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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion


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7 hours ago, ldub23 said:

If the  low  is  more SE then you would  have a  long duration ice  or even snow storm. But after this the  low  is too far west and  it warms  up and rains  in central VA

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_15.png

2 problems with that and yes they are problems if it’s freezing rain:

1-Half the ensembles are major hits for Central Va

2-The pattern for the past several weeks has been one of suppressed systems as the model runs near the event. 

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1 hour ago, Sernest14 said:

UKMET with the continued trend more south - at least in terms of expansion

RDPS (end of run so hard take with a grain of salt) shows what the GFS does - at least .5" of freezing rain

Yep that’s what’s happening. The CAD is stronger seemingly each run most of the models.

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