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20 hours ago, Angrysummons said:

It isn't more east based, it is becoming more centrally based. 95-96 is a horrible analog. 96-97 would be a better analog.

Still looks east-based to me, and is going to remain weak and east-based....the thing is going to be gone by January or February..

When are you going to call it, June?

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9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still looks east-based to me, and is going to remain weak and east-based....the thing is going to be gone by January or February..

When are you going to call it, June?

Agree..... east-based and weak.

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On 11/2/2017 at 4:17 PM, Angrysummons said:

It isn't more east based, it is becoming more centrally based. 95-96 is a horrible analog. 96-97 would be a better analog.

 

I'm not sure why you say that. It clearly has an east-based look currently. CFS forecasts it to remain that way in DEC.

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1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck said:

Really nice and anomalous -NAO happening now!

(Conditions around the rest of the Northern Hemisphere do not favor this - and the NAO is quite negative!)

This is, once again, a big indicator for the upcoming 3 months. 

 

Not seeing it. The NAO dipped to -1 SD a couple days ago, but will be oscillating up to +1 SD for the next week or so. By December 15th, the Dec 1-15th NAO mean is likely to be near neutral, or possibly even ever so slightly positive. So far, it's not a propitious indication of an ensuing moderate to strongly negative NAO winter.

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Moderately to strongly positive NAO winter, for meteorological winter DJF. My forecast of a +NAO winter verified. Another successful year for the indicators.

2017    0.88
2018   1.44   1.58

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