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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion


RIC Airport
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Yes I know.. Just saying, it's so disorginized in this area right now, that some places could be getting barely anything....while just a few mins away could be making out allot differently...prob best to just look at the radar hallucinations/ water vapor loop & get real time updates from other users at this point. :)

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1 hour ago, dswx said:

8z HRRR Kuchera (posted) has 1 inch for RIC. 6z NAM Kuchera has 3.5 (not posted) while IBM's Deep Thunder model has 3.9 (can't post; Deep Thunder is not Kuchera).

Capture.JPG

It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw. 

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28 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw. 

Yep.  I did not see your post until this morning so did not post the 12z Euro.

HRRR is actually good beyond 4 hours. More so in warm season for t-storms.

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yeah starting to fill in nicely in the area.. prob will just miss out on the real extended period of steady/ heavy snow... Sleet mixing in prob will make roads worse since it looks like almost all the roads have not been  treated... (be careful on the bridges and overpasses)..

Main roads mainly just wet at the moment..(but again since not treated could cover up quickly in places)

 

Id say in about an hour (9:30 or so) we should get a nice hit from the precip working up this way up from SW VA/NC if it all holds together.. looks like a good batch of steady/mod snow...

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Drizzle in Norfolk as well. 37 degrees according to the closest PWS, I don't really see any accumulation here unless heavier precip somehow continues after dark. Upper level low doesn't look as consolidated as models depicted..not sure is that just subjective. 
 

Onto Saturday night/Sun night possible event. Timing should be during the night, and I like a 1040+ HP in Quebec. If this stripe shifts 50 mi north, everyone in this thread will cash in. 

gfs_asnow24_seus_14.thumb.png.d10c6e308b2fcc0c91f16d5a89f6bf3e.png

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Drizzle in Norfolk as well. 37 degrees according to the closest PWS, I don't really see any accumulation here unless heavier precip somehow continues after dark. Upper level low doesn't look as consolidated as models depicted..not sure is that just subjective. 
 
Onto Saturday night/Sun night possible event. Timing should be during the night, and I like a 1040+ HP in Quebec. If this stripe shifts 50 mi north, everyone in this thread will cash in. 
gfs_asnow24_seus_14.thumb.png.d10c6e308b2fcc0c91f16d5a89f6bf3e.png
Is that another ULL moving through?
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40 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Above seasonal avg. We’ve had some nice  events.

Eh, nothing over 6" for MOST people outside of Tidewater. 2-4" events get old....can definitely be better. But, no complaints I guess... even if you nickle and dime your way to seasonal average. 

A good season at RIC is one in excess of 20". We are due.

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Had a 4.2" of snow just south of Charlottesville. That eclipses the snow total we had thus far this year (3.4") and all of last year (3.6") in one storm. haha! Let's see what Saturday night/Sunday morning have in store for us. My concern is the strong high will crush everything south of us. We shall see. 

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