NCSNOW Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Same here and wife diwn in Asheboro saw some. The mtns git an overperfomer this morning . Will end up with 2 to 5 inches in spots. Talking down where fokks live,not just western facing slope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Michael Palmer: Another significant winter storm may affect portions of the East late next week blunting any notable warm-up. This is going to be a long, cold and snowy winter. Buckle up! https://t.co/MGQcxrLCIc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Euro Weeklies have a chilly pattern look for January 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro Weeklies have a chilly pattern look for January Western ridge holding strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Looking good grit. I just picked up my firewood today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 A strong storm system will develop in the mid tenn. valley late next week. We could see severe weather and flooding in GA/SC/NC/VA. The mountains could get a lot of wrap around snow as the low cuts off in the Oh/TN valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Flooding from melting snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 23 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Flooding from melting snow? And 2 or more inches of rain yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just for fun the 18z GFS has a little Christmas event for most of North Carolina and had the same set up at 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Merry Christmas from goofy! 384hr GFS has snow on Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Going to be some flooding coming up this week with all the snow melt plus this. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 8 hours ago, Jonathan said: Merry Christmas from goofy! 384hr GFS has snow on Christmas Day. Go ahead and make a thread if its on the v3.. its a lock 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Look to go to a warmer zonal flow for week of 16th I believe. Maybe we catch this snow around Christmas during transition back to a colder regime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On to the next one. Looks like starting around Dec 20th give or take a day the pattern will be setting up favorable for more fun n games. I just hope we can dry this ground out some after the melt and next weekends rain. December 10 and its already turning into a all time stellar season. . We want see to many days where we arent tracking threats this season. Even though we will be in zonal flow next weekend, dont be shocked if we are tracking a legit long term threat for the hollidays by then. Thats the way its looking or models are hinting at this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 I wouldn’t sleep on this one mid week just yet. Keeps ticking south each run with a closed ULL trending south as well. Probably a no go but something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Wow, already over 100 inches of rain this year and December looks like it’s going to give 110+ a shot. Crazy wet year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Right now I'm just hoping that Christmas will be cold. Of course I would love to see some more snow, but a nice cold arctic airmass would make me happy. The LR models do go out past Christmas (16 days), but as we all know that's in fantasy range and we'll get big swings in the pattern depiction until about 10 days out. So maybe this Friday we'll start getting a legitimist idea if it's going to be cold or warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/4/2018 at 10:04 AM, griteater said: Saw this posted, but the updated solar cycle chart is going for deep solar minimum over each of the next 4 winters, at least This is good information. I think it was previously suppose to bottom and start rising around 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 The general pattern is blocking. It makes sense that when snowfall/cover reaches a max, it would warm to near freezing in the deeper areas. It always does this (+EPO/+AO now). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 GFS shows a clipper next Mon/Tues, but we know how those go. CMC is showing some pretty legit backside snows from this weekend's storm for the mountains and TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Well I’m at 190% of seasonal average and we’re not even halfway through winter. Euro seasonal and weeklies look epic for rest of winter after this relaxation. Feeling like this might be headed for a top 5 winter for western part of the state. Precipitation hasn’t been an issue all year. Just need another nice Miller A . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 18 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: Well I’m at 190% of seasonal average and we’re not even halfway through winter. Euro seasonal and weeklies look epic for rest of winter after this relaxation. Feeling like this might be headed for a top 5 winter for western part of the state. Precipitation hasn’t been an issue all year. Just need another nice Miller A . Could you post the weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: The general pattern is blocking. It makes sense that when snowfall/cover reaches a max, it would warm to near freezing in the deeper areas. It always does this (+EPO/+AO now). What are you talking about??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 18 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: What are you talking about??? The higher the snowpack, the warmer it gets? Sounds like a reach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Euro says it’s on! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Since we have been focused on the storm over here I have been hanging out in the MA forum for mid/long range discussion. According to Bob Chill and PSUHoffman At least most of the next two weeks should be mild across NA due to zonal flow due to the dreaded Alaska trough. After that the trough should retrograde and there we will come to a fork in the rode: An EPO trough will develop somewhere in the CONUS. If it goes east then cold in combo with the typical nino STJ could make life good. If it goes out west though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: What are you talking about??? Some kind of math equation. It's only from observation since the early 2000s. Maybe the Polar Jet hits the warm subtropical waters and retreats?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Here are the Euro Weeklies from Dec 20 to Jan 24. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 hours ago, cbmclean said: Since we have been focused on the storm over here I have been hanging out in the MA forum for mid/long range discussion. According to Bob Chill and PSUHoffman At least most of the next two weeks should be mild across NA due to zonal flow due to the dreaded Alaska trough. After that the trough should retrograde and there we will come to a fork in the rode: An EPO trough will develop somewhere in the CONUS. If it goes east then cold in combo with the typical nino STJ could make life good. If it goes out west though... Models have been trying to kill that western ridge for over a month. It never disappears for more than a couple days. We may hit some transient mild periods but I see no major torch in the near future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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