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Weekend Zombie Morph Storm Discobs


nw baltimore wx

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8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

If we actually get a snowstorm this winter, I sincerely hope we remember how bad the hrrrrr is in synoptic events.

It seems to perform best in hindcast mode. lol

Front just came through. NW breezes picking up. There are going to be a lot of miserable skins fans in a few hours. The weather should be bad too. 

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

It seems to perform best in hindcast mode. lol

Front just came through. NW breezes picking up. There are going to be a lot of miserable skins fans in a few hours. The weather should be bad too. 

Nice that my crap team played Thursday night and won 40-0. Now I get to just sit back and watch games and not care, and my blood pressure is low lol.

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8 minutes ago, gymengineer said:

The Euro has been windshield wiper-ing the past day between the 12Z run and 0Z run. 

It has. All guidance has to some extent. These multiple component setups with rapid intensification are super hard to get right. Always expects surprises (good and bad). I honestly don't care about precip anyways. 1 or 2 or 3" of rain makes no difference to me. It's all about the wind and the "feel" of the storm as we move into the overnight. I'm sure pretty much everyone feels the same way. 

Ukie and euro are divided on qpf now. 12z Ukie was about 2" for DCA. Euro is half of that. The weird thing is the 2 ops agree on track and strength for the most part. 

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7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

It has. All guidance has to some extent. These multiple component setups with rapid intensification are super hard to get right. Always expects surprises (good and bad). I honestly don't care about precip anyways. 1 or 2 or 3" of rain makes no difference to me. It's all about the wind and the "feel" of the storm as we move into the overnight. I'm sure pretty much everyone feels the same way. 

Ukie and euro are divided on qpf now. 12z Ukie was about 2" for DCA. Euro is half of that. The weird thing is the 2 ops agree on track and strength for the most part. 

It looks like some areas mainly in higher elevations may get close to my standard of 58+ mph gusts. I like the current radar/satellite trends atm. Currently hoping for some gusts at least into the 50s here.

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Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
329 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017


DCZ001-MDZ005-006-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ052>054-506-
300330-
/O.CON.KLWX.WI.Y.0015.171030T0200Z-171030T1400Z/
District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-
Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-
Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun-
Including the cities of Washington, Eldersburg, Westminster,
Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie,
Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel,
Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate,
Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf,
Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown,
Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown,
Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring,
Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen,
Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston,
Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia,
Arlington, Alexandria, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling
329 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EDT MONDAY...

* TIMING...late this evening through mid-morning Monday. The
  strongest winds will be overnight.

* WINDS...Northwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts around 50 to 55 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power
  lines. Scattered power outages are expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 50 to 55 mph are expected.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.
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