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Ginx snewx

2017/2018 New England Cities Snowfall Predictions

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Updated 2/27  

my guesses:      Current   % total guess
Dryslot   94      79.8        85%
LavaRock   92   69.45     75%
MBY      98       63.9       65%  (avg thru 2/27:  66.3)

If I reach anywhere near my guess, the other two would have a memorable snow season.

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On 2/26/2018 at 11:14 AM, nzucker said:

Ginx, looks like you're going to be way too high. I doubt Boston sees another 22" in March, although it's not totally impossible.

But most of the interior picks are doomed for sure. BTV has 54" and you picked 120" (way too high, I think only 70-71 and 07-08 had more than this at Burlington). There's no way they will get another 66" in March/early April, especially considering the cold air is on the other side of the globe. Same with Albany...they have 38.9" and you picked 77"...they aren't getting 40" in March. Albany's average snowfall is around 55", so your pick was already highly optimistic. I'm guessing they get over 75" in only 15-20% of winters...that's a lot for Albany. ORH has 46" and you picked 80"...looks out of reach given the pattern. 

I think you may overestimate average snowfalls at some of these interior sites. Or you thought we'd see a really good winter in a weak La Nina. It did start out promising, but it's been horrible since January 10th. The problem is there is just more and more warm air on the map. 

Ooof. Weather is humbling, isn't it? I learned that more than once over the years.

 

Looks like he was too low on ORH, now at 86.6"....and ALB now up to 74.7 with 35.8 in March alone. BOS up to 56.8".

 

On the bright side, your BTV skepticism still looks good.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ooof. Weather is humbling, isn't it? I learned that more than once over the years.

 

Looks like he was too low on ORH, now at 86.6"....and ALB now up to 74.7 with 35.8 in March alone. BOS up to 56.8".

 

On the bright side, your BTV skepticism still looks good.

Yea I am going to eat crow with some of these. The interior has had a March for the ages. Who would have thought we'd see 3 massive Nor'easters in 11 days? I've had 7.5" this March here in the Bronx, respectable but not amazing. The pattern has been cold though, only 33F here today at noon on March 14th. Average highs are upper 40s now.

Well BTV was obviously not going to verify. That was the one I was most certain of. I know the climo there well from Middlebury, and 120" is an historic winter in the Champlain Valley. They don't get 70" in one month either. 

I did say Boston was "not impossible" in my defense. 22" is within reason for a snowy March. More than expected but possible.

We shall see if Albany gets 3" more. The pattern looks to stay cold so certainly possible. Euro weeklies had troughing out to mid April.

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8 hours ago, nzucker said:

Yea I am going to eat crow with some of these. The interior has had a March for the ages. Who would have thought we'd see 3 massive Nor'easters in 11 days? I've had 7.5" this March here in the Bronx, respectable but not amazing. The pattern has been cold though, only 33F here today at noon on March 14th. Average highs are upper 40s now.

Well BTV was obviously not going to verify. That was the one I was most certain of. I know the climo there well from Middlebury, and 120" is an historic winter in the Champlain Valley. They don't get 70" in one month either. 

I did say Boston was "not impossible" in my defense. 22" is within reason for a snowy March. More than expected but possible.

We shall see if Albany gets 3" more. The pattern looks to stay cold so certainly possible. Euro weeklies had troughing out to mid April.

Hi

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On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Member    City
     Total
GINX    ORH 80
        BOS 57
       PVD 42
        BDL 70
       BDR 26
        PSF 100
        ALB 77
        BVT 120
        CON 95
        PORTLAND 115
        CAR 127
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 73      KDIT 73.5
    
Hubbdave    
    ORH 62
       BOS 48
       PVD 36
        BDL 59
        BDR 21
        PSF 90
        ALB 50
        BVT 95
        CON 82
        PORTLAND 70
        CAR 140
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55      KDIT 60
        HUBB  68
    
Runnaway iceberg    
    ORH 95
        BOS 66
        PVD 44
        BDL 72
        BDR 39
        PSF 115
        ALB 81
        BVT 105
        CON 98
        PORTLAND 108
        CAR 144
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 88     KDIT 87.9
        DXR 71
    
Orh-Wxman    
    ORH 61
        BOS 40
        PVD 34
        BDL 44
        BDR 22
        PSF 69
        ALB 57
        BVT 87
        CON 66
        PORTLAND 72
        CAR 139
        KGNX 51
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 54.0      KDIT 53.5.
    
