yeah, There is still room to come west, I would prefer a couple more shifts in that direction so if it tics east the last couple runs we will still be good.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

Will be interesting to see if the NAM keeps the W trend going, getting closer to NAM usefulness in another two days ... , good to see that most will see a festive Saturday!

 

[JC-CT]

 

Generous

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

22 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

That's ok, I will get my rain/snow mix and get the mid week storm to come more west on the GFS and then stay on the EURO

That’s a lot to break right for you. It’s gonna be a long winter, you’ll get your share...just not much in Dec. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Lots of infighting amongst the family today. You’d think we were getting a rainer. Deep winter is here. Enjoy this. Haven’t had a December to remember since 2003. They don’t happen often like they used to