BuffaloWeather Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 Totals: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF 26.5" in Redfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 Long range has lots of potential for synoptic storms. I think we rain some, snow some, and mix some in the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 13" of snow since 2 am or so here in Phoenix. 17" for whole event. Not bad!Yeah, we're really close to one another as I'm approaching 20" now, which makes NWS's 18-24", a good forecast and it's still accumulating, as by now I was expecting nuisance snows that wouldn't stick all day, but that hasn't been the case, if fact it's been the exact opposite.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Ended up with 2 inches overnight. 7 total for the event. I actually got more snow on Sunday from Lake Erie than the past two days combined. Bahhh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 FYI Detroit metro and many counties in eastern lower Michigan are under a WSW for 5 to 8 inches by midnight...food for thought regarding our potential accums tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 FYI Detroit metro and many counties in eastern lower Michigan are under a WSW for 5 to 8 inches by midnight...food for thought regarding our potential accums tonight.Problem is, the precip dies, once it moves into WNY and W-PA so I'm wondering how much actual precip can make it over here but I hope it translates eastward so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Problem is, the precip dies, once it moves into WNY and W-PA so I'm wondering how much actual precip can make it over here but I hope it translates eastward so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk It's quite the potent SW though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 It goes from a 5-8"er in So.MI but once into PA and WNY, totals drop off to half, so I guess with high ratios, a fresh coating of Snow may fall, then a short lived LES event ESE of LO. I'm thinking WNY does well, much more so than us Eastern LO folk, due to the proximity of where KBUF is, with regards to the SLP.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 It's quite the potent SW though...Definitely looks good that's for sure, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Definitely looks good that's for sure, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I could see this one over-performing for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 I could see this one over-performing for us.I seriously hope it does considering KROC didn't get anywhere near what was expected, correct?Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Won't lie sun and blue sky was a nice sight today! Nice contrast with the lake clouds to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Extrapolating upstream radars shows that main precipitation field more or less missing us...You guys are quite optimistic. That thing is diving nearly due southeast. I could see Chataqua county grabbing a couple/three inches. Maybe a coating to an inch towards roc and virtually nothing east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Hey guys, I'm having a horrible time uploading images. My cache is only 60% full and my file size is below limits and yet it fails everytime. Help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 It looks like multiple bands have been sitting over Niagara & Orleans Ctys for a long time. Are there any current reports or webcams from either? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Looks like BUF calling for a quick moving band off L. Erie Friday afternoon/night. Enjoy it while it lasts! Things become more interesting again late Friday afternoon and Friday night, as another clipper passes just north of Lake Ontario. The clipper itself will bring some light snow to the region, with accumulations less than an inch outside of lake enhanced areas. The airmass remains plenty cold enough for lake effect snow as the clipper passes by, and this will set the stage for significant lake enhancement. Lake induced equilibrium levels will rise to about 15K feet as the clipper passes by with improving moisture and cooling temperatures aloft. Off Lake Erie, expect a band of lake enhanced snow to intensify to the north of Buffalo late Friday afternoon and early evening. This band will then sweep rather quickly south across Buffalo Friday evening, ending up in the western Southern Tier and weakening later Friday night and early Saturday. The band may be quite strong as it moves south across Buffalo, with high snowfall rates briefly. This event may eventually need headlines, but the relatively fast band motion may keep accumulations in the advisory range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Also interesting disc for tonight's event for northern Wayne cty.... Lake effect snows have weakened this afternoon with the arrival of drier air on the back side of the departing shortwave. Winds will continue to diminish through this evening as a narrow ridge of high pressure builds across the region. Diminishing winds may allow a brief narrow convergent band of snow focused near northern Wayne and Cayuga counties early this evening. Some mesoscale guidance hints at this, with a quick couple inches from this not out of the question. Meanwhile, a clipper low centered near Lake Michigan this afternoon will race into western Pennsylvania late tonight. This will bring a general light snow of an inch or two to locations south of Lake Ontario. In addition to this, there will be some weak lake enhancement which will lead to locally higher amounts. A convergent band will develop across Lake Erie and eventually push onshore into the Western Southern Tier late tonight. This combined with slightly greater synoptic snows supports advisory amounts with an additional 3 to 5 inches of snow expected tonight. Also, locally higher amounts are possible southeast of Lake Ontario when moisture from the clipper potentially enhances lingering lake effect snow. A warning is already in effect for these locations due to ongoing snows. Confidence is lower here, but a narrow band of snow meeting advisory criteria is possible here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Still snowing here, actually pretty steady/moderate. 3" new snow since 8 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Potential 1-3 (20-5:1) for the south shore with some enhancement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Nice looking band for Friday night. Looks like it will be a quick hitter but should be intense while it passes and in possibly hitting the metro for the PM commute... oh what a surprise even the computers are picking up on the freaking transition zone now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Nice looking band for Friday night. Looks like it will be a quick hitter but should be intense while it passes and in possibly hitting the metro for the PM commute... oh what a surprise even the computers are picking up on the freaking transition zone now... FWIW those bands tend to drop quick 4-6" in a matter of hour so looking forward to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 Very heavy snow in Hanover/silver creek area. Wife’s best friend lives there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Got 9 inches total. Bit disappointing. That other low north of lake screwed with the wind flow and sheared bands up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Maybe we can get lucky tonight. New hrr shows 2 to 4 inches in roc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 30 to 1 ratios today. .10 precip at roc 3 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Hrrr keeps total going up. Over 3 inches for roc. Lake will help some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Radar looks good.another overachiever incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 This may be better than last night for Rochester. Hi res models showing ne to n enhancement for about 8 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Our daily HWO A band of lake effect snow will strengthen across Oswego County Thursday night through early Friday morning, and may produce moderate accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 12 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Radar looks good.another overachiever incoming? Vis. under 1/2 mile here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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