DMillz25    
    ORH 75
        BOS 57
        PVD 47
        BDL 69
        BDR 45
        PSF 105
        ALB 79
        BVT 105
        CON 87
        PORTLAND 100
        CAR 130
        KGNX 63
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 75     KDIT 73
        KNYC 40
    
Tblizz    
    ORH 58
        BOS 39
        PVD 29
        BDL 35
        BDR 22
        PSF 95
        ALB 75
        BVT 115
        CON 76
        PORTLAND 99
        CAR 118
        KGNX 33
        TAN 30
    
Coastal WX    
    
    ORH 75
        BOS 50
        PVD 38
        BDL 48
        BDR 26
        PSF 84
        ALB 70
        BTV 90
        CON 85
        PORTLAND 90
        CAR 130
        KGNX 50
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 60      KDIT 65
    
Ct Valley    
    ORH     86
        PSF      90
        BDL      69
        BDR      41
        GON     43
        BOS      66
        PVD      52
        ALB      82
        TAN     52
        BTV     95
        CON    86
        PWM   92
        AUG    95
        CAR    98
    Ray  75,  Kevin  78
    
Tamarak    
    ORH     72
    BOS      46
    PVD      36
    BDL      52
    BDR      30
    PSF       85
    ALB       65
    BTV      85
    CON      67
    PWM     70
    CAR     125
    GNX      49
    RAY      57
    DIT       57
    Dryslot   94
    LavaRock   92
    MBY      98 
    
DIT    
    ORH 65
       BOS 41
        PVD 30
        BDL 49
        BDR 30
        PSF 70
        ALB 60
        BVT 75
        CON 63
        PORTLAND 60
        CAR 90
        KGNX 55
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55
         KDIT 61
    
South Coast Ma    
    ORH 69
        BOS 44
        PVD 34
        BDL 42
        BDR 27
        PSF 95
        ALB 60
        BVT 125
        CON 77
        PORTLAND 80
        CAR 122
        KGNX 48
        TAN 40
        KJAMES: 29
        EWB: 36
    
Wxman Mitch    
    ORH: 82"   
        BOS: 58"
        PVD: 47" 
        BDL: 53" 
        BDR: 38"
        PSF: 85"
        ALB: 68"
        BTV: 76" 
        CON: 94"
        PWM: 88"
        CAR: 134"
        My new location: 135".
        My old location (Lenox, MA): 86"
    
J Paul Gordon    
    ORH     94     
        BOS     63
        PVD     62
        BDL     68
        PSF    114
        ALB     92
        BVT    134
        CON    92
        PORT  103
        CAR    178
    
Wx Fella    
    ORH 72
        BOS 41
        PVD 39
        BDL 59
        BDR 24
        PSF 88
        ALB 90
        BVT 132
        CON 89
        PORTLAND 109
        CAR 152
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 71     KDIT 75
 

Bump in Socks rump

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On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Member    City
     Total
GINX    ORH 80
        BOS 57
       PVD 42
        BDL 70
       BDR 26
        PSF 100
        ALB 77
        BVT 120
        CON 95
        PORTLAND 115   
        CAR 127
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 73      KDIT 73.5
    
Hubbdave    
    ORH 62
       BOS 48
       PVD 36
        BDL 59
        BDR 21
        PSF 90
        ALB 50
        BVT 95
        CON 82
        PORTLAND 70
        CAR 140
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55      KDIT 60
        HUBB  68
    
Runnaway iceberg    
    ORH 95
        BOS 66
        PVD 44
        BDL 72
        BDR 39
        PSF 115
        ALB 81
        BVT 105
        CON 98
        PORTLAND 108
        CAR 144
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 88     KDIT 87.9
        DXR 71
    
Orh-Wxman    
    ORH 61
        BOS 40
        PVD 34
        BDL 44
        BDR 22
        PSF 69
        ALB 57
        BVT 87
        CON 66
        PORTLAND 72
        CAR 139
        KGNX 51
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 54.0      KDIT 53.5.
    
