tarheelwx Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 That's a good point. During the steak, we had no snow on the ground. If we had, I'm sure a few records might have fallen. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 Meh, by the end of Feb, my normal high is nearing 60, I hate FabFebs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 That's some serious cold air hanging out on the Canadian border at the end of the 12z GFS run. Won't take much for Fab Feb to kick into high gear 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 Angle of the cold is all wrong though. TW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 3 hours ago, tarheelwx said: Angle of the cold is all wrong though. TW Lol, the ole Siberian elbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 4 hours ago, tarheelwx said: Angle of the cold is all wrong though. TW JB says next arcticgeddon, starts out west, bleeds east in February! Could be worse than New Year outbreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 4 hours ago, WarmNose said: That's some serious cold air hanging out on the Canadian border at the end of the 12z GFS run. Won't take much for Fab Feb to kick into high gear And as long as Packbacker colors stay out west, I'm good! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 20, 2018 Share Posted January 20, 2018 In sort of a lull so let's see where we're at.Just comparing this to 09-10 Solar wind for January so far is 372.7,steadily dropping.Winter 09-10 averaged 330-340 EEP levels the last 30 or so days also dropping,reflecting the solar wind running between 5-7.09-10 ran 4.5 to 5 Last QBO reading was -18.12 ,09-10 was -16.02 So far I have 9'' for the year,09-10 I got 14.5'' When the MJO swings back around there's a chance the hammer drops again,this time with a strat boost taking the PV out or displacing it.Some believe the solar/QBO drive MJO but I can't say for sure.Just my opinion. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 LR models don't handle CAD well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 12 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: JB says next arcticgeddon, starts out west, bleeds east in February! Could be worse than New Year outbreak Here's the link to the free videos: https://www.weatherbell.com/#premium 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 ^^^^^^ ThT looks cold and storm! Could be good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 ^ That would plop the coldest anomalies over the Northern Hemisphere in North America for the 3rd time this winter. Let's get greedy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 GFS trended WAY colder out west at the end of the 12z run, some areas near the Montana/Idaho/Wyoming border with -20s and -30s for the temp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 Seen this somebody posted!! MJO Heading for the Promised Land Its forecasted day 15 to where it was in mid December before the walls came tumbling down This could be real nasty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Seen this somebody posted!! MJO Heading for the Promised Land Its forecasted day 15 to where it was in mid December before the walls came tumbling down This could be real nasty Lol! Your hero! We will be above normal till Valentine's Day , atleast! Late Fab Feb will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol! Your hero! We will be above normal till Valentine's Day , atleast! Late Fab Feb will save us I doubt that... The models show an up and down with the pattern. We will have warm ups and cool downs in the mean time. No torch look though currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 30 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol! Your hero! We will be above normal till Valentine's Day , atleast! Late Fab Feb will save us In weather, yes!! I think you like him pretty good!! You seem to know what he says all the time!!! Then criticize what he says..................... lol I think a lot of us will have at least a couple more chances at a Winter Storm before spring! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 34 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Seen this somebody posted!! MJO Heading for the Promised Land Its forecasted day 15 to where it was in mid December before the walls came tumbling down This could be real nasty Plus that air has had time to really marinate In the Arctic. No way to tell the duration it will stay but it should be a lot colder air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 24 minutes ago, Met1985 said: No torch look though currently. Except GSP is already at 66 at 1:00 and looks to be headed for 70+ today, following a 64 yesterday. That's definitely a torch in my book! Are we really putting stock in a 384 GFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 23 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: In weather, yes!! I think you like him pretty good!! You seem to know what he says all the time!!! Then criticize what he says..................... lol I think a lot of us will have at least a couple more chances at a Winter Storm before spring! East of us have already cashed in this year. they are running like 700 percent above normal. It has already been a banner year for them. The cold air has been very impressive also. This has been an impressive winter already for several. Glad to see most get into the action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Except GSP is already at 66 at 1:00 and looks to be headed for 70+ today, following a 64 yesterday. That's definitely a torch in my book! Are we really putting stock in a 384 GFS? Glad I don't live there. We still have snow in the ground with a frozen ground to add to that. Also the Euro is showing a cool down for around in two days then another much bigger cool down in 7 days again. I don't look at the GFS much anyways. We have been below average since Christmas anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 prepare for glory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 I just noticed on the NAM that the piedmont may have some light icing going on tonight into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 26 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Glad I don't live there. We still have snow in the ground with a frozen ground to add to that. Also the Euro is showing a cool down for around in two days then another much bigger cool down in 7 days again. I don't look at the GFS much anyways. We have been below average since Christmas anyways. Yeah, you mtn peeps don't realize how good you have. I did notice AVL is at 60, and even Boone is 55, that's pretty much a torch for those locations as well. Oh well, fun while it lasted in upstate. Today is beautiful, but ready to bring back the cold Mother Nature! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 21 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Yeah, you mtn peeps don't realize how good you have. I did notice AVL is at 60, and even Boone is 55, that's pretty much a torch for those locations as well. Oh well, fun while it lasted in upstate. Today is beautiful, but ready to bring back the cold Mother Nature! 71 now, +21 above avg.! Very Torchy! JB promises this will turnaround by mid Feb! Just in time for our normal highs to be nearing 60. Will take a 20 degree below normal airmass to remotely have a chance at frozen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Glad I don't live there. We still have snow in the ground with a frozen ground to add to that. Also the Euro is showing a cool down for around in two days then another much bigger cool down in 7 days again. I don't look at the GFS much anyways. We have been below average since Christmas anyways. Last of the snow should melt here today up to 55 now. I'm kinda bummed next week doesn't look as warm now as it did a few days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Last of the snow should melt here today up to 55 now. I'm kinda bummed next week doesn't look as warm now as it did a few days ago. Show off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said: Last of the snow should melt here today up to 55 now. I'm kinda bummed next week doesn't look as warm now as it did a few days ago. Yeah looks like a quick warm up... I mean maybe 5 degrees above normal before a big cold front comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2018 Share Posted January 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Yeah, you mtn peeps don't realize how good you have. I did notice AVL is at 60, and even Boone is 55, that's pretty much a torch for those locations as well. Oh well, fun while it lasted in upstate. Today is beautiful, but ready to bring back the cold Mother Nature! Yeah today is warm but that will be short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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