ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah 2007 this is not. Maybe we'll avoid the Grinch this year...GFS is trying to avoid it this run...almost just an overrunning system on 12/22...and then is preparing for a cold event on Xmas? I'll sacrifice some snow to avoid the Grinch and keep a less assaulted snowy landscape....but I'm still expecting the Grinch to win out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe we'll avoid the Grinch this year...GFS is trying to avoid it this run...almost just an overrunning system on 12/22...and then is preparing for a cold event on Xmas? I'll sacrifice some snow to avoid the Grinch and keep a less assaulted snowy landscape....but I'm still expecting the Grinch to win out. NOOOO DONT GIVE IT POWER!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Why is the confluence over Newfoundland shoving down the SE ridge in the extended different this month than it was then. I don't think it has to be different...but I took Scott's statement as to be how December has performed through roughly 20 days vs 2007....assuming nothing crazy appears the next 5-6 days. It will be not even close to 2007's league by the 20th. But we could def have a very good final 10 days of the month to change that. 2007 tailed off in in the final 10 days after the norlun event on the 20-21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Wow...end of GFS run has 850 temps near -40C in southern Quebec...lol. That's like 1933 territory for December if that is able to dive a bit further south. That airmass is a dendrite cold fetish special....and metherb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Best December since 07 so far. whinemeister FTL. Look on EPS is buckle up buckos Hopefully we avoid a repeat of Grinch 07 which wiped out my entire 2 foot snow pack in Bethlehem NH on the 23rd?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 21z RPM is starting to jump on the train for tomorrow night too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM is starting to jump on the train for tomorrow night too. That's a lot of energy consolidation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Man Ryan’s long range is depressing next week. Not even a snowflake symbol or icing after tomorrow night . Suspect that will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah 2007 this is not. I believe the post I made said best Dec SINCE 2007, don't know how that got conflated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man Ryan’s long range is depressing next week. Not even a snowflake symbol or icing after tomorrow night . Suspect that will change Since Ryan posted he was bored and the LR looked meh he has had to deal with 2 snow events in a week. We mild up then it's a real air mass battle Christmas week and beyond looks volatile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Mild up Tue?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't think it has to be different...but I took Scott's statement as to be how December has performed through roughly 20 days vs 2007....assuming nothing crazy appears the next 5-6 days. It will be not even close to 2007's league by the 20th. But we could def have a very good final 10 days of the month to change that. 2007 tailed off in in the final 10 days after the norlun event on the 20-21st. I got u. I just mean the confluent strong gradient pattern on the Atlantic side looks somewhat like that...tangible weather results TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow...end of GFS run has 850 temps near -40C in southern Quebec...lol. That's like 1933 territory for December if that is able to dive a bit further south. That airmass is a dendrite cold fetish special....and metherb. If I didn't have the birds I'd be all for it, but a -2/-22 type day will make me put the heat lamp in the coop and I really want no part of worrying about that overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM is starting to jump on the train for tomorrow night too. Where do you get the RPM? Whats it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I believe the post I made said best Dec SINCE 2007, don't know how that got conflated I'd argue 2008 and 2009 were better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Dec to date The forecast over the next several days would need to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd argue 2008 and 2009 were better. Have to clarify because obvious some didn't see the original post. Best START snow wise to Dec to date in my hood since 2007 statistically. Other areas were listed in another post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The forecast over the next several days would need to change. To date means today not 3 days from now. How hard is this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Have to clarify because obvious some didn't see the original post. Best START snow wise to Dec to date in my hood since 2007 statistically. Other areas were listed in another post. Ok...that will change soon. But fair enough. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: To date means today not 3 days from now. How hard is this Not hard if you have digested all of the posts, which is challenging if you have a life. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not hard if you have digested all of the posts, which is challenging if you have a life. lol Yea none of us can read everything as I am pretty sure we all have a life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea none of us can read everything as I am pretty sure we all have a life. Agreed. Hopefully modeling shuffles a bit....because right now it doesn't look good between now and xmas. Plenty of time, but if we somehow clear xmas without another significant event, then we aren't going to have a ton of time before things go to $hit. I hope my winter outlook starts to go into the $hitter after about the first week of January. Gonna be a good break, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Weeklies? Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Hump Hopefully fixed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Bump +1, -1, -4, 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: +1, -1, -4, 0 Thanks Steve-we take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Those weeklies imply the first half of January is AOB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Thanks Steve-we take! Yea week 2 and 3 look active. That - EPO is gonna dump a ton of cold air down and with an active STJ, mother superior... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Those weeklies imply the first half of January is AOB Pattern looks kind of crappy week 4 but we know about week 4's accuracy. Week 3 looks really nice though. Leon with absolutely frigid stuff pressing down from Quebec and above average in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Those weeklies imply the first half of January is AOB Actually week 4 starts cold then we thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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