DMillz25    
    ORH 75
        BOS 57
        PVD 47
        BDL 69
        BDR 45
        PSF 105
        ALB 79
        BVT 105
        CON 87
        PORTLAND 100
        CAR 130
        KGNX 63
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 75     KDIT 73
        KNYC 40
    
Tblizz    
    ORH 58
        BOS 39
        PVD 29
        BDL 35
        BDR 22
        PSF 95
        ALB 75
        BVT 115
        CON 76
        PORTLAND 99
        CAR 118
        KGNX 33
        TAN 30
    
Coastal WX    
    
    ORH 75
        BOS 50
        PVD 38
        BDL 48
        BDR 26
        PSF 84
        ALB 70
        BTV 90
        CON 85
        PORTLAND 90
        CAR 130
        KGNX 50
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 60      KDIT 65
    
Ct Valley    
    ORH     86
        PSF      90
        BDL      69
        BDR      41
        GON     43
        BOS      66
        PVD      52
        ALB      82
        TAN     52
        BTV     95
        CON    86
        PWM   92
        AUG    95
        CAR    98
    Ray  75,  Kevin  78
    
Tamarak    
    ORH     72
    BOS      46
    PVD      36
    BDL      52
    BDR      30
    PSF       85
    ALB       65
    BTV      85
    CON      67
    PWM     70
    CAR     125
    GNX      49
    RAY      57
    DIT       57
    Dryslot   94
    LavaRock   92
    MBY      98 
    
DIT    
    ORH 65
       BOS 41
        PVD 30
        BDL 49
        BDR 30
        PSF 70
        ALB 60
        BVT 75
        CON 63
        PORTLAND 60
        CAR 90
        KGNX 55
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55
         KDIT 61
    
South Coast Ma    
    ORH 69
        BOS 44
        PVD 34
        BDL 42
        BDR 27
        PSF 95
        ALB 60
        BVT 125
        CON 77
        PORTLAND 80
        CAR 122
        KGNX 48
        TAN 40
        KJAMES: 29
        EWB: 36
    
Wxman Mitch    
    ORH: 82"   
        BOS: 58"
        PVD: 47" 
        BDL: 53" 
        BDR: 38"
        PSF: 85"
        ALB: 68"
        BTV: 76" 
        CON: 94"
        PWM: 88"
        CAR: 134"
        My new location: 135".
        My old location (Lenox, MA): 86"
    
J Paul Gordon    
    ORH     94     
        BOS     63
        PVD     62
        BDL     68
        PSF    114
        ALB     92
        BVT    134
        CON    92
        PORT  103
        CAR    178
    
Wx Fella    
    ORH 72
        BOS 41
        PVD 39
        BDL 59
        BDR 24
        PSF 88
        ALB 90
        BVT 132
        CON 89
        PORTLAND 109
        CAR 152
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 71     KDIT 75
 

5x0SZeF.thumb.jpg.019ba318cae4b80ce9e502682e17a128.jpg.bd454f8837a60ac65fd7656cf93046b6.jpg

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On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Member    City
     Total
GINX    ORH 80
        BOS 57
       PVD 42
        BDL 70
       BDR 26
        PSF 100
        ALB 77
        BVT 120
        CON 95
        PORTLAND 115
        CAR 127
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 73      KDIT 73.5
    
Hubbdave    
    ORH 62
       BOS 48
       PVD 36
        BDL 59
        BDR 21
        PSF 90
        ALB 50
        BVT 95
        CON 82
        PORTLAND 70
        CAR 140
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55      KDIT 60
        HUBB  68
    
Runnaway iceberg    
    ORH 95
        BOS 66
        PVD 44
        BDL 72
        BDR 39
        PSF 115
        ALB 81
        BVT 105
        CON 98
        PORTLAND 108
        CAR 144
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 88     KDIT 87.9
        DXR 71
    
Orh-Wxman    
    ORH 61
        BOS 40
        PVD 34
        BDL 44
        BDR 22
        PSF 69
        ALB 57
        BVT 87
        CON 66
        PORTLAND 72
        CAR 139
        KGNX 51
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 54.0      KDIT 53.5.
    
