Jonger Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: Yea, trying to model high res localized snowfall potential is next to near impossible with any accuracy especially out more than 24-36 hours. The global models don't ever come close in most cases. So I always take snowfall forecasts with a grain of salt especially dealing with LES. Just North of my house has been getting hammed since the bands formed into 3 dominate bands. Some areas will push 10"+ just from this morning through afternoon. Now there's 5 of us heading up... bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Jonger said: Now there's 5 of us heading up... bring it on. I still don't even have my trail permit yet lol. I may buzz around after work before all the "southerners" head up Will probably have to snowblow again though, but not complaining about that one bit. Looks like over the weekend and into early next week the coast line is going to get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 APX forecast through the Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 31 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: I still don't even have my trail permit yet lol. I may buzz around after work before all the "southerners" head up Will probably have to snowblow again though, but not complaining about that one bit. Looks like over the weekend and into early next week the coast line is going to get in on the action. If we don't get at least an inch tonight, I might throw my new electric snowblower in the trailer and try it up there. I'm dying to see this electric unit in action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 33 minutes ago, Jonger said: If we don't get at least an inch tonight, I might throw my new electric snowblower in the trailer and try it up there. I'm dying to see this electric unit in action. I am not sure about an electric snowblower, i guess down state probably would be okay. I did purchase a battery powered leaf blower that works pretty decent. You would have plenty of snow to test it out up here depending on where you are starting off at. I tried my new Deere setup last night an it worked great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: I am not sure about an electric snowblower, i guess down state probably would be okay. I did purchase a battery powered leaf blower that works pretty decent. You would have plenty of snow to test it out up here depending on where you are starting off at. I tried my new Deere setup last night an it worked great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 24 minutes ago, Jonger said: Curious to know how that works. I was picturing the small electric ones (electric shovels) or whatever they're called lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 This band off of Lake Michigan is gonna be good. Evening update from LOT LES parameters are quite impressive and it looks like an intense single band could develop. Tropopause drops to near 500mb which will also serve as the equilibrium level for lake induced convection (very high for LES) and combined with 850-lake delta Ts approaching 20C, suggests a very potent LES band should develop. Given the progged parameters, if single LES band develops as expected, would expect snowfall rates of at least 2" per hour (probably higher) in the heart of the snow band. The unseasonably warm lake and deep instability also raise the specter of potential isolated thunderstorms with the LES band tomorrow. Big question for snowfall amounts will be residence time of the snow band at any given location. Hires models strongly suggest that lake induced mesoscale enhancement of the surface low will take place Saturday. The primary LES band is expected to develop to the west of this low, with the low likely to result in some meandering/wavering of the position of the band. Gave very strong consideration to upgrading Porter to a winter storm warning, as such an intense band could drop 6" of snow in just a couple hours. If rates of that magnitude occur, impacts could be very significant, particularly in light of the expected 30-45 mph winds near the lake which could result in white-out/blizzard conditions at times in the more intense snow squall(s). The primary factor keeping me from upgrading to a warning at this time is the uncertainty in location of the LES band. The operational HRRR keeps it primarily east of Porter County, but many other models have it farther west and keep Porter County well within the line of fire. - Izzi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 9:40 PM, RogueWaves said: For yby perhaps. I wish I had a buck for every time they screw the pooch on their two SE counties. With this weak scenario, adding Calhoun to the WWA was bad. Got a coating here , perhaps 0.4" Rogue... I didn’t know you lived here. Used to live in Marshall out off of L Drive N. Now I live in Battle Creek out by the Mall (Riverside & Capital). Small world. Yeah how about that advisory? Just enough to have the trucks dump salt everywhere for no reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 1 hour ago, (((Will))) said: -ziiz huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 If you look at GRR radar at 3:15 p.m. ET a single band finally appears to be forming down Lake Michigan from Ludington southward. Will be one to watch. Seems to be aiming at Michigan City at present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 2 hours ago, Indystorm said: If you look at GRR radar at 3:15 p.m. ET a single band finally appears to be forming down Lake Michigan from Ludington southward. Will be one to watch. Seems to be aiming at Michigan City at present. Has that firehose look now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 There is something special about these type of Lake Michigan bands, just beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 000 NWUS53 KIWX 092239 LSRIWX PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 539 PM EST SAT DEC 9 2017 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0400 PM SNOW 2 WNW CULVER 41.23N 86.46W 12/09/2017 M7.5 INCH MARSHALL IN BROADCAST MEDIA STORM TOTAL SO FAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: There is something special about these type of Lake Michigan bands, just beautiful. My work is right in St. Joseph and if it's snowing right to the shoreline, I should see some nice amounts OTG when I get back there Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Too bad that band won't park over one spot for very long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 22 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Too bad that band won't park over one spot for very long. Yeah, right there, and I'd have another 11-12-13 LES Big Dog at my work place! Nice to have winter back, and real Santa wx here in Marshall. Pharmacy gal told me today that if it's a blizzard here, she ordered it because she loves riding her snowmobile! Reminded me of the new Pure Michigan tourist ad..."if someone asks why you have a smile on your face, you tell 'em "because it's going to snow tonight" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 1 hour ago, RogueWaves said: Yeah, right there, and I'd have another 11-12-13 LES Big Dog at my work place! Nice to have winter back, and real Santa wx here in Marshall. Pharmacy gal told me today that if it's a blizzard here, she ordered it because she loves riding her snowmobile! Reminded me of the new Pure Michigan tourist ad..."if someone asks why you have a smile on your face, you tell 'em "because it's going to snow tonight" This is the webcam I like to check out for Benton Harbor: https://www.wunderground.com/webcams/kevinspagedotcom/3/show.html How much snow were you able to get with the clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 hours ago, blackrock said: This is the webcam I like to check out for Benton Harbor: https://www.wunderground.com/webcams/kevinspagedotcom/3/show.html How much snow were you able to get with the clipper? Had a solid 2.5" grass pretty well covered. Looking forward to Monday now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 I'm liking this clipper regime, not for the paltry synoptic snow amounts, but for Lake Michigan LES behind the systems. I got more Lake Effect yesterday than system snow and that looks to be the case again tomorrow/Tuesday, as the clipper snows look to be a WI/MI/OH event, with those of us south of I 80 only seeing mood flakes. Behind it as winds shift, the NAM is depicting some really nice Delta T's for heavy snow bands and it looks like there could be somewhat of a Superior connection to improve moisture. The band/bands should once again track well inland, allowing us on the southern periphery to once again score on some accumulations. The same areas that got hit yesterday could see some nice accumulations, although it looks like the counties immediately to the east could also see more snow that yesterday's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Big time lake effect band going to be over the Stadium for Bills game, everyone tune in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Big time lake effect band going to be over the Stadium for Bills game, everyone tune in! CBS just briefly showed Buffalo and it's really ripping. They're going to have a fun time trying to play in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Yep, watching the Colts/Bills game on tv. I don't care who wins. I'm just enjoying the LES and the players slip slidin' away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 Wish they were showing the Bills game here, instead its Vikings sigh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: Wish they were showing the Bills game here, instead its Vikings sigh... Yeah, this is why I live here. Only city in the United States you can get an NFL level game with snow rates like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, (((Will))) said: You can look out your window. True, but there is not an NFL game outside my window, watching professional play in that type of environment is fascinating and entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Thundersnow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.