Solak Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Solak said: That Wednesday system could be a sneaky system. Got to watch that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 The EPS Mean looked slightly improved to me from its previous run. The height field along the east coast was slightly better for suppressing the low and it was a touch colder...small changes though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 minute ago, jjwxman said: That Wednesday system could be a sneaky system. Got to watch that too. Yeah, REALLY sneaky considering my point and click forecasts in GSO are mostly clear with a hi of 42 for Wed into Thurs. I'm cool with a weekend threat next week. Spare me the midweek crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Euro Control is another monster event 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 I think we are still looking good folks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Euro Control is another monster event Looking forward to getting at least one Euro op crush job to make this feel real. The ensembles looking steady has my mind confident, but I need a nice clown map from the EURO to confirm this has a shot. You would think we could get at least one here and there the way the ensembles look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowNiner said: Looking forward to getting at least one Euro op crush job to make this feel real. The ensembles looking steady has my mind confident, but I need a nice clown map from the EURO to confirm this has a shot. You would think we could get at least one here and there the way the ensembles look. Yeah, I'm with you there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 EPS for day 10-15 following our storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 3 minutes ago, griteater said: EPS for day 10-15 following our storm boo, hiss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGTim Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 thats good will need it to melt that 20 inches i'm gonna get at my house in N GA on the 9th and 10th according to the 12z GFS. I know, I know, clown map, misrepresentation of snow vs other p types, 10 days out, etc. But gosh its cool to look at as todays run is as close as I'll get to something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 9 minutes ago, griteater said: EPS for day 10-15 following our storm I am encouraged by what I see on the EPS 10 to 15. You can see the troughing wanting to pull back west of Alaska. If that trend continues you will see a more pronounced ridge on the west coast. This would certainly help Canada keep most of its cold or at least mitigate the complete scouring of cold from a fire hose Pacific. All that to say it would make it easier here to get back into something potentially wintry quicker. Would be nice to have a workable late December pattern vs a mini torch. Good post, Grit. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 May or may not mean nothing but the Ukiie at day 6 is very close to what the GFS has in regards to heights. At 144 the Euro is pushing the 564dm line into N.North Carolina while the other two aren't nothing close to that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 1 hour ago, Queencitywx said: Euro Control is another monster event Any runs show deep (aka down into my area) snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: Any runs show deep (aka down into my area) snowfall? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 15/50 EPS members show at least 2” at Chapel Hill. 20/50 at GSO and HKY 11/50 at CLT and SPA 1/50 at Columbia Owens 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 KMRN has the highest mean snowfall that I saw at 3” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Griteater got a nice shout out in the MA forum for his EPS animation find. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 18z GFS out to hr183. It's another suppressed, wintry run for us. Looks dang good at 500mb with low/trough over Maine and closed contour low in TX>LA. Looks like El Nino 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 18z GFS HP considerably weaker compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 7 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: 18z GFS HP considerably weaker compared to 12z. 1038 is plenty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: 1038 is plenty Yeah wouldn’t call it a trend yet but something to watch as all other global models are a good tick weaker with the high than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 EE rule for next weekend? Haven’t said that in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Fv3 cutting further and further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 Hideous run on the FV3 also. Low goes from north MS to off the ne coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, Thor said: Fv3 cutting further and further west Tomorrow we close inside of 7 days. 5-7 days out I'd bank on the Euro and FV3. I know the ensembles are the way to go at this range. And they're not bad. But within 48 hrs we better see some of these op Euro and FV3 runs trend in our favor or I feel the ensembles will trend bad as well. It's good to track this early but I think we all have a feeling how this ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted November 30, 2018 Share Posted November 30, 2018 I counted about 26 EPS members that had a moderate-major snowfall for my area. That's a lot. Still far out, but I like that the Ensembles show that... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 On 11/29/2018 at 6:20 PM, NCSNOW said: The pound job just continues on 18z gfs for NC. Some of the best computer generated snow over the past several years. And dare I say it matches up well with my winter pre-season forecast. Burns would be buying me dinner before the 1st official day of winter even gets here lol. Just saw this. Don't get too excited. Computer generated food tastes like crap. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 3 hours ago, griteater said: EPS for day 10-15 following our storm Our best storms come at the beginning or end of a pattern change! I’ll take my Dec ice storm and then torch until January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 I am wondering why Griteater does not have his ProMet Tag? He sure has earned it! Love your input to the forum brother! Keep up the great work and I am always learning something from you! Hope you and your Family had a great Thanksgiving! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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