DMillz25    
    ORH 75
        BOS 57
        PVD 47
        BDL 69
        BDR 45
        PSF 105
        ALB 79
        BVT 105
        CON 87
        PORTLAND 100
        CAR 130
        KGNX 63
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 75     KDIT 73
        KNYC 40
    
Tblizz    
    ORH 58
        BOS 39
        PVD 29
        BDL 35
        BDR 22
        PSF 95
        ALB 75
        BVT 115
        CON 76
        PORTLAND 99
        CAR 118
        KGNX 33
        TAN 30
    
Coastal WX    
    
    ORH 75
        BOS 50
        PVD 38
        BDL 48
        BDR 26
        PSF 84
        ALB 70
        BTV 90
        CON 85
        PORTLAND 90
        CAR 130
        KGNX 50
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 60      KDIT 65
    
Ct Valley    
    ORH     86
        PSF      90
        BDL      69
        BDR      41
        GON     43
        BOS      66
        PVD      52
        ALB      82
        TAN     52
        BTV     95
        CON    86
        PWM   92
        AUG    95
        CAR    98
    Ray  75,  Kevin  78
    
Tamarak    
    ORH     72
    BOS      46
    PVD      36
    BDL      52
    BDR      30
    PSF       85
    ALB       65
    BTV      85
    CON      67
    PWM     70
    CAR     125
    GNX      49
    RAY      57
    DIT       57
    Dryslot   94
    LavaRock   92
    MBY      98 
    
DIT    
    ORH 65
       BOS 41
        PVD 30
        BDL 49
        BDR 30
        PSF 70
        ALB 60
        BVT 75
        CON 63
        PORTLAND 60
        CAR 90
        KGNX 55
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 55
         KDIT 61
    
South Coast Ma    
    ORH 69
        BOS 44
        PVD 34
        BDL 42
        BDR 27
        PSF 95
        ALB 60
        BVT 125
        CON 77
        PORTLAND 80
        CAR 122
        KGNX 48
        TAN 40
        KJAMES: 29
        EWB: 36
    
Wxman Mitch    
    ORH: 82"   
        BOS: 58"
        PVD: 47" 
        BDL: 53" 
        BDR: 38"
        PSF: 85"
        ALB: 68"
        BTV: 76" 
        CON: 94"
        PWM: 88"
        CAR: 134"
        My new location: 135".
        My old location (Lenox, MA): 86"
    
J Paul Gordon    
    ORH     94     
        BOS     63
        PVD     62
        BDL     68
        PSF    114
        ALB     92
        BVT    134
        CON    92
        PORT  103
        CAR    178
    
Wx Fella    
    ORH 72
        BOS 41
        PVD 39
        BDL 59
        BDR 24
        PSF 88
        ALB 90
        BVT 132
        CON 89
        PORTLAND 109
        CAR 152
        KGNX 59
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 71     KDIT 75
 

GINX    ORH 80      so far 88.9


        BOS 57        58.6
       PVD 42         46.8
        BDL 70        48.4
       BDR 26         39.9
        PSF 100       
        ALB 77         74.9
        BVT 120       84.5
        CON 95        85.6
        PORTLAND 115    91.2
        CAR 127             128.2
        KGNX 59              73.6
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 73  87.5     KDIT 73.    75.3
 PSF doesn't keep snow data bummer

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Thru March 26:

Tamarack    
    ORH     72    88.9
    BOS      46    58.6
    PVD      36    46.8
    BDL      52    48.4
    BDR      30    39.9
    PSF       85
    ALB       65    74.9
    BTV      85     84.5
    CON      67    85.6
    PWM     70    91.2
    CAR     125   128.2
    GNX      49    73.6
    RAY      57    87.5
    DIT       57    75.3

Maine peeps:      Current   % total guess
Dryslot   94      113.8     121%
LavaRock   92   103.3     112%
MBY      98       101.0     103%

Except for BTV and the 2 official CT locales, Ginxy did better than I did.  All 3 Maine spots overshot expectations, which makes last place tolerable. 

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5 hours ago, tamarack said:

Thru March 26:

Tamarack    
    ORH     72    88.9
    BOS      46    58.6
    PVD      36    46.8
    BDL      52    48.4
    BDR      30    39.9
    PSF       85
    ALB       65    74.9
    BTV      85     84.5
    CON      67    85.6
    PWM     70    91.2
    CAR     125   128.2
    GNX      49    73.6
    RAY      57    87.5
    DIT       57    75.3

Maine peeps:      Current   % total guess
Dryslot   94      113.8     121%
LavaRock   92   103.3     112%
MBY      98       101.0     103%

Except for BTV and the 2 official CT locales, Ginxy did better than I did.  All 3 Maine spots overshot expectations, which makes last place tolerable. 

