griteater Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 24 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Good post. How does the EPS look through its run? Your thoughts on the MJO are spot on. And please tell Mack, that he can still easily get a fresh out of the oven Miller B in that pattern and get an inch of ice! Thanks, below is the EPS for days 10-15. Control run is actually quite warm in the SE during that timeframe (snow in the Rockies with SE ridge). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 ^ Euro weeklies come out tonight based off that 00z run above, so we'll see what it thinks rolling forward into mid and late Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Just now, griteater said: Thanks, below is the EPS for days 10-15. Control run is actually quite warm in the SE during that timeframe (snow in the Rockies with SE ridge). Thanks. The GEFS looks better! That is not very attractive. The EPS run from yesterday (or the day before) looked much better. The angle of the cold is all wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Thanks. The GEFS looks better! That is not very attractive. The EPS run from yesterday (or the day before) looked much better. The angle of the cold is all wrong. I predicted we would have a few quality blocking episodes this winter (AO/NAO combo)....lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Not only that, but Judah Cohen is talking about a disruption of the SPV. So we got that possibly. Polar Vortex. Phase 8 MJO. SSW. Incoming pattern change. Discuss amongst yourselves. I have to go put a new aluminum double pass radiator in my 93 Land Cruiser. Anyone feel like giving me a hand? Free beer and Blanton's. LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 12z CMC was horrible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: CMC is horrible FYP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: FYP! ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Found this write up from yesterday to be pretty informative. From Crankywxguy http://www.stormhamster.com/e012318.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 2 hours ago, griteater said: Thanks, below is the EPS for days 10-15. Control run is actually quite warm in the SE during that timeframe (snow in the Rockies with SE ridge). Looks hot. Maybe a "thread the needle inside a wind tunnel blindfolded" event is still possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 2 hours ago, tramadoc said: Not only that, but Judah Cohen is talking about a disruption of the SPV. So we got that possibly. Polar Vortex. Phase 8 MJO. SSW. Incoming pattern change. Discuss amongst yourselves. I have to go put a new aluminum double pass radiator in my 93 Land Cruiser. Anyone feel like giving me a hand? Free beer and Blanton's. LOL In other news, the grass is green and the sky is blue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 I guess no one wants to talk about this 1064 dropping down about of Canada at the end of the 12z GFS run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, WarmNose said: I guess no one wants to talk about this 1064 dropping down about of Canada at the end of the 12z GFS run.. no way it stays that strong, but if it does as the runs progress that would cause some serious cold and suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Rather talk about the GFS calling out the Triad members saying "Come on Over to the Mack/Shettley side" and see what its like to chase a one week threat from the borderline to nada! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 1 hour ago, WarmNose said: I guess no one wants to talk about this 1064 dropping down about of Canada at the end of the 12z GFS run.. Looks windy over Minnesota. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Looks windy over Minnesota. Nice Apps rubber look! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 2 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: no way it stays that strong, but if it does as the runs progress that would cause some serious cold and suppression Need a Gulf Low to come across southern Ga. with that cold air in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 21 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Need a Gulf Low to come across southern Ga. with that cold air in place. then all of us would jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 apps rubber at 174 on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomesauce81 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 33 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Need a Gulf Low to come across southern Ga. with that cold air in place. With a high that strong a low MAY get as far north as Fort Lauderdale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: apps rubber at 174 on the 18z GFS It's only been showing it for a week or more. That's going to be the pattern changer rubber, we keep 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 No one talking about the snow, accumulating snow for NC Mtns. Monday night, jason on 13 news thinks we'll have to watch it for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 7 hours ago, griteater said: ^ Euro weeklies come out tonight based off that 00z run above, so we'll see what it thinks rolling forward into mid and late Feb New Euro Weeklies keep the -EPO pattern with SE ridging and core of the cold to our NW (over the north central states and Canada) thru week 3 (Feb 8-15), then the Aleutian low and western ridge move east so it's more of a +PNA look for mid Feb into early March, however, it's +NAO and the core of the cold stays over the NE and E Canada verbatim on the model in mid-Feb, before cold anomalies work in toward the last 1/3 of Feb and early Mar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, griteater said: New Euro Weeklies keep the -EPO pattern with SE ridging and core of the cold to our NW (over the north central states and Canada) thru week 3 (Feb 8-15), then the Aleutian low and western ridge move east so it's more of a +PNA look for mid Feb into early March, however, it's +NAO and the core of the cold stays over the NE and E Canada verbatim on the model in mid-Feb, before cold anomalies work in toward the last 1/3 of Feb and early Mar. Sweet! Time to break out the preemergent buffet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 43 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Sweet! Time to break out the preemergent buffet! Just your typical January " thaw" they said, winter will come roaring back early Feb, wait, I mean mid February, oooops, I mean late Feb will be our greatness, oh wait, I mean March 1960! What a load of dump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 6 hours ago, Snovary said: So what did the EURO Operational show today? TIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Just your typical January " thaw" they said, winter will come roaring back early Feb, wait, I mean mid February, oooops, I mean late Feb will be our greatness, oh wait, I mean March 1960! What a load of dump Yeah at least 99.9% of the board had a great winter if it ends now. Unfortunately I'm in that .1% that will remember this winter as the biggest dumpster fire in history. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Though I would do a little archiving from back in December. Some were saying winter was canceled and warm up was coming. Nust like some on here are now when looking at models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 6 hours ago, WarmNose said: Looks hot. Maybe a "thread the needle inside a wind tunnel blindfolded" event is still possible 8 hours ago, griteater said: Thanks, below is the EPS for days 10-15. Control run is actually quite warm in the SE during that timeframe (snow in the Rockies with SE ridge). Where have I seen this map before. Oh yes It was back in December before the hammer dropped when many on here were saying winter is canceled. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Just your typical January " thaw" they said, winter will come roaring back early Feb, wait, I mean mid February, oooops, I mean late Feb will be our greatness, oh wait, I mean March 1960! What a load of dumpDang, just like that winter is over!! I sure didn’t think we would be through with winter in January? What the heck has happened? I just read a FB post Robert posted, he’s still talking like February is gonna have cold a maybe many possibilities for winter weather. . The short range continues to be dull, nice, but not that interesting. All the Wintery stuff lay out in February. All the indices MJO, AO, PNA, and most importantly, a big shift of the cold air in Russia coming to North America, all beginning next week. It will take a while to get to the Southeast, but already I'm eyeing the Tennessee Valley next Friday or so for that first major cold front to have snow behind it possibly from the mountains, west. Then things get very interesting from then on, as a tall west Ridge goes up and up, keeping the Cold Air trapped in North America, with a series of systems undercutting the bowl shaped American Trough as we head through February. Don't buy bread or milk yet--but if you're a business owner or Apartment manager, I would go out and get as much Ice Melt as you can get your hands on while the weather is still nice. Odds are , you'll need it from east TX/ OK due east across the Deep South and MidAtlantic in February.Speaking of businesses, if you need more long range info and a heads up , and want to join my monthly paid blog, shoot me a PM with your city, state and email. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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