Stebo Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 I am going with a solid 4-6" for metro Detroit tomorrow. Maybe on the low end north of 69 or near the border but this looks like a solid hitter. Could be a few spots higher if we maximize ratio potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Stebo said: I am going with a solid 4-6" for metro Detroit tomorrow. Maybe on the low end north of 69 or near the border but this looks like a solid hitter. Could be a few spots higher if we maximize ratio potential. I look forward to your prediction panning out and secretly hope that it'll bust low! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 NWS GRR showing a good hit for Lower Mich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 18Z 3km NAM went a little north with tomorrow's system vs the 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 From the National Weather Service in Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 This is pretty much all I wanted. 4 inches of snow on the ground and cold temperatures. Getting a bit concerned though that it all washes away next week with a cutter but until then the cold temperatures should help freeze up the rivers and lower the lake temps. Also looks like Detroit is off to a fast start again compared to other non-LE snow cities (Toronto, Chicago, Milwaukee) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Going for a total snow accumulation of three to four inches in Northwest Ohio by late tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 IWX holding off on headlines til later this evening to not confuse people with the current headlines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: IWX holding off on headlines til later this evening to not confuse people with the current headlines Smart move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: IWX holding off on headlines til later this evening to not confuse people with the current headlines NWS Cleveland waiting as well for the same reasons as IWX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Nothing worse than an afternoon snowstorm. Completely disrupts everything and makes for disastrous commutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 1 hour ago, nwohweather said: Nothing worse than an afternoon snowstorm. Completely disrupts everything and makes for disastrous commutes Yeah tomorrow's drive to work is not going to be fun, I wished this had held off until like 3pm, but it looks like it sped up a hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slow poke Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 3 hours ago, josh_4184 said: NWS GRR showing a good hit for Lower Mich Does this map look right to you guys? The past two clippers have came in on the low end as far as amounts go at my place. Wondering what this one will be like. I thought I had read this latest one was creeping north some. Any thoughts from you guys in where the heaviest band might set up tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 38 minutes ago, slow poke said: Does this map look right to you guys? The past two clippers have came in on the low end as far as amounts go at my place. Wondering what this one will be like. I thought I had read this latest one was creeping north some. Any thoughts from you guys in where the heaviest band might set up tomorrow? I would turn the band a bit more easterly in DTX's area but otherwise that looks right in both amounts and trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 What a bitterly cold, blustery day. The snow drifted some, and the wind chills were brutal. 4" of snow on the ground and a winter storm watch in effect. Its as if we blinked and suddenly it went from Fall to mid Winter. And I love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 7 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: What a bitterly cold, blustery day. The snow drifted some, and the wind chills were brutal. 4" of snow on the ground and a winter storm watch in effect. Its as if we blinked and suddenly it went from Fall to mid Winter. And I love it! It looks like we were right. I knew it wouldn’t be cold and dry here. Below normal temps in Michigan in December almost always find a way to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Dynamic little system tomorrow...good isentropic lift on the nose of a 50-60 knot low to mid-level jet and a really potent mid-level vort max. There will definitely be a band that sees a few hours of heavy snow, and the lift appears to be centered near/in the DGZ in that band so I definitely see the potential for a narrow swath of warning criteria snow. Will end up being more interesting than the ongoing LES in my immediate area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 hour ago, roardog said: It looks like we were right. I knew it wouldn’t be cold and dry here. Below normal temps in Michigan in December almost always find a way to snow. Meanwhile, as I look at my bare ground... send that southwest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Meanwhile, as I look at my bare ground... send that southwest! I wasn’t even paying any attention to this latest system until today as I was just expecting it to stay SW toward your area but that sure changed. Now it looks like a top end clipper, although I’m still too far north to get the best snow. The 18z Nam nudged a hair north though giving me more snow. Maybe the 0z will continue the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Not exactly sure I am buying into the tad north trend on the 0z NAM and 3k NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: Not exactly sure I am buying into the tad north trend on the 0z NAM and 3k NAM... 01z HRRR is also further north. Seems like every run is 20 miles further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benadrill Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Got some fat snows here. Band finally blobbed itself south of me. Not looking forward to tomorrow night/evening. I don't want to drive in some blizzardy ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 FWIW, the ARW is further south, that and the HRRR's movement is extremely slight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just for reference at this point before the last clipper the NAMs were about 25 (3km) to 50 (12km) miles too far north with the main swath of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Just for reference at this point before the last clipper the NAMs were about 25 (3km) to 50 (12km) miles too far north with the main swath of snow. That’s good to know. I was trying to remember - wasn’t it the NAM that always had a northern bias? I remember reading about it somewhere but can’t remember specifics and the reasoning behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just now, Harry Perry said: That’s good to know. I was trying to remember - wasn’t it the NAM that always had a northern bias? I remember reading about it somewhere but can’t remember specifics and the reasoning behind it. Tends to be a bit stronger than actuality and in this case would favor a northern track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 I got a bit of hope for tomorrows clipper especially considering the last couple have been more south than forecast. I'm expecting 2-3 inches here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Pretty unlucky for Chicago again barely missing out on the action. Will it be like last winter again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aleksey Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Gonna be a wild day tomorrow! Heavy snow at times, 5-8” expected here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Tends to be a bit stronger than actuality and in this case would favor a northern track. Ahh... thanks for clearing that up. Makes sense especially since the 00z NAM is dropping this to 993mb vs the mojority of the other guidance keeping it sub 1000mb-/+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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