Oh lol but last ? Not looking at the others, at the end I will run  stat comparisons for all. Man  I sucked in my home state  damn death valley

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18 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

CoastalWx   

     ORH 75      so far 88.9

      BOS 50        58.6
       PVD 38         46.8
        BDL 48        48.4
       BDR 26         39.9
        PSF 84      
        ALB 70         74.9
        BTV 90            84.5
        CON 85        85.6
        PORTLAND 90    91.2
        CAR 130             128.2
        KGNX 50              73.6
        RAY VERSUS KEV     KGAY: 60  87.5     KDIT 65.    75.3
 

Not bad for WAG LOL. Whiffed on Steve, BDR, and Ray (*inflategate). Bit off at ORH too.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not bad for WAG LOL. Whiffed on Steve, BDR, and Ray (*inflategate). Bit off at ORH too.

Nice job, question remains is it final, stay tuned, NNE probably not

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2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I know you are bustn' 'em...but I never got a straight answer from them RE 6 hour clears.

Is that not correct? I'll stop if it isn't, but employing that method,  my total was totally legit.

Well I think that method is correct, but sounds like they encourage the once a day method? Put it this way, the first order stations wipe it clean every 6 hrs or as close as they can. It's the best way to account for compaction, wind etc.  I would keep doing that. I think this was a very extreme case (and I think timely wipe of the board) that made your number stand out. It wasn't an error, but does show you the difference compaction made. Based on the other reports in the U20s, sounds like they may have done something similar. 

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Clearing every 6hrs or 1x daily should be mentioned next to annual snowfall totals imo.

I understand that both are ok, no arguments there, but havin such information for everyone can help me determine how much more snow fell in one location from the sky (and stuck) that year which is all i really care about in comparisons.

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8 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Clearing every 6hrs or 1x daily should be mentioned next to annual snowfall totals imo.

I understand that both are ok, no arguments there, but havin such information for everyone can help me determine how much more snow fell in one location from the sky (and stuck) that year which is all i really care about in comparisons.

Its only a great disparity in huge events like that. Go back and look at Will's seasonal maps...my totals do not stand out.

Its not about what people care about...its about homogenous, accurate records.

Go stick a ruler in the ground once per day and vomit it out on twitter if that is your goal.

Claiming that the final depth is equal to snowfall is a tacit assertion that the phenomena of compaction and sublimation do not exist.

Then I will explicitly tell you that you are wrong-

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14 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Well I think that method is correct, but sounds like they encourage the once a day method? Put it this way, the first order stations wipe it clean every 6 hrs or as close as they can. It's the best way to account for compaction, wind etc.  I would keep doing that. I think this was a very extreme case (and I think timely wipe of the board) that made your number stand out. It wasn't an error, but does show you the difference compaction made. Based on the other reports in the U20s, sounds like they may have done something similar. 

I could have modified it by applying the 1" of compaction per 10" snowfall rule of thumb...which would have yielded about 27-28".

I may just start doing that...they would have accepted it.

Kind of a hybrid between the 6 hour swipe and once per day.

 

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4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I could have modified it by applying the 1" of compaction per 10" snowfall rule of thumb...which would have yielded about 27-28".

I may just start doing that...they would have accepted it.

Kind of a hybrid between the 6 hour swipe and once per day.

 

Your method was fine. It never stood out until they event. Why change it now? I personally could care less if nws takes it. They take terrible reports all the time. It’s not like they only take what they think are good reports. 

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8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its only disparity in events like that.  Go back look at Will's seasonal maps...my totals do not stand out.

Its not about what people care about...its about homogenous, accurate records.

Go stick a ruler in the ground once per day and vomit it out on twitter if that is your goal.

Claiming that the final depth is equal to snowfall is a tacit assertion that the phenomena of compaction and sublimation do not exist.

Then I will explicitly tell you that you are wrong-

You fired up?

There is plenty of disparity over a above average season. By plenty, i mean 5-10%. I dont see the big deal. I prefer the 6 hr clearing method. 

People take snow measuring way 2 Seriously. Its   S N O W. 

