BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Any word on the Weeklies? looks okay for the next three weeks by my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I can't figure, cold cold cold, and no preip. warms up a little Monday with rain, then cold cold cold and no precip, what is with the moisture and cold meeting at the same time, the odds should be in our favor a few times. CRAZY MAN!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 12z NAM has potential frost all the way down to West Palm Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, fritschy said: I can't figure, cold cold cold, and no preip. warms up a little Monday with rain, then cold cold cold and no precip, what is with the moisture and cold meeting at the same time, the odds should be in our favor a few times. CRAZY MAN!!!!!! Oh fritschy, you say this every winter. It's normal winter weather. Nothing unusual about it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 36 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: looks okay for the next three weeks by my eyes. Thank you, sir. They were showing a quick warm-up after the first week in Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Thank you, sir. They were showing a quick warm-up after the first week in Jan. JB says January thaw coming mid to late month, but comes roaring back in February! That should ease concerns! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: JB says January thaw coming mid to late month, but comes roaring back in February! That should ease concerns! "Wait for Fab February" as they say ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 hours ago, griteater said: Oh fritschy, you say this every winter. It's normal winter weather. Nothing unusual about it well excuse me my friend, I could understand if I lived in Charlotte, but not the mountains, quite a bit of difference there buddy, not saying anything that most other folks are also saying, We're wasting the cold air and its a shame, I don't claim to know that much, just get frustrated as does most on this board, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 10 minutes ago, fritschy said: well excuse me my friend, I could understand if I lived in Charlotte, but not the mountains, quite a bit of difference there buddy, not saying anything that most other folks are also saying, We're wasting the cold air and its a shame, I don't claim to know that much, just get frustrated as does most on this board, Asheville has an average of 15" per year. You got almost 12 earlier this month, you're over your year to date average. You're very likely to finish the year above average. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 hours ago, franklin NCwx said: Asheville has an average of 15" per year. You got almost 12 earlier this month, you're over your year to date average. You're very likely to finish the year above average. Oh I know just get a little frustrated , seems we can never get the cold to hang on and when it does we can't get the moisture to come in, sorry if I sound like a broken record but that's just getting it off my chest, venting I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 LR GFS back to a dry look after Monday! But the Sunday night event looks a little icy in the damming regions and seems to be getting icier about every run! The stale cold air could make some in -situ wedging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: LR GFS back to a dry look after Monday! But the Sunday night event looks a little icy in the damming regions and seems to be getting icier about every run! The stale cold air could make some in -situ wedging Now we are getting somewhere...10 more days of winter and it's hello spring. GOA low, big eastern ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 hours ago, fritschy said: Oh I know just get a little frustrated , seems we can never get the cold to hang on and when it does we can't get the moisture to come in, sorry if I sound like a broken record but that's just getting it off my chest, venting I guess. We have guys here that haven't seen in a measurable snowfall in years. In Asheville we got 14" just last month. We got nearly a foot last year and a foot and a half the year before that. Our winters are have been doing pretty good as of recently in terms of getting a good snowstorm or two. Count your blessings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 ^eps has an Aleutian low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That means cold and stormy in Alaska and ridge in the east, right? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 GFS has a sizeable event next Monday for a good chunk of western and northwestern NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 19 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: ^eps has an Aleutian low. Day 10 but not after that. Pretty much every analog for e-nina with e-qbo is a torch for Feb, so it makes sense. EPS/GEFS may push back the change a few days but by the 20th, winter is over in the MA/SE. Woohoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: That means cold and stormy in Alaska and ridge in the east, right? TW Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 18 minutes ago, packbacker said: Day 10 but not after that. Pretty much every analog for e-nina with e-qbo is a torch for Feb, so it makes sense. EPS/GEFS may push back the change a few days but by the 20th, winter is over in the MA/SE. Woohoo! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Queencitywx said: GFS has a sizeable event next Monday for a good chunk of western and northwestern NC same into georgia. 12z runs of the canadian and gfs are looking more bullish. In fact, it could be quite impressive. Despite the initial parent high sliding out, the overall setup should promote increased surface pressures in the damming regions after cooling. The gfs even appears to see it at this range, which is pretty unusual. gfs is showing temps already in the upper 20s and low 30s when precip arrives with dewpoints in the single digits and low teens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, Lookout said: same into georgia. 12z runs of the canadian and gfs are looking more bullish. In fact, it could be quite impressive. Despite the initial parent high sliding out, the overall setup should promote increased surface pressures in the damming regions after cooling. The gfs even appears to see it at this range, which is pretty unusual. That is a pretty bad ice storm for Charlotte/Greenville/NE GA as modeled on the canadian. We all know the canadians record on ice storms, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 The CAD will be even more impressive IMO once this snowpack is laid to out north and east. Actually kind of scary how the globals are already picking up on that much ice this far out. CAD always trends stronger closer to event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: That is a pretty bad ice storm for Charlotte/Greenville/NE GA as modeled on the canadian. We all know the canadians record on ice storms, too. gfs is a bad one too. Best case scenerio temps likely don't rise above freezing until afternoon monday...maybe...by which time this much falls. At first glance, it looks like it could start as snow or sleet. waiting on soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 12z GFS ice map.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Canadian ICE map... yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 34 minutes ago, wncsnow said: 12z GFS ice map.. The sad thing is, our local mets are so excited about the " warm up" this Saturday it hits 40, I believe they showed, then 45 on Sunday and have 53 as the high Monday! They may have to adjust!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Canadian ICE map... yikes Yeah, no thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That's going to be a cold airmass moving in behind the coastal bomb...so, just depends how far south the next system can track. The winter tracking index is above normal so far that's for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, griteater said: That's going to be a cold airmass moving in behind the coastal bomb...so, just depends how far south the next system can track. The winter tracking index is above normal so far that's for sure It feels like we've barely stopped since that first storm. That canadian run is bad news. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: It feels like we've barely stopped since that first storm. That canadian run is bad news. It has been a constant flow of systems to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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