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MO/KS/AR/OK 2019-2020 Winter Wonderland Discussion


JoMo
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New Euro. Pretty much the same setup with just slightly adjusted amounts, lowers Tulsa snowfall by 1 inch, but sets up an even heavier band just to the north, little things like this aren't something to be analyzed super hard on a long range model, so in my mind a 4-6 inch scenario is still likely for Tulsa as of right now.

ecmwf_tsnow_okc_17.png

ecmwf_tsnow_arkansas_19.png

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As it relates to the 18z NAM...it's closing off the 500 mb low much more aggressively than the others so far....with a 558dm low along the Red River. That process is the reason for the higher totals. Something to watch for sure, as the other models in the 12z suite have hinted at a closeoff, which would portend to a farther north track. 

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