 

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1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You fired up?

There is plenty of disparity over a above average season. By plenty, i mean 5-10%. I dont see the big deal. I prefer the 6 hr clearing method. 

People take snow measuring way 2 Seriously. Its   S N O W. 

 

The error can exist even if the whole community is taking homogeneous methods to measuring. It's so tough. I agree about the seriousness. I used to drive myself crazy with measuring. Now I get to it when I get to it and I don't lose sleep if I'm off a half inch. I just realize in my locale that it's impossible for good measuring.

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2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

You fired up?

There is plenty of disparity over a above average season. By plenty, i mean 5-10%. I dont see the big deal. I prefer the 6 hr clearing method. 

People take snow measuring way 2 Seriously. Its   S N O W. 

 

Not at you...I just wish the issue would be addressed in a more decisive manner.

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It's only really a big issue in very fluffy big time snow events that last for 12+ hours...this past March 13th was a perfect storm for total discrepancies.  

Most events that are fluffy are either:

1. Lasting less than 8-10 hours so no real difference

2. Amounts under 10 inches

3. Or both

 

But when you get an 18-20 hour storm like we did on March 13th that is both very fluffy and also heavy snow amounts...then you'll have discrepancies that can be upwards of 20% of your total.

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Folks who ork away from home aren't going to get a measurement every 6 hours.  Of course, that doesn't mean that one-a-day is the only other choice.  I masure at 7 for cocorahs, and have been recording temp/precip/snow at 9 PM since Jan 1976 and wasn't about to change that when cocorahs reached Maine.  I I'm home and there's accumulating snow thru the day, I've been known to sweep the board halfway between 7A and 9P - might happen once a year.  I'm pretty sure the New Sharon co-op is once/day and the Farmngton co-op seems more likely to be at 6-hour spacing.  Over my 20 years here my snowfall has run 2-3" behind Farmington and 4-5" ahead of NS co-op, meaning about 85/89/92" on avg for the three locations.  Not tragic.

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2 hours ago, tamarack said:

Folks who ork away from home aren't going to get a measurement every 6 hours.  Of course, that doesn't mean that one-a-day is the only other choice.  I masure at 7 for cocorahs, and have been recording temp/precip/snow at 9 PM since Jan 1976 and wasn't about to change that when cocorahs reached Maine.  I I'm home and there's accumulating snow thru the day, I've been known to sweep the board halfway between 7A and 9P - might happen once a year.  I'm pretty sure the New Sharon co-op is once/day and the Farmngton co-op seems more likely to be at 6-hour spacing.  Over my 20 years here my snowfall has run 2-3" behind Farmington and 4-5" ahead of NS co-op, meaning about 85/89/92" on avg for the three locations.  Not tragic.

:lol:

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5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

:lol:

Missed your entry in here. Did you have numbers not ranges we could use,  middle of your range works for each of the stations listed. I have a spreadsheet with all guesses and % correct overall, with best prediction for each city, also will run Standard deviations for all. Amazingly so far groups total is over 90% correct of predicted. Smart peeps

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12 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Missed your entry in here. Did you have numbers not ranges we could use,  middle of your range works for each of the stations listed. I have a spreadsheet with all guesses and % correct overall, with best prediction for each city, also will run Standard deviations for all. Amazingly so far groups total is over 90% correct of predicted. Smart peeps

 I'll have to look at the outlook...it's in my sig.

I think I was too low for many areas.

 

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City
Predicted Snowfall
Actual
Percent Departure From Forecast Range
Boston, MA (BOS)
45-55”
?
?
New York, NY (CPK)
20-30”
?
?
Philadelphia, PA (PHL)
15-25”
?
?
Baltimore, MD (BWI)
15-25”
?
?
Washington, DC (DCA)
10-20”
?
?
Albany, NY (ALB)
50-60”
?
?
Hartford, CT (HFD)
50-60”
?
?
Providence, RI (PVD)
37-47"
?
?
Worcester, MA (ORH)
65-75”
?
?
Tolland, CT (TOL)
60-70”
?
?
Wilmington, MA (RAY)
65-75”
?
?
Burlington, VT (BTV)
70-80”
?
?
Portland, ME (PWM)
65-75"
?
?
Concord, NH (CON)
72-82”
?
?

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